Europe Market Open: US-China frictions weigh on the risk tone & US imposes Russian sanctions, rallying crude

US and China reached a framework for Trump-Xi talks this week. US tariff increase on China averted, China was said to have agreed to delay a new rare earth exports licensing regime for a year.The US is to immediately raise tariffs on Canada by another 10%.US President Trump said he won’t meet with Russian President Putin until he thinks they have a peace plan.European bourses firmer but off best levels; US equity futures soar as traders digest the latest US-China trade commentary.High-beta FX propped up by US-Sino optimism, CAD overlooks US tariffs.USTs/Bunds knocked by the risk tone and reports of EU issuance, OATs outperform as Moody’s maintained France’s rating at Aa3, but revised the outlook to negative from stable.Positive US-China optimism weigh on XAU and lifts Copper near ATHs; Crude was initially boosted by the risk-tone but has since slipped into the red.Looking ahead, highlights include US Dallas Fed (Oct), Suspended Releases: US Durable Goods (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDPNow, Supply from US, Earnings including NXP Semiconductor.UK clocks moved back an hour during the weekend and reverted to GMT, which means there will just be a 4-hour time difference between London and New York for the week until US clocks change on Sunday 2nd November.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and China reached a framework for Trump-Xi talks this week. US tariff increase on China averted, China was said to have agreed to delay a new rare earth exports licensing regime for a year.The US is to immediately raise tariffs on Canada by another 10%.APAC stocks are mostly higher, ES is up by the best part of 1%, Eurostoxx future firmer by 0.6%.DXY flat with the USD showing a mixed performance vs. peers; softer vs. risk-sensitive currencies, firmer vs. havens.US President Trump said he won’t meet with Russian President Putin until he thinks they have a peace plan.Moody’s maintained France’s rating at Aa3, but revised the outlook to negative from stable.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Oct), EZ M3 (Sep), Dallas Fed (Oct).  Suspended Releases: US Durable Goods (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDPNow. ECB’s Elderson.UK clocks moved back an hour during the weekend and reverted to GMT, which means there will just be a 4-hour time difference between London and New York for the week ahead until US clocks change on Sunday 2nd November.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US to probe China's 2020 trade compliance while Trump has "terminated" all trade talks with Canada.European bourses opened firmer but now off best levels whilst US equity futures are in the green; INTC +8.3%.USD slightly higher into CPI, EUR boosted on German PMIs but now pared.Bunds & Gilts hit by PMIs, OATs look to Moody's, USTs await CPI.Crude gives back recent strength, XAU also on the backfoot around USD 4.06k/oz.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs (Oct), US CPI (Sep), CBR Policy Announcement, European Council (23rd-24th), Moody’s Credit Review on France, Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone & Nagel, Earnings from Procter & Gamble.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US to probe China's 2020 trade compliance while Trump has "terminated" all trade talks with CanadaDespite this, APAC bourses firmer as the region focuses on confirmation of a Trump-Xi meeting next weekDXY firmer but rangebound, USD/JPY tested 153.00Fixed benchmarks remain subdued, USTs await CPICrude pulled back from Thursday's rally, XAU is indecisiveLooking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Sep), EZ, UK & US Flash PMIs (Oct), US CPI (Sep), (Suspended Releases: US Build Permits & US New Home Sales), CBR Policy Announcement, European Council (23rd-24th), Moody’s Credit Review on France, Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone & Nagel, Earnings from NatWest, Porsche, Sanofi, Eni, Saab, Procter & GambleClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

China published fourth plenum communique: approved five-year plan, and aiming for a 'big increase' in the level of tech self-reliance.European equities are mostly higher, whilst US equity futures are mixed; TSLA -3%, IBM -7.2%, Quantum stocks +10%.DXY is flat, Antipodeans lead whilst havens lag in quiet trade.Bonds are pressured as the risk tone sees pockets of improvement; decent UK auction sparked little move in Gilts at the time.New Russian sanctions push crude benchmarks higher, XAU continues to consolidate.Looking ahead, Existing Home Sales (Sep), EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Oct), Canadian Retail Sales (Aug), Australian Flash PMIs (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US Weekly Claims), CBRT Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), European Council (23rd-24th). Speakers including ECB’s Lane, Fed's Bowman & Barr (Fed on Blackout). Earnings from Intel, American Airlines, Freeport McMoRan, Blackstone, T-Mobile US & Valero Energy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US-China frictions weigh on the risk tone; Bessent said they are contemplating the next move if talks don't work outDXY posts modest gains, EUR pressured, while Sterling remains lower but is off the worst levels on WednesdayFixed benchmarks struggled for direction, US 20yr was decentCrude supported by reports around Ukraine's use of Western long-range missiles, metals softerLooking ahead, highlights include US National Activity Index (Sep), Existing Home Sales (Sep), EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Oct), Canadian Retail Sales (Aug), Australian Flash PMIs (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US Weekly Claims), CBRT Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), European Council (23rd-24th), Speakers including ECB’s Lane, Fed's Bowman & Barr (Fed on Blackout), Supply from UK & US.Earnings from Dassault, Orange, STMicroelectronics, Beiersdorf, Nokia, BE Semiconductor, Intel, American Airlines, Freeport McMoRan, Honeywell, Dow, Southwest Airlines, Blackstone, PG&E, T-Mobile US & Valero Energy.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are broadly lower, but FTSE 100 outperforms after UK inflation; US equity futures are modestly weaker.USD is flat & GBP hit after region's softer-than-expected inflation report, which has boosted bets for a cut in December.USTs are flat/slightly firmer ahead of supply, Gilts gap higher after CPI, Bunds marginally pressured after yet another poor auction.Initial morning bounce back in gold has faded with XAU now lower on the session; crude complex is on a firmer footing.Looking ahead, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), Speakers including ECB’s de Guindos, Lagarde & Fed's Barr, Supply from the US, Earnings from SAP, Tesla, IBM, Kinder Morgan, Alcoa, Lam Research, GE Vernova, Hilton, AT&T & Thermo Fisher.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he will discuss a lot of things with Chinese President Xi in two weeks; however, he added that the meeting might not happenUS futures are marginally firmer, while European futures point to a slightly lower cash openDXY softened overnight, EUR and GBP lifted modestly off Tuesday's trough, USD/JPY contained and back below 152.00Fixed benchmarks rangebound into supplyCrude underpinned by a Russian strike on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, XAU continued to falter to the USD 4k/oz mark but has since bouncedLooking ahead, highlights include UK CPI (Sep), CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), BoJ SLOOS, Speakers including ECB’s de Guindos, Lagarde & Fed's Barr, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from SAP, Barclays, Akzo Nobel, Tesla, IBM, Kinder Morgan, Alcoa, Lam Research, GE Vernova, Hilton, AT&T & Thermo Fisher.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are mixed and have traded choppy throughout the morning; US equity futures are modestly lower, ahead of a slew of earnings.DXY is underpinned by the downbeat risk tone and easing credit concerns; JPY underperforms as Takaichi becomes Japanese PM.Global fixed paper are bid amid the softer risk tone and reports around AA rating criteria.Metals sell off as “debasement trade” loses momentum; Crude is essentially flat in choppy trade.Looking ahead, Canadian CPI (Sep), NBH Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), Speakers including ECB’s Nagel & Lagarde, Fed’s Waller, BoE's Bailey & BreedenEarnings from Netflix, Intuitive, Texas Instruments, Capital One Financial, Coca-Cola, GE Aerospace, Elevance Health, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, RTX, General Motors, 3M, Nasdaq & Danaher.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks took their cues from the rally on Wall Street as the focus remained on US-China trade with some optimism following US President Trump's comments in which he stated that China has been respectful of them.US President Trump continued to tout a November 1st deadline for additional tariffs, he also reaffirmed that he will be meeting with Chinese President Xi and thinks they will reach a 'fantastic deal'.Japanese LDP leader Takaichi won the lower house vote (237 votes out of 465-seats) to become Japan's first female PM, as expected.European equity futures indicate a modestly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.3% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK PSNB (Sep), Canadian CPI (Sep), NBH Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), Speakers including ECB’s Nagel, Lane & Lagarde, Fed’s Waller, BoE's Bailey & Breeden, Supply from UK & Germany,Earnings from Netflix, Intuitive, Texas Instruments, Capital One Financial, Coca-Cola, GE Aerospace, Elevance Health, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, RTX, General Motors, 3M, Nasdaq & Danaher.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk