Toby Shevlane on Building AI Forecasters

University of Toronto political science professor Seva Gunitsky talks about the proliferation of personalist regimes in international politics. The Foreign Affairs essay referred to in this podcast is Seva Gunitsky and Semuhi Sinanoglu, "The Personalist Global Order." The intro music is "Catch It" by Coma Media. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Atief Heermance and Scott Eastman join for a special reunion episode of the NonProphets podcast (please note there’s some swearing in this episode). The intro music is “I dunno” by grapes feat. J. Lang and Morusque. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Mantic CEO and co-founder Toby Shevlane talks about teaching AI models to perform at the level of top human forecasters. The intro music is "Catch It" by Coma Media. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Forecasting Research Institute CEO Josh Rosenberg talks about FRI's research, including new results from the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament (XPT) and the ForecastBench project on AI forecasting. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Award-winning journalist and best-selling author Michael Grunwald talks about his new book on the impact of food production on the global climate, We Are Eating the Earth. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Harvard Professor of Government Ryan Enos talks about the Trump administration’s attacks on Harvard University. If you enjoy this conversation, please share it with others and rate Talking About the Future on whatever podcast platform you use. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

University of Michigan constitutional law professor Richard Primus talks about the threat the current administration poses to the rule of law and about his new book The Oldest Constitutional Question: Enumeration and Federal Power. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

University of Toronto political science professor Lucan Ahmad Way talks about the rise of authoritarianism in the US. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Forecaster and Institute for AI Policy and Strategy co-founder Peter Wildeford talks about forecasting AI progress. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe

Director of the Transatlantic Program at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute and Superforecaster Balkan Devlen talks about NATO and European security. Get full access to Telling the Future at tellingthefuture.substack.com/subscribe