Europe Market Open: PredictIt odds shifted over the weekend in favour of Harris; OPEC+ sources in focus

Equities are on the backfoot; the RTY underperforms, paring some of the Trump-induced strength in the prior session.Dollar continues to advance higher, GBP on the backfoot following mixed jobs data which saw an uptick in unemployment but wages remain sticky.Bonds are mixed, USTs are flat ahead of several Fed speakers whilst Bunds are bid after poor German ZEW figures.Crude holds an upward bias, XAU/base metals are pressured by the stronger Dollar; BTC pulls back from a USD 89k handle.Looking ahead, NY Fed SCE, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone, Fed’s Waller, Barkin, Kashkari & Harker.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately mixed and failed to sustain the momentum from Wall St.European equity futures are indicative of a negative cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.9% after the cash market closed higher by 1.1% on Monday.DXY remains on the front foot, EUR/USD is stuck on a 1.06 handle, USD/JPY briefly moved above the 154 mark.Bitcoin was choppy overnight after the prior day's surge which lifted prices above the USD 89k level for the first time.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs, EZ/German ZEW, NY Fed SCE, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including BoE’s Pill, ECB’s Rehn, Cipollone, Fed’s Waller, Barkin, Kashkari & Harker, Supply from Netherlands, UK & Germany.Earnings from Bayer, Brenntag, Infineon, Vodafone, AstraZeneca, Shopify, Home Depot, Tyson Foods, Spotify, Occidental Petroleum.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Equities are entirely in the green, with a strong European morning thus far; the RTY outperforms.DXY is on a firmer footing with the Trump Trade still in action, JPY underperforms following the BoJ SOO which highlighted the lack of urgency to hike.Bonds are mixed, with Bunds firmer amid suggestions that Chancellor Scholz could bring forward a vote of no-confidence; Treasury cash trade is closed on account of US Veterans Day.Crude slips on comments by Hezbollah that there are negotiations to stop the war; XAU/base metals are hampered by the stronger Dollar and softer-than-expected Chinese inflation metrics overnight.Looking ahead, No Tier 1 events. As a reminder, today is US Veterans Day.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks began the week mostly subdued following the recent China fiscal stimulus disappointment and softer-than-expected Chinese inflation data.European equity futures are indicative of a positive cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after the cash market closed lower by 1.0% on Friday.German Chancellor Scholz said he wouldn't have a problem with a vote of confidence before Christmas.DXY is steady and just above the 105 mark, EUR/USD is little changed on a 1.07 handle, JPY lags its major peers.Looking ahead, today sees a lack of tier 1 highlights. Note, today is Veterans Day in the US. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are entirely in the red, with sentiment hit after China’s NPC press conference disappointed markets; US futures remain flat.DXY is slightly firmer, with the JPY strong whilst the Antipodeans lag given the lack of fresh stimulus measures from China.Bonds are on a firmer footing, with modest outperformance in Gilts and as USTs await Fed speak from Bowman & Musalem.Crude oil, XAU and base metals are all on the backfoot, following the underwhelming Chinese NPC press conference.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs, US UoM Inflation Prelim/Sentiment, Speakers including BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Bowman & Musalem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately mixed despite the early momentum following the fresh record levels on Wall St and a bout of rate cuts by major central banks, with gains capped as participants awaited a potential Chinese fiscal stimulus announcement.FOMC cut rates by 25bps to 4.50-4.75%, as expected, in a unanimous decision and removed language about having gained greater confidence in inflation moving sustainably towards the 2% target. Fed Chair Powell said during the Q&A that the election will have no effect on policy decisions in the near term.US President-elect Trump is likely to allow Fed chair Powell to serve the remainder of his term, according to CNN. Fed Chair said he will not resign if Trump asks him to. (Powell’s term is set to end in May 2026).European equity futures are indicative of a positive cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed higher by 1.1% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include French Trade Balance, Italian Industrial Output, Canadian Jobs, US UoM Prelim, Chinese Money Supply, Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Bowman & Musalem, Earnings from Richemont, Rightmove, International Consolidated Airlines Group, Paramount Global & Sony.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are modestly firmer across the board, with US futures also slightly higher, but ultimately taking a breather following the significant strength in the prior session.Dollar is giving back recent gains, Antipodeans outperform attempting to claw back post-election losses amid resilience in China.USTs are a touch firmer awaiting today’s FOMC meeting, Bunds are the clear underperformer after the German coalition collapses.Crude is modestly weaker, paring back some of gains seen in the prior session; XAU benefits from the softer Dollar and base metals gain amid positive price action in China overnight.Looking ahead, US Initial Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventory,  BoE & Fed Policy Announcement, ECB’s Lane, Schnabel, Elderson, BoE Governor Bailey & Fed Chair Powell.Earnings from PG&E Corp, Duke Energy Corp, Becton Dickinson and Co, Air Products and Chemicals Inc, Arista Networks Inc, TransDigm Group Inc, EOG Resources Inc, Motorola Solutions Inc, Airbnb Inc, Fortinet Inc, Trade Desk Inc, Ralph Lauren Corp, Moderna Inc & Warner Bros Discovery Inc.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks held a mostly positive bias as the dust settled from the US election, participants also digested Chinese trade data.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after the cash market closed lower by 1.4% on Wednesday.DXY has pulled back onto a 104 handle with antipodeans leading the fight back vs. the USD, USD/JPY sits on a 154 handle.German Chancellor Scholz dismissed Finance Minister Lindner and will call for a confidence vote on January 15th which could allow elections by the end of March.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, EZ Retail Sales, US Initial Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventory, Riksbank, Norges Bank, BoE & Fed Policy Announcements, ECB’s Lane, Schnabel, Elderson, BoE Governor Bailey & Fed Chair Powell, Supply from Spain & France.Earnings from Hochtief, Munich Re, Heidelberg Materials, Rheinmetall, Delivery Hero, Daimler Truck, Lanxess, Euronext, Engie, SES, Veolia Environment, Legrand, Zealand Pharma, GN Store Nord, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Azimut Holding, Leonardo, Nexi, Cellnex, Grifols, Telefonica, BT Group, Hiscox, Taylor Wimpey, National Grid, J Sainsbury, ITV, Hikma Pharmaceuticals, ArcelorMittal, PG&E Corp, Duke Energy Corp, Becton Dickinson and Co, Air Products and Chemicals Inc, Airbnb Inc, Ralph Lauren Corp, Moderna Inc & Warner Bros Discovery Inc.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Presidential Election results are indicative of a Trump victory and Republicans taking the Senate; House is too close to call.Equities soar with clear outperformance in the RTY with Trump poised to win the US election; Novo Nordisk +7.1% benefits after posting strong Q3 Wegovy sales.Dollar flies higher, DXY topped 105.00, before paring back to a current 104.90; EUR & JPY the clear underperformers amongst the G10s.USTs pressured and Bunds bolstered by the Trump Trade; US curve markedly steeper, attention on the House result to see if this continuesA soft session for the crude complex, pressured by the firmer Dollar and Trump’s known stance on US drilling/supply; XAU softer, base metals dented but awaiting China stimulus detailsLooking ahead, NBP Policy Announcement, US Election Results, Comments from ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & BoC’s Rogers, Supply from the US, Earnings from Williams Companies Inc, CVS Health Corp, Gilead Sciences Inc, Sempra, Qualcomm Inc, Johnson Controls International & Arm Holdings.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Presidential Election results are indicative of a Trump victory and Republicans taking the Senate; House is too close to call.US futures have ripped higher, while European futures have been hit given the potential EZ growth implications.DXY is currently up 1.5% and has seen its largest jump since March 2020; EUR, JPY and antipodeans are suffering.In the fixed income space, US yields are higher across the curve with the curve bear-steepening.Bitcoin is up over 8% after surging to a record high, crude has been hit by the stronger USD.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ PMIs (Final), NBP Policy Announcement, US Election Results, ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & BoC’s Rogers, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from Pandora, Novo Nordisk, Banco BPM, Bper Banca, Enel, Poste Italiane, Snam, Vonovia, Commerzbank, Fresenius, Henkel, Puma, Siemens Healthineers, BMW, GEA Group, Evonik Industries, Eurazeo, Arkema, Teleperformance, Credit Agricole, Wise, Persimmon, Marks and Spencer, Beazley, Williams Companies Inc, CVS Health Corp, Gilead Sciences Inc, Sempra, Qualcomm Inc, Johnson Controls International & Arm Holdings.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk