The Global Debt Time Bomb

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, Ilias El Bahraoui explores the shifting dynamics of developed market interest rates, as mounting government debt, persistent fiscal deficits, and rising geopolitical tensions reshape the global financial landscape.He examines the end of the era of cheap money, the changing relationship between bonds and equities, and the growing pressure on government bond markets as investors question fiscal sustainability. The discussion also looks at the implications of rising yields for households, businesses, and financial markets, alongside the challenges facing policymakers in addressing mounting debt burdens and restoring sovereign credibility.

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, Sahhar Saleh is joined by Celine El Debs, Business Developer at Lake Geneva Investment Partners, for an insightful discussion on what truly differentiates exceptional investment managers beyond their performance.Together, they explore the role of trust, transparency, operational excellence, and disciplined risk management in institutional investment decisions. They also discuss why preserving capital, managing drawdowns, and delivering consistent, repeatable returns have become increasingly important in today's uncertain macroeconomic landscape.

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, Sahhar Saleh is joined by Guner Turkman, CEO of Lake Geneva Investment Partners, and Ilias El-Bahraoui, Head of Asset Management at Lake Geneva Investment Partners, to discuss how intensifying geopolitical tensions are influencing global markets.They explore a volatile start to 2026, the impact of energy disruptions and inflation, and how these forces are shaping asset classes, from credit and fixed income to gold. The conversation also highlights potential risks ahead, particularly in private credit, as markets begin to absorb the effects of ongoing geopolitical shifts.

Send us Fan MailDans cet épisode d’Insights Over Coffee, l’animateur Sahhar Saleh et le CEO Guner Turkmen plongent dans l’univers des hedge funds, en explorant leur évolution, leur raison d’être et l’impact des cycles de marché sur le comportement des investisseurs. Ils abordent l’importance des alternatives liquides au sein des portefeuilles d’investissement, les dimensions émotionnelles de l’acte d’investir, ainsi que les méthodes pour gérer les risques de manière efficace. La discussion s’intéresse également au paysage des hedge funds après les années 2000 et aux tendances actuelles des allocations institutionnelles, offrant un éclairage sur l’avenir de l’investissement. 

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, host Sahhar Saleh and guest Ilias El-Bahraoui, Head of Asset Management at Lake Geneva Investment Partners, delve into the evolving landscape of private debt. They discuss its rapid growth, particularly post-2008, the risks associated with this asset class, and the potential future challenges it may face. The conversation highlights the importance of understanding the complexities of private debt and the implications for investors in a changing economic environment.

Send us Fan Mail In this episode of Insights Over Coffee, host Sahhar Saleh is joined by Guner Turkmen, CEO of Lake Geneva Investment Partners, and Peter Mezzomo, a Portfolio Manager at Lake Geneva Investment Partners, to unpack the recent rally in gold and its evolving role in global markets. The conversation explores gold’s growing correlation with equities and risk assets, the factors driving central bank demand, and the behavioral dynamics fueling speculative buying. The discussion also examines the short- and long-term implications of this shift, including the potential for market corrections as investor expectations adjust, and concludes with a “Signal or Noise” segment assessing whether gold’s surge marks a lasting structural change or a temporary market phenomenon. 

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, host Sahhar Saleh and guest Ilias El Bahraoui delve into the complexities of global yield curves, the pressures facing the Federal Reserve, and the implications of fiscal deficits. They discuss the current state of rate markets, the challenges posed by various global economies, and the role of the Bank of Japan in shaping market dynamics. The conversation also touches on credit spreads, market risks, and the potential for future economic turbulence, culminating in a segment that evaluates recent market headlines.

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, host Sahhar Saleh and guest Peter Mezzomo, a portfolio manager at Lake Geneva Investment Partners, delve into the complex world of leverage in finance. They explore its dual nature as both a tool for wealth creation and a potential source of catastrophic loss. The conversation covers historical examples, the psychology behind leveraging, and the importance of understanding both personal and collective leverage in the market. The episode concludes with a discussion on the implications of hidden leverage in the financial system and its potential risks.

Send us Fan MailIn this episode of Insights Over Coffee, host Sahhar Saleh and CEO Guner Turkmen delve into the world of hedge funds, exploring their evolution, purpose, and the impact of market cycles on investor behavior. They discuss the importance of liquid alternatives in investment portfolios, the emotional aspects of investing, and how to manage risks effectively. The conversation also touches on the hedge fund landscape post-2000s and the current trends in institutional allocations, providing insights into the future of investing.

Send us Fan MailThe Day Japan’s Bond Market Woke UpWhat happens when one of the world’s most stable and overlooked markets suddenly starts moving? In this episode, we dive into the surprising shift in Japanese government bonds (JGBs), a market once known for silence, now making global headlines.From the Bank of Japan's evolving strategy to the ripple effects across global portfolios, we unpack why this quiet giant may no longer be so quiet, and why investors everywhere should be paying close attention.This isn’t just bond talk, this is a turning point.