Yields Surge, The Fed vs. Oil, and a Predictions Pop 9/15/26

The yield on 10-year notes hitting the highest level since 2007 ahead of the Fed decision. Jefferies’ David Zervos expects a more dovish Warsh and says the market is wrong on rates. Plus, prediction markets are already scoring this NFL season.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

After Anthropic’s Dario Amodei calls to “pace the frontier” on AI, one of the researchers who discovered OpenAI’s hack of a German website says slowing U.S. model development will also curb China. Jefferies’ Chief Economist makes the case for a December rate cut. Plus, the billionaire founder of Groupon and CEO of Tempus AI on how AI is changing healthcare. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli raising his rate hike forecast to two this year after inflation comes in slightly hotter than expected. What record high diesel prices mean for the US economy. Plus, 41-year New York Stock Exchange veteran Peter Tuchman reflects on the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Yields continue higher, and on the heels of a strong 30-year bond auction, Rick Santelli says it’s “war, not Warsh” moving rates. Real Macro’s Jeff Currie on the “toxic” double-trade pushing oil prices higher. Plus, President Trump’s $5,000 midterm ‘dividend.’ Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

West Texas crude reapproaching $100 a barrel, and while Middle East tensions are ramping, Rapidan’s Bob McNally says China is also playing a big role in driving up prices this time around. We talk to the CEO of AGCO as retaliatory Canadian tariffs going into effect on U.S. goods like dairy and ag equipment. Plus, whether a 25 basis point rate hike at the next Fed meeting would do more harm than good. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

With markets pricing in a rate hike in September after a strong August jobs report, Steve Liesman and KPMG’s Diane Swonk weigh in on whether Chair Warsh’s ‘forward silence’ could backfire. The first investor in Hugging Face reveals the three companies he’s investing in now. Plus, the trade that still has pricing power. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nvidia will buy open-source AI platform Hugging Face for nearly $13B. BofA’s Vivek Arya says that will extend Nvidia’s sphere of influence well beyond Silicon.  Meanwhile, ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok all experienced outages in the morning--former Marine Corps. hacker David Kennedy says while that can be attributed to new models causing massive usage spikes, there could also be other, more sinister, factors at play. Plus, a Kansas union leader on why he broke with tradition, aligning with Republicans on data centers in the state. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

As West Virginia says ‘yes’ to data centers, Governor Patrick Morrissey is focused on clean water and keeping energy costs low. Steve Jobs biographer Walter Isaacson wants Apple to get back to its roots under its new CEO, creating devices that bring humans closer to the machines and intelligence they use.  Plus, trader Jeff Kilburg says, despite a potential rate hike, stocks won’t experience a September swoon.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Investor Barry Knapp makes the case for a Fed rate cut with global yields back on the rise. FTC Andrew Ferguson on the agency’s new lawsuit against Amazon. Plus, an officer from electrical workers union, I.B.E.W., Local 26, tells us why data centers are “the best opportunity in generations for blue-collar workers to attain a portion of the American dream.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The US striking Iran for the first time in a month as the G20 kicks off and Secretary Bessent says the administration can keep the pressure on without China’s help. Colorado AG and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Weiser on his plan for data centers. Plus, Sarat Sethi’s leader-to-laggard pick for the second half has already surged nearly 60% since July.    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.