Should You Trade Stocks During Elections? | 9.27.24 OVTLYR Trading Room

In this video, we’re diving into the chaos that elections can bring to the stock market. CNBC is calling it a “coin flip” for what stocks will do next month, and if you've been around the markets during an election, you know exactly how unpredictable things can get. But don’t worry—this video is all about breaking down why trading during election season is risky and how to avoid making the same costly mistakes. I’ll take you back to my own experience during the 2016 election, where I thought I had it all figured out, experimenting with options strategies like a call ratio backspread. Spoiler alert: It didn’t go as planned. I ended up blowing up two-thirds of my account by failing to account for the timing of my trade. I was right about the market direction but totally wrong on the timing, and that mistake cost me big. In this video, I’m sharing that experience to help you avoid making the same error, especially with the upcoming elections. We also look at some key stocks, like Light (Lumentum Holdings), Ciena (CIEN), NRG Energy, and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), to see how they’ve performed recently and how they fit into the bigger market picture. Not all of them turned out the way we expected, and I’ll break down why that happens. But here’s the kicker: it’s not just about picking the right stocks, it’s about knowing when to hold back and when to jump in. Elections are notorious for shaking up the markets, and timing becomes everything. One wrong move, and you could find yourself on the wrong side of the trade, even if you got the market direction right, like I did back in 2016. So, should you sit on the sidelines during election season? That’s a big question we’ll answer in this video. I’ll also explain how to manage your risk and protect your portfolio when things get unpredictable. If you’re feeling anxious about the next few months in the market, this video is for you. We’re cutting through the noise and helping you understand how to make smarter, less risky moves when everything feels like a gamble. I’ll also show you how to roll options and manage positions, even in these wild, uncertain times. Whether you’re new to the market or have been trading for years, there’s something here for everyone—especially if you’re trying to avoid those costly mistakes that can wipe out your portfolio. Don’t trade based on fear or overconfidence. Let’s break it down together, step by step. Stay tuned, and by the end of this video, you'll have a better understanding of how to approach trading during election season, the key stocks to watch, and how to avoid blowing up your account like I did. #StockMarket #ElectionTrading #OptionsTrading #Volatility #StockAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Ciena #Lumentum #NRG #Investing

In today's video, we dive deep into the latest stock trades with some outstanding wins on the board. We’re discussing key market moves and breaking down the performance of top stocks like Light (up 6%), Ciena (CIEN) (up 2.25%), and NRG Energy (NRG) (up 1%). These stocks have been showing significant strength, making this a highly profitable day for traders. However, we also review the challenges, particularly with NRG’s after-hours performance, which showed a brief 7% increase, only to pull back to 1%. We discuss how strategic trading decisions are made using data from OVTLYR and how members are managing their portfolios for maximum gains. The video also covers recent updates on NRG Energy, including news that the company lifted its fiscal year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance, a move that caused excitement among investors. Meanwhile, Light is attracting attention due to rumors of a potential acquisition by Nvidia, which could push the stock significantly higher in the coming days. The video is not just about the market gains today—it’s about how smart trading can maximize profits while minimizing risk. Using specific strategies, including rolling options to lock in gains and reinvesting in promising opportunities, we explain the techniques behind the success stories coming from our community. The video features real-time analysis and trading tactics that have led to impressive returns, such as rolling from Light’s 55-strike calls to 60s, capturing a 53.6% gain, and executing a similar strategy on Ciena to secure a 27% return. Members of the OVTLYR community share their big wins, including standout trades like a 204% overnight profit and more examples of how using advanced data tools and disciplined strategies leads to consistent success in the market. Whether it’s increasing position sizes, managing options, or identifying key stocks poised for growth, this video provides actionable insights for traders of all levels. Join us as we analyze the markets, examine the impact of investor psychology, and uncover where the next big opportunities lie. We also discuss important trading indicators like the Bullish Percent Index and market breadth to help guide future decisions. If you’re looking to make better trading choices, this is a must-watch video. #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #NRG #Ciena #LightStock #StockAnalysis #BullishMarket #OptionsTrading #InvestorTips #StockWins #StockTrading #MarketUpdates #InvestSmart

In today’s video, we’re taking a closer look at the current market action and some key stocks that have been making waves. Netflix and Tesla are on the radar with a mix of opportunities and challenges. Netflix is showing signs of bullishness, but with some hurdles ahead. Tesla, as always, is an interesting play with lots of moving parts, including several order blocks to watch out for. We also dive into NRG Energy, which showed a solid setup and delivered strong potential gains, thanks to clear signals and a favorable back-test. Fiserv was another one to keep an eye on, but a heat map stall signaled a smart exit, proving once again that disciplined risk management can make all the difference. Today’s session really highlighted the importance of liquidity and knowing when to act—or when to step back. The market has been full of surprises lately, and sticking to a structured approach is key to navigating these ups and downs. We covered a lot of ground in today’s trades, focusing on opportunities and avoiding unnecessary risks. It’s all about paying attention to the signals and making sure each move is well thought out, especially in a market that’s been as volatile as this one. #StockMarketUpdate #Tesla #Netflix #NRG #Fiserv #LiveTrading #MarketInsights #DayTrading #StockAnalysis #Investing #RiskManagement #OVTLYRTrading Don’t miss out on today’s breakdown—there’s a lot to take away from these market moves!

In this video, we dive into live market analysis, breaking down the latest moves in stocks like $SPY, $SPLG, $TSM, and more. But first, let’s talk about the big news: Trump’s recent proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. This potential policy shift has the financial world buzzing, and for good reason. Credit card companies make massive profits from high interest rates—typically in the 20-30% range—and a cap like this could seriously disrupt the industry. What does this mean for financial stocks? A temporary cap on credit card interest rates would shake up the entire credit industry, hitting profit margins hard. Stocks tied to big credit card issuers could feel the impact, which means traders need to be prepared for volatility in the financial sector. In today’s session, we’re looking at how this news could affect stocks like $SPY and $SPLG, and whether this is a potential trading opportunity or a red flag for investors holding financial sector positions. We’re also diving deep into some key market trends today, with a bullish signal lighting up on $SPY. Market breadth is sitting at a solid 64%, and with bullish trends across most sectors (except for real estate), there are plenty of opportunities to capitalize on. Using OVTLYR's tools, we pull up a list of high-potential stocks, covering sectors with momentum, and highlight key stocks like $CEN, $LIGHT, and $SPG. The stock screener is in full swing, identifying stocks and ETFs that meet strict criteria for bullish momentum, with $SPY and $SPLG leading the pack. We go over each stock’s backtest data and how these trades align with current market conditions. Looking to trade options? No worries, we’ve got that covered too. In this session, there’s a detailed breakdown of options trades for $CEN and $LIGHT, walking through the entry points, risk management, and market trends. Whether it’s looking at the 80 Delta or keeping an eye on volatility, you’ll get a full rundown on how to approach these trades. This video is all about making smart, data-driven trades with less risk. Whether you're a new trader or more experienced, there’s plenty of actionable insights here to help you find the best setups and make solid moves in today’s market. Make sure to join the OVTLYR community for more real-time updates, stock screeners, and market insights that give you the edge. And, of course, don’t forget to share your thoughts in the comments and let us know what trades you’re keeping an eye on! #StockTrading #OptionsTrading #MarketAnalysis #SPYStock #TSMStock #BullishTrends #FinancialStocks #TradingTips #CreditCardCap #MarketSignals #OVTLYR #StockScreener #InvestSmart Don’t miss out on more updates—hit that like button and subscribe!

In this video, we break down the financial struggles hitting Dollar General and what that means for the broader economy. Dollar General, which usually attracts low-income shoppers, is seeing a steep decline in both its stock and customer base. The company’s stock has dropped almost 50%, falling from $150 down to around $82 in just a few months. That’s a huge loss for a store built around offering budget-friendly goods. Meanwhile, Walmart is on the rise. As Dollar General’s stock tanks, Walmart’s continues to climb steadily. With more people turning to Walmart for groceries and other essentials, the gap between these two retailers has become even more apparent. What’s surprising is that Walmart is now offering lower prices than Dollar General, which was once known for its unbeatable deals. This shift says a lot about how inflation and economic pressure are hitting lower-income households the hardest. We also dive into some live stock analysis using the OVTLYR platform, showcasing how Dollar General’s sell signals highlight its rapid decline. In stark contrast, Walmart’s stock shows consistent growth, further driving home the point that consumers are shifting their spending habits to the retailer offering the best value. It’s a tale of two different economic stories. This discussion taps into a larger narrative about inflation and its impact on consumer behavior, especially when even dollar stores can no longer keep their core customers. As fast food prices rise and everyday expenses pile up, it’s clear that Americans are feeling the pinch. For those following these trends closely, this video provides key insights into how to interpret stock signals and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. The OVTLYR platform offers powerful tools to track market movements, helping traders identify opportunities and avoid risky trades. #DollarGeneral #WalmartStock #StockAnalysis #OVTLYR #TradingSignals #StockMarket #EconomicTrends #Inflation #Investing #MarketCrash #RecessionStrategies

In this video, we’re tackling a huge question: Could this recent rate cut spark the next recession? With the Fed dropping interest rates by 50 basis points, we’re diving deep into what this could mean for the economy, the stock market, and your investments. Historically, 10 out of the last 14 rate cuts have signaled a recession—so what’s next? We break down the latest movements in key stocks like $SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $TSLA, and $LUNR. You’ll get a front-row seat to how the market’s reacting, with a focus on trends, technical indicators, and breath signals. There’s been a lot of bullish activity, but is it sustainable? And what are the potential roadblocks? We also spotlight our community’s successes in the Weekly Winner’s Circle. You’ll hear from real OVTLYR members who’ve scored big with their trades. This week, we dive into a smart Tesla options strategy that helped lock in gains by rolling up calls. It’s all about finding ways to keep your capital in play while staying profitable! On top of that, we’re sharing some essential trading wisdom from Market Wizard Mark Minervini. His six key trading rules are the foundation for risk management and maximizing profits, and we break them down in detail so you can apply them to your trades right away. Lastly, we dig into the big question on everyone’s mind: Does this rate cut mean we’re heading for another 2008-style crash? We look back at the similarities between today’s market and what happened just before the last major recession. Could we be in for a similar outcome, or is this time different? #RateCut #RecessionRisk #StockMarketNews #TeslaOptions #TradingStrategies #MinerviniRules #MarketAnalysis #InvestingTips #FedWatch If you’re serious about trading, hit that subscribe button and like the video. We’re here to help you make smart moves, protect your portfolio, and find opportunities in the market no matter what happens next!

In this video, we dive into today's market movements following a significant announcement from the Federal Reserve. The market has been on a tear, with stocks surging in response to the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. As you might expect, lower interest rates often lead to a flood of cash into the stock market, and today was no exception. But what does this mean for traders and investors? More importantly, is this rally sustainable, or are we looking at a temporary boost? We'll break down the implications of the Fed's decision, what it means for stocks like SPY, Zillow, and Carvana, and explore key signals that might indicate whether this momentum will hold or fade. The analysis also covers the market's overall sentiment, diving into the balance between fear and greed, and how these emotional extremes can impact the trades you're watching. During today's session, we identified some important buy and sell signals across key stocks, using OVTLYR’s cutting-edge analysis tools. For example, Carvana saw an incredible 29% move, and while some trades hit big wins, not everything was perfect, as shown in a 5.6% loss on Zillow. But that's all part of the process—balancing wins and losses, and adjusting strategies based on real-time data and market conditions. We also discuss the importance of following a plan, keeping calm under market pressure, and why it's critical to not chase every move in a volatile environment. Whether you're trading the SPY or smaller names like Lenar or Sprouts Farmers Market, the focus remains the same: analyzing the market trends, reading investor sentiment, and making informed decisions based on solid data. Throughout the video, you’ll also get a look into the backtesting results on these stocks, examining how past signals have played out in real trades. With tools like the price trajectory oscillator and market breadth indicators, we take a deeper look at how to time entries and exits effectively, focusing on those key moments when greed or fear dominate the market. The video wraps up with a quick peek into OVTLYR’s member community, where traders share their strategies and insights in real-time, supporting each other through the ups and downs of the market. If you're into trading or want to sharpen your skills, it's definitely worth checking out. Get ready for an insightful ride through today’s trading landscape, packed with valuable lessons and actionable insights you can apply in your own trading journey. #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #FedAnnouncement #InterestRates #SPY #Zillow #Carvana #Investing #MarketAnalysis #StockTrading #OVTLYR #FinancialMarkets #DayTrading #StockPicks

In today’s video, we dive into a Fed Day market analysis, reviewing how traders reacted to the latest announcements and highlighting key opportunities. Trading around major economic events can often feel like a rollercoaster, but today’s market was surprisingly stable, closing only 18 basis points from yesterday. Despite this calm, sharp traders found ways to profit by recognizing the right signals. We begin by analyzing the intraday chart, which showed a volume spike that led to a brief rally, followed by a reversal. For those who managed to catch both moves, it was an excellent opportunity for quick gains. We break down these setups so that even if you missed this trade, you’ll learn how to spot similar opportunities in the future. One standout stock today was Zillow ($Z), which saw a 5% spike. If you were watching the 62-strike options, they doubled in price in under 30 minutes. This kind of move, especially on Fed Day, shows why staying engaged with the market pays off. Next, we dive into the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. This signals more rate cuts are likely, impacting inflation and the broader economy. We explore how this news can influence longer-term trades and how the Fed’s projections on inflation and unemployment could shape various industries. Another surprise mover was Lunar ($LUNR), which shot past $8 after weeks of trading between $3 and $5. It wasn’t on our watchlist, but traders who caught this move saw solid returns. This reinforces the value of watching stocks that may not be in the spotlight but have breakout potential. We also discuss how to use the CME FedWatch tool, which tracks rate hike or cut probabilities. On days like today, even slight changes in expectations can move the market significantly, making it a must-have tool for traders. Market breadth was also notable, with 63 stocks making bullish moves despite the calm market close. We show how to use market breadth indicators to stay ahead of trends, even when broader indices remain flat. For those following our "golden ticket" strategy, we covered how to use moving averages like the 10 over 20 to identify trends. While SPY is showing bullish signals, we also discuss how to watch for potential sell signals to manage risk effectively. Finally, we discuss how to manage risk by adjusting position sizes using ATR (Average True Range) and explore how order blocks can help time entries and exits more effectively. If you want to improve your trading and spot new opportunities, check out the full video, where we cover everything from intraday action to macro trends. #FedDay #Zillow #Lunar #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #Volatility Be sure to like and subscribe, and let us know how your trades went today!

In today’s video, we’re breaking down the power of using simple moving averages to level up your trading game. If you’ve ever wondered how to spot strong trends in the market and avoid getting caught off guard, this is the perfect guide for you. We’ll walk you through the basics of the 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages and show you how to use them to make smarter, faster trading decisions. We kick things off by diving into the 10-day moving average, which helps you track short-term momentum. Then we move into the 20-day moving average for those intermediate trends and finally hit the 50-day for the long-term view. Along the way, we break down real-world examples, including recent performance from the S&P 500 (SPY) and the incredible uptrend in General Electric (GE). If you’ve been watching GE's price action, you’ll see exactly how it almost doubled in a matter of months—using the same techniques we’re covering in this video. We’re not just throwing numbers at you—this is about how you can actually use these moving averages to find profitable opportunities and avoid common trading mistakes. Whether you’re new to trading or you’ve been in the game for a while, the strategies we talk about will help you spot bullish or bearish trends and time your entries and exits like a pro. Plus, we’ll share some personal stories about the costly lessons learned by going against the trend (spoiler alert: don’t do it!). And of course, we also highlight how OVTLYR’s tools can help you make these strategies even easier by giving you real-time insights on investor behavior and market trends. If you’re looking to save time, reduce risk, and boost your wins, this is a must-watch. So, jump in with us, and by the end, you’ll feel confident using these simple but powerful indicators in your trading. Don’t forget to hit that like button and share this with your fellow traders. Let’s keep learning and winning together! #StockTrading #TradingTips #MovingAverages #DayTrading #SwingTrading #StockMarket #SPYAnalysis #GEStock #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategies #TradeSmarter #OVTLYR

Welcome to the OVTLYR Trading Room, where trading is made simple and effective. In today’s session, we’re diving deep into key market insights and breaking down how you can leverage OVTLYR data to save time, make money, and reduce risk. Let’s start by walking through how OVTLYR works. It’s a 4-step system that tracks how investors are reacting to market changes, price movements, news, and the broader economy. When irrational behaviors like fear and greed hit extremes, OVTLYR steps in with buy and sell signals, giving you the chance to jump into trades right before the big moves happen. Today, the SPY index is giving us a lot to think about. We’re seeing a bullish trend with the 10-over-20 moving average, and the price is holding above the 50-day moving average. But here’s where it gets interesting—while the trend is looking strong, OVTLYR is signaling a potential sell. There’s also bearish market breadth, which means it’s time to play it smart and keep an eye on those multiple signals: market trend, market breadth, and sector analysis. That’s where the real trading edge lies. We also dive into the mindset side of things. One of the biggest lessons here is about trading psychology. The best traders know it’s not just about having a strategy—it’s about how you think. Approaching trades with a mindset of probabilities, avoiding emotional reactions, and always predefining your risk are key. By letting your winners run and knowing when to exit during extreme market conditions, you set yourself up for long-term success. For options traders, there’s a great discussion on rolling up strikes to reduce delta risk. This is a super practical move that helps you take profits while staying in the trade. It’s all about capturing gains without exposing yourself to unnecessary risk—making sure you stay ahead of the game. The session also highlights the importance of discipline in trading. Sticking to your plan, only taking trades that are fully set up, and ignoring market noise are what separate successful traders from the rest. It’s about patience and discipline, both of which lead to more consistent results. Looking to sharpen your trading mindset? Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas is an essential read. It’s a fantastic resource for understanding how to think like a professional trader and manage your mental approach to the market. And don’t miss out—OVTLYR is offering its lowest pricing of the year until September 30th. For just $299 annually (that’s 82 cents a day!), you can get full access to everything OVTLYR offers. Prices are going up soon, so now’s the time to take advantage of this deal and master the market! Click here to get OVTLYR’s Special Offer: https://www.ovtlyrdeal.com/start-here61800575 #StockTrading #Investing #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #GoldenTicketStrategy #SPYAnalysis #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategies #Finance #InvestSmart #OVTLYR #MakeMoney #SaveTime #StartWinning #LessRisk #TradingMindset