Preparation Before Prediction (EP.03)

How we can prepare for every investment scenario. We discuss: Risk Parity and Futures Markets Leverage and Value Diversification Outsourcing Expertise Integrating Asset Classes to Maximize Returns Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

How can we manage for scenarios when Liquidity evaporates? We discuss: The mechanics of a Liquidity Shock The Fed and the Long Volatility Gap Diversification, Tail Hedge Protection and Theta Bleed Dennis Rodman and the Long Vol Trade Yield, Growth and Inflation Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

How can we move from Factor Beta to Alpha? We discuss: Swensen, Yale and aligning incentives The cycles of factor investing Machine learning, the Bias/Variance trade off and Alpha Ensembles Sustainable Alpha through continuous Innovation Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

What additional Sleeves can we add to maximize diversity? We discuss: Style premia, factors, smart beta – the benefits and risks Efficient negative Sharpe ratios Redemptions and “noise traders” Larry Swedroe and anomalies Value characteristics and correlations Flows and Arbitrage opportunities Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

How do we eat Sharpe ratio and meet financial goals with a maximally diversified portfolio? We discuss: Using leverage in a robust and diversified portfolio to preserve diversification while achieving target returns Why “credit” is not a distinct asset class and does not increase diversity Integrating your bets The repercussions of levering up What makes Risk Parity hard Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Traditional yields are low, so how do we meet our funding obligations? We discuss: Rebalancing highly diversified portfolios to generate 3%-5% in excess returns The Diversification Ratio and maximally diversified portfolios The increased value of maximally diversified commodity sleeves Special advantages for non-institutional investors Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Diversity of investments only produces “diversification” if asset classes are held in proper balance. We discuss: The 60/40 portfolio and why it’s not diversified or risk-balanced The advantages of Global Risk Parity Portfolios How leverage helps to preserve diversification Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Investors are often prone to “home-country” equity bias and other heuristics that leave them under-exposed to the world’s many diverse opportunities. We discuss: The importance of global asset class diversity Ray Dalio and the “All Weather Portfolio” Making portfolios resistant to inflation and growth shocks Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Philip Tetlock’s research on the qualities of Super-forecasters explains why forecasting is hard and how diverse models and systematic thinking can help close the gap. We discuss: Improving predictions by regularly updating data The Brier Score and why it really matters Why larger samples permit more accurate short term predictions The difficulties with the “Long Now” narrative Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Anyone who is responsible for stewarding wealth, from a high net worth person, to a family office, to an investment firm, to a pension plan. We discuss: Long term preservation of wealth for 30, 50, 100 years Building an investment “house” to weather all storms The difference between earning wealth and protecting it long term Clearing the “high confidence” bar Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.