The limits of predictability

12/6/2025

weathering

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How far into the future can we actually predict the weather? Typically, this question is rhetorical, a slight (or smite⚡) against meteorologists everywhere after someone’s wedding gets rained out. But...

Altri episodi di "weathering"

Go big or go home, baby! Scaling laws for AI weather models
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It's been a while! But we're making the wait worth it with a deep dive into scaling laws for AI weather models. As Alden put it, "this feels like a huge growing-up moment for the field." We...
Did the Odyssey really happen? The truth of poetry lies in weather
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Now, goddess Child of Zeus tell the old story for our modern times. Find the beginning… We are once again looking for the beginning, but not of a model. Instead, we're looking at ancient weather...
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Zero-shot forecasting and the nature of time
4/2/2026
In this episode, we're covering two papers on zero-shot forecasting: NXAI's TiRex and Amazon's Chronos-2. You may be asking… Is it pronounced tee·rɛks? Is it tye·rɛks? Is it a titan? God of time? Is a...
A taxonomy of bias: sensemaking, heretical physics, and the Tom Hanks/Bill Murray multiverse
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Bias has a pretty well-known definition in the world of AI/ML programming. But today’s paper asks us to expand that definition and consider how cultural, organizational, and human forces can intersect...
Determinism is dead, chaos reigns, and the night is long
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While staring into uncertainty might sound abyssal and frightening, ensemble models have proven (to us, at least) that this isn’t the case. In today’s episode, we’re exploring two papers with...
NeuralGCM and the Hybrid Approach
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Machine learning dominates the conversation, but what will happen to the centuries-old physical equations that built our understanding of the atmosphere? How are the two approaches at odds? How might...
End-to-end data-driven weather prediction
30/6/2025
Where does the end begin? Where does the end end? And what the HELL is happening in the middle? These are some of the questions we tackle in this episode as we explore Aardvark Weather, an end-to-end...
The limits of predictability
12/6/2025
How far into the future can we actually predict the weather? Typically, this question is rhetorical, a slight (or smite⚡) against meteorologists everywhere after someone’s wedding gets rained out. But...

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The limits of predictability

weathering

Altri episodi di "weathering"

Go big or go home, baby! Scaling laws for AI weather models

Did the Odyssey really happen? The truth of poetry lies in weather

Zero-shot forecasting and the nature of time

A taxonomy of bias: sensemaking, heretical physics, and the Tom Hanks/Bill Murray multiverse

Determinism is dead, chaos reigns, and the night is long

NeuralGCM and the Hybrid Approach

End-to-end data-driven weather prediction

The limits of predictability