Markets Brace for Monday Meltdown | Skoda vs. Taxman: ₹11,526 Cr Showdown | Whisky Withstand: Premium Spirits Defy Tariffs

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Last week, the Indian stock market hit the brakes—and hard. The Sensex plunged over 2,000 points, Nifty dropped more than 600, wiping out a two-week rally. The trigger? Donald Trump’s tariff hike announcement rattled global markets, sending IT and metal stocks into a tailspin—down 7–9%. Banks and FMCG held steady, but foreign investors flipped to sellers, deepening the slide. This week is crucial. The RBI’s monetary policy meet on April 9, along with IIP and CPI data, will set the tone. TCS kicks off Q4 earnings on April 10, adding to the market’s watchlist. Technically, Nifty’s support sits at 22,600—if that breaks, 22,100 could be next. Bank Nifty is showing some strength and might just be the market’s silver lining. Meanwhile, Skoda Auto Volkswagen India is in hot water over a ₹11,526 crore tax dispute. India’s customs department claims Skoda misclassified imported parts as something other than Completely Knocked Down (CKD) kits between 2012 and 2024—costing the exchequer big. Skoda disagrees and has taken the matter to the Bombay High Court. But customs officials say the automaker delayed proceedings by not submitting critical documents—even after repeated requests. A past probe also found Skoda concealed 31 agreements with foreign affiliates. The court has yet to rule, but the government wants adjudication to begin—immediately. India’s PM E-Drive scheme for electric trucks? Still stuck in neutral. One year in, not a single rupee of the ₹500 crore fund has been used. No trucks subsidized. No localization rules issued. The scheme, meant to boost clean logistics, is now looking to steel, cement, ports, and logistics sectors to revive demand. But without a clear Phased Manufacturing Programme (PMP), truckmakers are stuck. They say they need 18 months once rules are notified—but the clock’s ticking. The scheme ends FY26. Still, the market is moving quietly—over 6,000 electric goods carriers were sold in 2024, up from 2,600 in 2023. Chinese major BYD is leading the charge, but with ₹150 crore unused this fiscal, the government’s got work to do—and fast. Premium Indian whiskies might just dodge the U.S. tariff bullet. A fresh 26% duty hike on Indian liquor exports is worrying—but top-shelf single malts are holding their own. “Even a 30% hike won’t shake premium buyers,” says Radico Khaitan’s Amar Sinha. Last year, Indian alcohol exports to the U.S. surged nearly 50% to $10.5 million. The high margins and lifestyle positioning of premium whiskies are helping absorb the blow. But the pain is real for small and mid-sized distillers, especially in low-duty categories like ethyl alcohol. Industry leaders are pushing both governments to strike a balance before long-term growth is jeopardized. And finally, Wipro is going all-in on AI—guided by a new face. Ali Wasti, a veteran deep-tech investor, has joined Wipro Ventures as co-managing partner. He replaces retiring co-founder Venu Pemmaraju. Wasti previously led investments at HPE’s Pathfinder Ventures and brings deep AI and cybersecurity chops. Wipro just topped up its $500 million venture fund with another $200 million, aiming to back startups whose tech can be integrated into Wipro’s services. With 37 portfolio companies—mostly U.S.-based—Wipro is now eyeing AI-powered enterprise solutions as the next frontier. In today’s IT landscape, this isn’t just strategy—it’s survival.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Trump’s Tariffs Shake Global Trade, But India Stays Steady Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs—10% on all imports and 27% on Indian goods—sent global markets into a tailspin, yet India’s markets showed resilience. While Japan’s Nikkei plunged nearly 3% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.5%, India’s Sensex and Nifty 50 barely flinched. Analysts say India’s competitive edge remains intact, though foreign investors pulled ₹2,806 crore from stocks. Meanwhile, gold prices surged as investors sought safe havens amid U.S. economic concerns. With central banks increasing gold reserves, the move signals deeper worries about the dollar’s stability. India’s Fuel Trade With the U.S. Faces New Challenges The 27% tariff on Indian imports is set to disrupt India’s $6 billion petroleum trade with the U.S., particularly in refined fuels like gasoline. As Western nations cut Russian oil post-Ukraine war, India became a major supplier—but the new tariff threatens that role. Despite a 3.7% rise in export volume, revenue dropped 7% to $40.4 billion this fiscal year. Private refiners like Reliance and Nayara Energy are expected to take a hit. India is unlikely to retaliate with counter-tariffs, as that would raise domestic crude and LNG prices. Instead, officials are considering boosting imports of U.S. WTI crude to maintain trade ties. India’s Pharma Industry Wins Tariff Exemption Amid Trump’s tariff spree, Indian pharmaceuticals emerged unscathed. The U.S. exempted the sector, recognizing its role in providing affordable medicines worldwide. India supplies 40% of the U.S.’s generic drugs, saving the American healthcare system $219 billion in 2022 alone. With exports worth $8.7 billion to the U.S. and imports of just $800 million, the exemption benefits both nations. However, legal experts warn of potential future scrutiny under Section 232, which assesses imports based on national security concerns. For now, the exemption reinforces India’s status as the “pharmacy of the world,” opening opportunities for biosimilars and domestic API production. BMW India’s EV Sales Soar Despite Industry Caution BMW India defied concerns over slow EV adoption, reporting a threefold surge in electric vehicle sales in Q1 2024. EVs accounted for 17% of its total sales (3,914 units), with overall sales growing 7% year-on-year. While Tata Motors and Maruti Suzuki remain cautious about EV adoption due to infrastructure challenges, BMW sees strong demand even in smaller cities. The company’s latest EV, the BMW iX1 Long Wheelbase, launched at Auto Expo 2024, has already secured 1,500 bookings. However, the auto industry faces headwinds from Trump’s 25% tariff on auto imports, prompting manufacturers to refocus on internal combustion engines (ICE) amid policy uncertainty. Dusit International Returns to India With a Bold Expansion Plan After exiting in 2017, Thailand’s Dusit International is making a comeback in India with plans to sign 30 hotels and 3,000 rooms in three years. “This time, we’re getting it right,” says Siradej Donavanik, VP of Global Hotel Development. The company is targeting tier-II and III cities while maintaining a presence in metros. Led by industry veteran Deepika Arora, Dusit’s expansion includes luxury and upper-midscale brands, with upcoming hotels in Raipur, Bhiwadi, Kolkata, Lonavala, Kasol, and Manali. As India’s luxury travel market surges toward a projected $410 billion by 2030, Dusit sees a prime opportunity to establish a strong foothold.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Harvard in Trump’s Crosshairs Harvard is the latest Ivy League school facing Trump’s crackdown on alleged campus antisemitism. On Monday, the White House launched a review of its $9 billion in federal funding—weeks after stripping Columbia University of $400 million. Harvard’s new president, Alan Garber, has acted swiftly: dismissing Middle Eastern Studies leaders, cutting ties with a West Bank university, and reinforcing academic diversity guidelines. Critics say it’s not enough. Former Harvard President Larry Summers accused the school of ignoring Israeli perspectives, while faculty worry Garber is caving to political pressure. Princeton, too, is caught in the crossfire, with Trump pausing dozens of its research grants. Princeton’s president calls it “the greatest threat to American universities since the Red Scare.” Garber warns that losing federal funds could cripple research, but with Trump’s task force investigating multiple institutions, the battle is far from over. India Eyes Bigger Green Bond Target India is considering increasing its ₹25,342 crore sovereign green bond issuance for FY26, riding on investor interest. Green bonds, which fund renewable energy and climate projects, currently see a 2-3 basis point premium (“greenium”) over regular bonds in India, lower than the 3-8 points seen in developed markets. Officials expect higher returns this year amid global shifts towards sustainable finance. However, if investor demand falls short, the government may scale back. Since 2022, India has issued ₹58,000 crore in green bonds to support its 500 GW non-fossil fuel energy target by 2030. The coming months will determine investor appetite and the country’s green finance trajectory. Manufacturing Rebounds, But Trade Risks Loom India’s manufacturing sector rebounded in March, with the HSBC PMI hitting 58.1—its highest in eight months—driven by surging new orders. Strong demand and marketing efforts fueled the recovery, but concerns over potential US tariffs linger. President Trump is set to announce new trade measures on April 2, raising fears of weakened exports. A 20% tariff hike could shave 0.4% off India’s GDP, according to Capital Economics. Inflation is also rising, with higher costs for copper, electronics, and rubber. The RBI, meeting April 7-9, may cut rates to support growth, but with Q4 GDP tracking at 6.7%, below its 6.5% target, economic uncertainty remains. IPL Drives Food Delivery Boom The IPL season is fueling a surge in food orders, with fast-food chains cashing in. Domino’s sees no sign of demand slowing, doubling down on promotions like its six-in-one pizza. Streaming and TV viewership are soaring—JioHotstar reported a 40% spike in digital engagement, while TV audiences hit 253 million in the first three matches. Rebel Foods, which runs Wendy’s and Oven Story, increased marketing spend by 10-20%, banking on the cricket frenzy. Last year, IPL-driven sales jumped 60-70%, and brands expect another blockbuster season despite broader economic concerns.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Zepto Bets Big on Cold Chain for Fresh Produce Quick commerce is fast, but fresh produce needs better logistics. Zepto is doubling down on cold chain infrastructure to improve margins and quality. CEO Aadit Palicha is actively seeking cold supply chain experts to enhance operations. The company has partnered with Transport Corporation of India to expand storage in the South. Fruits and vegetables account for 8-10% of quick commerce sales but face 15% wastage due to India’s fragmented cold chain. The market is projected to grow from $14.5 billion (2023) to $53 billion (2032). Zepto’s private-label meat brand, Relish, leveraged cold logistics to hit ₹150 crore ARR in six months. Zomato Lays Off 600 Employees Amid Automation Push Zomato has reportedly laid off 600 customer support employees in a bid to cut costs as growth slows. The layoffs follow AI-driven automation in customer service and financial pressures at its quick commerce arm, Blinkit. Employees claim they were dismissed without notice periods or clear explanations, while Zomato cites performance issues. On Reddit, ex-employees shared grievances, with one alleging termination for being late by 28 minutes over three months. Despite the layoffs, Zomato’s stock closed 0.84% higher at ₹203.20. Aditya Birla Exits Paper Business, Sells to ITC for ₹3,500 Crore Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd (ABREL) is exiting the paper sector, selling Century Pulp and Paper to ITC Ltd for ₹3,500 crore. The deal surpassed estimates, with Nomura valuing it at 18x EV/EBITDA for FY25. ABREL’s paper segment has struggled, with revenue falling 5.5% YoY in FY24 and margins shrinking by 410 basis points. The sale will help reduce net debt (₹4,300 crore) to near-zero, boosting ABREL’s real estate expansion. However, significant cash flow from projects like Niyaara will only materialize from FY27 onwards. ABREL’s stock is down 21% in 2025, and investors await Q4 results and the Niyaara Phase 3 launch in FY26. CAG Report Flags Revenue Losses, Weak Oversight in Telecom & Digital Infra The Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) has raised alarms over governance failures in telecom, electronics, and postal services: • Telecom: The Department of Telecommunications (DoT) failed to recover ₹2,463.67 crore from telcos due to delayed audits. BSNL lost ₹1,757.76 crore by failing to bill Reliance Jio for technology use. • Electronics Manufacturing: Under M-SIPS, only ₹2,136 crore was disbursed from ₹36,991 crore in committed investments, causing policy instability for investors. • Digital Infrastructure: The ₹6,548-crore National Knowledge Network for research institutions was flagged for poor bandwidth utilization and cybersecurity gaps. • Postal Services: GST mismanagement and irregular promotions resulted in ₹17.22 crore in tax losses. The findings expose execution flaws in India’s push for digital self-reliance. Shapoorji Pallonji Faces Insolvency Plea Over Unpaid ₹2.72 Crore The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT)-Mumbai has issued a notice to Shapoorji Pallonji & Co. Pvt. Ltd (SPCPL) over an insolvency plea filed by Chennai-based Intertouch Metal Buildings Pvt. Ltd. The roofing firm alleges unpaid dues for work on Port Blair’s Veer Savarkar International Airport. SPCPL must respond within seven days, with the next hearing on April 24. This isn’t SPCPL’s first insolvency dispute. In October 2024, NCLT dismissed a similar plea by KBC Infrastructure, ruling that insolvency laws cannot be used as a debt recovery tool. As legal proceedings unfold, all eyes are on Shapoorji Pallonji’s response and whether the case progresses to full-fledged insolvency.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Stock Market Under Pressure Indian markets may open nearly 1% lower after the Eid holiday as global trade tensions resurface. Investors are wary of US President Donald Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline, which triggered sell-offs in Asian and European markets. Nifty 50 faces key support at 23,263 and resistance at 23,737, with analysts predicting volatility ahead. Meanwhile, concerns over a potential US recession (35% probability per Goldman Sachs) and FPI outflows are adding to uncertainty. IGL’s Solar Bet Indraprastha Gas Ltd (IGL) is entering renewables through a ₹2,066 crore joint venture with Rajasthan Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Ltd (RVUNL) to develop a 500 MWp solar project in Bikaner. With IGL holding a 74% stake, the project aligns with its ambition to build a 1 GW green energy portfolio within four years. The company, known for city gas distribution, is now expanding beyond Delhi into Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, and Rajasthan. Vodafone Idea’s Lifeline Vodafone Idea (Vi) received a major boost as the government converted ₹36,950 crore of spectrum dues into equity, reducing its statutory burden by 66% over three years. This frees up ₹40,000 crore in cash flow, easing Vi’s liquidity crisis as it seeks ₹25,000 crore in bank funding. However, long-term challenges remain, with annual payments of ₹43,000 crore due between FY28-31. Without tariff hikes, Vi could require further government intervention, potentially making it a public-sector telecom operator. SEBI Cracks Down on Finfluencers India’s market regulator SEBI is tightening oversight of financial influencers, especially those registered with AMFI, as part of a broader crackdown on misinformation. With help from Meta and Google, SEBI has removed 70,000 unregistered digital financial advisors. The issue is pressing—82% of social media-driven investors act on influencer advice, yet only 2% of these influencers are SEBI-registered. SEBI is exploring ways to increase the number of registered investment advisors while experts push for stricter monitoring of financial content. Telecom Expansion Faces Roadblocks Telecom firms warn of service disruptions as 13 states, including Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala, have yet to implement the Centre’s 2024 Right of Way (RoW) rules. High municipal fees, multiple approval layers, and delays in clearances are stalling 4G and 5G rollouts. The Department of Telecommunications (DoT) is pushing for compliance, with a centralized RoW portal expected soon. The Cellular Operators Association of India (COAI) is urging swift action to prevent network congestion. These developments highlight India’s evolving business landscape, with markets bracing for volatility, industries pivoting to new opportunities, and regulatory shifts shaping the investment and telecom sectors.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Jubilant FoodWorks Bets Big on Tech & Expansion Jubilant FoodWorks is ramping up its Domino’s India expansion from 2,000 to 3,000 stores, backed by Elate, an in-house Android-based POS system aimed at improving efficiency across its brands (Domino’s, Popeyes, Dunkin’, Hong’s Kitchen). CEO Sameer Khetarpal promises tech upgrades every six months, integrating AI into store management. The company is also pushing for faster deliveries, with 70% already happening in under 20 minutes and a new guaranteed 20-minute service coming to India’s top seven cities. However, dine-in sales remain sluggish as free delivery drives online orders. Meta’s Project Waterworth: Building the World’s Longest Undersea Cable Meta is advancing Project Waterworth, a 50,000-km undersea cable connecting India, the US, Brazil, South Africa, and more. The aim? Faster internet and AI-driven applications across platforms like Instagram, WhatsApp, and YouTube. Meta is in talks with Airtel, Jio, Tata Communications, and Lightstorm for landing the cable in India, navigating regulatory hurdles. With 95% of global data flowing through subsea cables, this move enhances India’s digital backbone while reducing dependence on geopolitically sensitive routes like the Red Sea and South China Sea. Indegene Expands AI-Driven Pharma Solutions in the US & Europe Bangalore-based Indegene is capitalizing on AI in pharma commercialization and regulation, particularly in the US and Europe, where it derives 64% of its revenue. With US pharma firms under pricing pressure, CEO Manish Gupta sees a major opportunity: “Pricing and market access are critical, and our AI-driven solutions can help.” The company has launched Cortex, an AI-powered platform, and is expanding in Europe, with a London center, an Ireland acquisition, and a move into Spain. Since 2010, Indegene has grown from ₹33 crore to ₹2,500 crore and is poised for further scale. Global Investors Shift from US Stocks Amid Tariff Uncertainty Investors are pulling billions from US stocks, redirecting funds to Europe, Asia, and emerging markets due to concerns over US tariff policies. In March alone, European investors withdrew $2.37 billion from US equity ETFs. April 2, Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff plan, threatens new trade tensions, prompting 15 of the world’s largest asset managers to reduce US exposure. Goldman Sachs & Barclays have already cut their S&P 500 forecasts for 2025. While some analysts argue US stocks remain attractive, foreign outflows may weaken market performance. Lollapalooza India Booms Despite Industry Challenges The third edition of Lollapalooza India attracted 60,000+ fans with Green Day, Shawn Mendes, and others. While ticket sales hit records, India’s live entertainment infrastructure remains weak, lacking dedicated concert venues. “We have to build everything from the ground up,” says Anil Makhija, COO of BookMyShow Live. Diljit Dosanjh’s criticism of India’s concert ecosystem further highlights these issues. High taxes and ticket resale controversies (e.g., Coldplay’s Mumbai show) also pose challenges. Despite this, India’s live music market is growing fast, with global artists increasingly making India a tour stop. BookMyShow is pushing for policy changes, better infrastructure, and new festivals like Bandland. “Fans are ready. Artists are ready. Now, the ecosystem needs to catch up,” says Makhija.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  State Revenue Deficit Grants Shrink India’s states are receiving far less in revenue deficit grants from the Centre—plummeting from ₹1.18 lakh crore in 2021-22 to ₹24,483 crore in 2024-25, with further cuts expected next year. The 15th Finance Commission aims to push states toward financial self-reliance. While overall central transfers to states have crossed ₹9.89 lakh crore in FY25, direct revenue support has dwindled. Strong state tax revenue growth (11.1% in H1 FY25) is helping, but fiscal deficits remain near the 3% threshold. The big question: Can states sustain financial discipline without heavy central backing? Samsung Hit with $601M Tax Demand Samsung Electronics faces a $601 million tax demand from Indian authorities over alleged tariff evasion on telecom equipment imports. Officials claim Samsung misclassified “Remote Radio Heads” (RRH) to avoid 10-20% duties. The Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) launched a probe in 2021, revealing Samsung imported $784 million worth of RRHs duty-free between 2018 and 2021. Samsung denies wrongdoing and is exploring legal options. This case is part of India’s broader scrutiny of foreign firms’ import practices—Volkswagen is also under investigation for a hefty back-tax demand. Gold Rally Keeps SGB Investors from Cashing Out Gold prices are soaring, but investors in Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs) aren’t redeeming. Despite 14.7 tonnes being eligible for early exit, only 0.5 tonnes have been encashed, as many expect prices to touch ₹1 lakh per 10 gm amid geopolitical tensions. SGBs, introduced in 2015, offer an 8-year tenure with early exit after five years. Those who invested in 2017-18 at ₹2,951 per gm are now sitting on a 14.7% annualized return, outpacing Nifty’s 13.4%. Some experts advise locking in gains and shifting to fixed deposits yielding 7-8%. Meanwhile, gold ETFs are gaining traction, with assets nearly doubling in a year. Wipro GE Healthcare Bets Big on Local Manufacturing Wipro GE Healthcare has launched a $1 billion investment plan to boost local manufacturing, aiming to produce 70% of its products in India by 2030, up from 40-45% today. The company exports medical devices to 70 countries, with the US and Europe as key markets. While US reciprocal tariffs on Indian medtech are a concern, Wipro GE remains confident, citing its diversified supply chain. The investment will expand R&D, manufacturing capacity, and add a new facility to its four existing plants in Karnataka. With India’s medtech sector projected to grow 20-23% annually, Wipro GE is positioning itself for a surge in demand. Indian Defence Stocks Poised for a Rebound? Indian defence stocks have slumped in the recent market sell-off, but analysts see a turnaround as US-India defence ties deepen. During Trump’s first term, India gained license-free access to critical US military tech. While a second Trump presidency may initially prioritize US defence exports over Indian collaboration, long-term prospects remain strong. The US-India joint statement in February outlined plans for a 10-year defence partnership, co-production agreements, and an industry alliance for autonomous systems. Meanwhile, India’s own defence push is accelerating, with ₹54,000 crore in fresh military acquisitions and a ₹50,000 crore annual defence export target by 2029. However, analysts caution that some stocks remain overvalued, and investors should adopt a selective approach.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  State Revenue Deficit Grants Shrink India’s states are receiving far less in revenue deficit grants from the Centre—plummeting from ₹1.18 lakh crore in 2021-22 to ₹24,483 crore in 2024-25, with further cuts expected next year. The 15th Finance Commission aims to push states toward financial self-reliance. While overall central transfers to states have crossed ₹9.89 lakh crore in FY25, direct revenue support has dwindled. Strong state tax revenue growth (11.1% in H1 FY25) is helping, but fiscal deficits remain near the 3% threshold. The big question: Can states sustain financial discipline without heavy central backing? Samsung Hit with $601M Tax Demand Samsung Electronics faces a $601 million tax demand from Indian authorities over alleged tariff evasion on telecom equipment imports. Officials claim Samsung misclassified “Remote Radio Heads” (RRH) to avoid 10-20% duties. The Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) launched a probe in 2021, revealing Samsung imported $784 million worth of RRHs duty-free between 2018 and 2021. Samsung denies wrongdoing and is exploring legal options. This case is part of India’s broader scrutiny of foreign firms’ import practices—Volkswagen is also under investigation for a hefty back-tax demand. Gold Rally Keeps SGB Investors from Cashing Out Gold prices are soaring, but investors in Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs) aren’t redeeming. Despite 14.7 tonnes being eligible for early exit, only 0.5 tonnes have been encashed, as many expect prices to touch ₹1 lakh per 10 gm amid geopolitical tensions. SGBs, introduced in 2015, offer an 8-year tenure with early exit after five years. Those who invested in 2017-18 at ₹2,951 per gm are now sitting on a 14.7% annualized return, outpacing Nifty’s 13.4%. Some experts advise locking in gains and shifting to fixed deposits yielding 7-8%. Meanwhile, gold ETFs are gaining traction, with assets nearly doubling in a year. Wipro GE Healthcare Bets Big on Local Manufacturing Wipro GE Healthcare has launched a $1 billion investment plan to boost local manufacturing, aiming to produce 70% of its products in India by 2030, up from 40-45% today. The company exports medical devices to 70 countries, with the US and Europe as key markets. While US reciprocal tariffs on Indian medtech are a concern, Wipro GE remains confident, citing its diversified supply chain. The investment will expand R&D, manufacturing capacity, and add a new facility to its four existing plants in Karnataka. With India’s medtech sector projected to grow 20-23% annually, Wipro GE is positioning itself for a surge in demand. Indian Defence Stocks Poised for a Rebound? Indian defence stocks have slumped in the recent market sell-off, but analysts see a turnaround as US-India defence ties deepen. During Trump’s first term, India gained license-free access to critical US military tech. While a second Trump presidency may initially prioritize US defence exports over Indian collaboration, long-term prospects remain strong. The US-India joint statement in February outlined plans for a 10-year defence partnership, co-production agreements, and an industry alliance for autonomous systems. Meanwhile, India’s own defence push is accelerating, with ₹54,000 crore in fresh military acquisitions and a ₹50,000 crore annual defence export target by 2029. However, analysts caution that some stocks remain overvalued, and investors should adopt a selective approach.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  Markets Rally as Nifty Erases Losses Just weeks ago, Nifty was deep in the red. Now, it’s wiped out its losses for the year, riding a six-day rally that has made India one of the world’s best-performing markets this month. On Monday, Nifty surged 1.32% to 23,658, while Sensex rose 1.4% to 77,984. HDFC Bank, Reliance, SBI, and ICICI Bank led the charge. “The correction’s done—we could be heading toward record highs,” says veteran investor Ramesh Damani. Foreign investors are returning, pumping in over ₹8,000 crore in two days. However, some experts remain cautious, citing global trade tensions and volatility. Sebi Eases Investment Rules, Boosts Transparency India’s market regulator, Sebi, has revamped investment rules, doubling the disclosure threshold for foreign investors from ₹25,000 crore to ₹50,000 crore, allowing alternative investment funds to take more risks, and easing fee collection restrictions for advisors. The move, led by new chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey, gives investors greater flexibility while maintaining oversight. Sebi has also set up a high-level committee to address conflicts of interest and strengthen governance, signaling a push for a more transparent and investor-friendly market. Quick Commerce Becomes a Lifeline for Consumer Brands For early-stage consumer brands, quick commerce is no longer just an add-on—it’s becoming their biggest sales channel. Startups like Sweet Karam Coffee and Wholsum Foods (Slurrp Farm) are restructuring supply chains to meet Blinkit, Zepto, and Instamart’s rapid delivery demands. Sweet Karam Coffee, for instance, shifted to regional hubs, leading to a sixfold revenue surge, with 50% of sales now coming from quick commerce. Investors like Fireside Ventures see this as their fastest-growing segment. However, challenges such as high marketing costs, limited shelf space, and operational complexities could threaten long-term profitability. Car Insurance Discounts Come at a Hidden Cost The car insurance market has transformed into a game of deep discounts and costly add-ons. Insurers lure customers with up to 80% premium cuts but recover profits by charging separately for essentials like zero depreciation, roadside assistance, and preferred garages. Some policies, especially for commercial vehicles, are issued at 95-99% discounts, distorting true pricing. While insurers claim add-ons offer flexibility, experts warn that the actual cost of insurance is now buried under multiple layers—leading to confusion and higher consumer expenses. Lentils at the Center of India-US Trade Tensions A new 10% import duty on pulses has put lentils at the heart of India-US trade talks. The US wants yellow lentils to be classified separately from red masoor to avoid the tax. Currently, both fall under the same harmonized system of nomenclature (HSN) code. India is considering duty-free US pulse imports, even as Washington prepares retaliatory tariffs on Indian goods next month. However, changing HSN classifications is a lengthy process. Despite rising domestic production, India still relies on imports, with Canada and Australia supplying the bulk of lentils. The fate of yellow lentils remains uncertain, keeping pulses a key issue in India’s global trade strategy.

To get your dose of daily business news, tune into Mint Top of the Morning on Mint Podcasts available on all audio streaming platforms. https://open.spotify.com/show/7x8Nv1RlOKyMV5IftIJwP1?si=bf5ecbaedd8f4ddc This is Nelson John, and I'll bring you the top business and tech stories, let's get started.  India’s Market Position Slips, Brazil Takes the Lead India fell three spots to sixth place in Mint’s Emerging Markets Tracker, as a stock market downturn, currency depreciation, and an 11% export decline overshadowed strong GDP growth. Meanwhile, Brazil surged to the top, driven by a 4.5% currency appreciation and stock market gains. China moved up to second, while Thailand secured third place due to export growth. Despite slower depreciation, the rupee remained one of the worst-performing currencies. Tamil Nadu’s Footwear Revolution Tamil Nadu is pivoting from leather to non-leather footwear manufacturing, attracting global brands like Nike, Puma, and Adidas. The state has secured ₹17,550 crore in investments, promising 2.3 lakh jobs. Companies like JR One Kothari have already produced 2 million Crocs, while a ₹5,000 crore Adidas facility is set to create 50,000 jobs. Rising labor costs in China, Vietnam, and Indonesia are making India a viable alternative, but challenges remain—localizing raw material supply is a priority. IPO Market Gears Up for 2025 Major firms like NSE, NSDL, Tata Capital, boAt, JSW Cement, and PhonePe are preparing for IPOs in 2025. Market volatility, investor sentiment, and US policies remain key factors. Analysts say the new wave of IPOs emphasizes financial discipline, AI integration, and ESG compliance. Among key listings, Tata Capital plans a ₹15,000 crore IPO, boAt eyes ₹2,000 crore, and JSW Cement is set for ₹4,000 crore. With market confidence rising, the IPO scene is heating up. Senior Housing, Co-Living Gain Traction India’s real estate market is shifting, with senior housing and co-living emerging as promising yet complex segments. Urbanization is driving demand for mixed-use senior living communities that blend healthcare and family housing. Meanwhile, co-living is rebounding, driven by young professionals seeking affordable housing. However, low yields and operational hurdles make investors cautious. Additionally, luxury branded residences, linked to global hospitality brands, are gaining traction among HNWIs. Indian IT Firms Lead H-1B Approvals Amid Policy Shifts Indian IT companies secured one-fifth of all H-1B visas in 2024. Infosys led Indian firms with 8,140 approvals, trailing Amazon’s 9,265. India remains the dominant H-1B recipient, but policy changes under the Trump administration could impact hiring. The selection process is shifting to prevent multiple filings, fees have increased, and records older than five years are being deleted. While Indian IT firms remain strong, new rules could create hurdles for skilled workers. India’s economic landscape is evolving—can it navigate global headwinds and capitalize on emerging opportunities?