Markets Weekly podcast (10 February 2025): Trump’s tariffs, US data and UK rates

This week’s podcast focuses on the bond market reaction to trade tariff uncertainty. Michel Vernier, Head of Fixed Income Strategy, joins host Julien Lafargue to discuss the likely impact of tariffs on consumers and corporates, the latest US Federal Reserve interest rate projections and the probability of a US recession and much more besides.

With elevated market volatility, this week’s podcast focuses on how investors can retain perspective despite the challenging environment. Listen in as Alex Joshi, Head of Behavioural Finance, joins host Julien Lafargue to discuss how markets can magnify behavioural biases and why it’s important for investors not to make any knee-jerk decisions.

As financial markets grapple with the fallout from President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ announcements, Lukas Gehrig, Head of Quantitative Macro and Thematic Strategy, joins Julien Lafargue to discuss what it might mean for investors and the global economy. Listen in for their insights on how tougher US trade policy could impact the US dollar and the risk of recession, and how other economies might respond.

With an unsettled investment landscape, this week’s podcast focuses on how major currencies are faring. Listen in as Bhaskar Gupta, Head of FX Distribution in the UK, joins host Julien Lafargue to discuss the latest developments and what they mean for investors.

Amid ongoing market uncertainty, this week’s podcast delves into the latest interest rate updates from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Listen in as Michel Vernier, Head of Fixed Income Strategy, joins host Julien Lafargue to discuss the implications for interest rates and investors.

How can investors navigate current market volatility? Alex Joshi, Head of Behavioural Finance, discusses the importance of a long-term perspective, and shares some insights on keeping a cool head during market turmoil. Host Julien Lafargue covers US inflation, tariffs and interest rate expectations.

This week, Nikola Vasiljevic, Head of Global Asset Allocation, discusses the correlation between equity and bond returns and how changing economic conditions can influence the relationship. Host, Julien Lafargue also covers tariffs, US jobs and EU defence spending.

This week, Dorothée Deck, Head of Cross Asset Strategy, examines the recent rise in dispersion of equity returns. With policy uncertainty likely to persist, and AI developments leading to more differentiation at the stock level, this dispersion is likely to stay elevated. Host Julien Lafargue covers trade tariffs, inflation in the US and Europe, and Nvidia’s latest earnings announcement.

This week, Stephen Moroukian, our real estate financing specialist, delves into recent developments in the UK property market – from mortgage rates to market sentiment – and whether there could be reasons for optimism. Host Julien Lafargue also covers the German election, the prospects for Europe and what’s been driving recent stock market volatility.

In this week’s podcast, Julien Lafargue, Chief Market Strategist, considers the outlook for the US inflation, the continued barrage of headlines on US tariffs and how European markets have reacted to a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.