SQUAWK BOX, FRIDAY 12TH APRIL, 2024

Microsoft holds its developer conference where CEO Satya Nadella hails the tech giant’s new A.I. software. However, Amazon says its decision to hold out and wait for Nvidia’s more powerful offering was a mutual decision between the two companies. Wall Street predicts Nvidia earnings could triple amid particularly choppy trade. U.S. equities once again hit fresh new highs on rate cut timing speculation. Our colleagues Stateside hear from Christopher Waller who urges patience and says he requires ‘several more months’ of favourable inflation data. And in the UK, headline CPI is due to fall close to the BoE’s 2 per cent target. Governor Andrew Bailey signals a rate cut is appearing on the horizon.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Nasdaq hits a new high on the back of a stellar Nvidia performance, with investors predicting an out-sized impact from the chip titan’s earnings. JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon suggests he will quite the post within the next five years. He ruled out any additional buybacks at the lender whose stock remains at elevated levels. U.S. President Joe Biden slammed the ICC after prosecutors at The Hague threatened arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and three Hamas leaders for alleged war crimes. And we are live in Cambridge at the AstraZeneca Investor Day where the Swedish-British pharma giant is to unveil its medium-term strategy.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Iranian state television has confirmed President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian have died in a helicopter crash in the mountainous north-west of the country. Global equities rally on renewed interest rate optimism with Asian stocks hitting a two-year high, following last week’s Dow close above the 40,000-point level. Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te is sworn into office and calls for peace on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Chinese manufacturing figures beat expectations but retail and house price figures disappoint, exposing the country’s two-speed economic recovery. U.S. stocks rally with the Dow breaching the 40,000-mark briefly before falling back towards the close. ECB board member Isabel Schnabel plays down the chance of back-to-back rate cuts. The central bank’s vice-president Luis De Guindos tells CNBC the forecast beyond June is murkier. And in Hong Kong, shares in HSBC tumble on reports that its largest shareholder, Ping An Insurance, is considering reducing its stake in the lender.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

All three major U.S. indices rally to fresh highs as inflation Stateside comes in softer than expected. Core prices make their smallest gains in three years. Berkshire Hathaway reveals insurance and security giant Chubb is the mystery bet in its May 13F filings, causing shares to surge in extended trade. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tells CNBC exclusively he is standing firm on the Rafah offensive despite disagreements with the U.S. Chinese President Xi Jinping hosts Russian President Vladimir Putin in Beijing with both sides seeking to strengthen strategic ties.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. producer prices come in hotter than expected ahead of today’s CPI data. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says that rates will have to remain elevated for longer. Magnificent 7 stocks help push the Nasdaq to a new record high. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai tells CNBC colleagues Stateside that A.I. still has a lot of momentum for the company. U.S. President Joe Biden slaps China with $18bn of new tariffs, targeting EVs, solar cells and steel. We hear exclusively from the U.S. ambassador to the European Union, Mark Gitenstein, who says Biden is sending a clear message to Beijing. And Swiss eyecare group Alcon posts a record profit for the first quarter with CEO David Endicott telling CNBC the company maintains a robust pipeline.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Dow’s eight-day winning streak is over as inflation concerns persist and U.S. producer price data is released later today. This ahead of tomorrow’s key CPI print. The meme stock craze is revived from a single post on social media with GameStop short positions reportedly losing close to $1bn in yesterday’s session. In commodities news, AngloAmerican shares fall more than 2 per cent in London after the miner turns down an improved $34bn takeover bid from rival BHP. OpenAI unveils both a new A.I. model as well as a desktop version of ChatGPT as it seeks to secure its position as market leader in generative artificial intelligence.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Dow posts its best week of the year – its eighth straight session in the green ahead of this week’s U.S. inflation data release. In China, consumer inflation is on the up but credit demand shrinks for the first time since 2017. Russian President Vladimir Putin reshuffles his cabinet, ousting defence minister Sergei Shoigu and installing a civilian economist in his place. Israel orders residents of Rafah to evacuate the city as the Gaza death toll reaches 35,000. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken tells NBC News that Washington requires more clarity on an exit and post-war strategy from Israel.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Dow surges by more than 300 points, climbing for seven consecutive sessions. Softer than expected jobless claims data is once again fueling speculation of rate cuts later this year. In London, the BoE keeps the interest rate steady in a 7-2 split of the MPC. Markets have no upped their bets of a cut in June. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey tells CNBC the central bank’s judgments will not be swayed by the upcoming UK general election. Chinese EV maker Zeekr prices its New York listing at the top of its range. The IPO could be the biggest listing of a Chinese company Stateside in almost three years. Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu defies President Biden’s warnings not to invade Rafah and says the country will fight on alone if necessary.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Chinese trade data beats expectations in April to show signs of stabilisation as demand improves both home and abroad. British chip designer ARM sees shares tumble almost 9 per cent in after-hours trade following gloomy revenue guidance which has fueled concerns of a slowdown in A.I. demand. President Joe Biden warns Israel the U.S. will pause weapons deliveries if the IDF invades Rafah. Markets are split ahead of the BoE rate decision later today over a potential rate cut forecast for June.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.