Conversation on technology forecasting and gradualism

This is the final discussion log in the Late 2021 MIRI Conversations sequence, featuring Rohin Shah and Eliezer Yudkowsky, with additional comments from Rob Bensinger, Nate Soares, Richard Ngo, and Jaan Tallinn.The discussion begins with summaries and comments on Richard and Eliezer's debate. Rohin's summary has since been revised and published in the Alignment Newsletter.This was originally posted on 28th Feb 2022.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/tcCxPLBrEXdxN5HCQ

This is a transcript of a conversation between Paul Christiano and Eliezer Yudkowsky, with comments by Rohin Shah, Beth Barnes, Richard Ngo, and Holden Karnofsky, continuing the Late 2021 MIRI Conversations.This was originally posted on 23rd Feb 2022.https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NbGmfxbaABPsspib7/christiano-and-yudkowsky-on-ai-predictions-and-human

This is a transcript of a conversation between Richard Ngo and Eliezer Yudkowsky, facilitated by Nate Soares (and with some comments from Carl Shulman). This transcript continues the Late 2021 MIRI Conversations sequence, following Ngo's view on alignment difficulty.This was originally posted on 21st Feb 2022.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/cCrpbZ4qTCEYXbzje

This post features a write-up by Richard Ngo on his views, with inline comments.This was originally posted on 14th Dec 2021.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/gf9hhmSvpZfyfS34B

This post is a transcript of a multi-day discussion between Paul Christiano, Richard Ngo, Eliezer Yudkowsky, Rob Bensinger, Holden Karnofsky, Rohin Shah, Carl Shulman, Nate Soares, and Jaan Tallinn, following up on the Yudkowsky/Christiano debate in 1, 2, 3, and 4.This was originally posted on 9th Dec 2021.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/nPauymrHwpoNr6ipx

This post is a transcript of a discussion between Paul Christiano, Ajeya Cotra, and Eliezer Yudkowsky (with some comments from Rob Bensinger, Richard Ngo, and Carl Shulman), continuing from 1, 2, and 3.This was originally posted on 6th Dec 2021.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/fS7Zdj2e2xMqE6qja

This post is a transcript of a discussion between Carl Shulman and Eliezer Yudkowsky, following up on a conversation with Paul Christiano and Ajeya Cotra.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/sCCdCLPN9E3YvdZhj

This post is a transcript of a discussion between Paul Christiano, Ajeya Cotra, and Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI forecasting, following up on Paul and Eliezer's "Takeoff Speeds" discussion.This was originally posted on 25th Nov 2021.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/7MCqRnZzvszsxgtJi

This is a collection of follow-up discussions in the wake of Richard Ngo and Eliezer Yudkowsky's Sep. 5–8 and Sep. 14 conversations.This was originally posted on 29th Nov 2021.https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/oKYWbXioKaANATxKY

This is a transcription of Eliezer Yudkowsky responding to Paul Christiano's Takeoff Speeds live on Sep. 14, followed by a conversation between Eliezer and Paul. This discussion took place after Eliezer's conversation with Richard Ngo.This was originally posted on 22nd Nov 2021. https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/vwLxd6hhFvPbvKmBH