[REPLAY] Carvana $CVNA: Will It Survive? (July 2022)

The first time I released this podcast it was two days before Christmas. Probably not the best timing if I wanted people to listen to the podcast. That's why I'm re-releasing this conversation with Judd Arnold today. If you like crazy finance stories, you will love this podcast. I hope you enjoy and tell your friends! I'm excited to share this week's podcast with Judd Arnold. This is Judd's third appearance on Value Hive and he never disappoints. This week we're doing something completely different. We're dissecting one of Judd's past off-market deals that involves the TSA, The US Government, tons of patent litigation, and an 60+ year old inventor who made something obvious that wasn't so obvious. It's a great Christmas/Holiday break from my current content of investor letters and individual stock ideas. I hope you enjoy it. Please note that neither Judd Arnold nor myself are legal professionals or attorneys and we DO NOT play ones on the internet. Nothing you listen to is investment or legal advice. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. I highly recommend the site for those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just learning about how others have done it. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers, and more! TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

I'm stoked to bring you my conversation with Doug Ramshaw, CEO of Minera Alamos $MAI.V. PLEASE NOTE: I AM NOT A SHAREHOLDER OF MAI.V AS OF THIS RECORDING. I DO NOT PLAN TO OWN SHARES FOR AT LEAST TWO WEEKS AFTER THIS PODCAST IS RELEASED AS I'M STILL DOING DUE DILIGENCE. THIS IS MINING PEOPLE, IT'S RISKY. DO YOUR OWN WORK. MOST MINES FAIL. ITS HARD. NONE OF THIS IS INVESTMENT ADVICE. Now with that out of the way ... Doug knows how to build profitable mines that scale, period. That's what he's done in the past, and that's what he's doing with MAI.V. I spend 90 minutes dissecting Doug's process for: Identifying good projects/drill results Building a profitable mining company Finding the right people Aligning company interests with shareholders Protecting shareholders from dilution Using cash from operations to expand a resource And more. If you're a metals/mining investor, you will love this episode. If you're a generalist, you will love this episode. Doug gets it. That's all I can say. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

What better time to replay my 2022 Twitter Spaces on Carvana (CVNA) and its ability to survive a potential bankruptcy than this week? If you haven't heard, CVNA has ripped over the past two years, rising from a low of ~$4/share to over $100/share. This is easily one of the most controversial stocks on Twitter. You either LOVE or HATE Carvana. There's no in-between. Fast-forward to 2024 and my Twitter audience has grown, so a lot of people probably missed this conversation. It's also a great way of reviewing past priors and seeing how those have changed over time. I hope you enjoy! ---------------------------------------------------------------- This week, we’re chatting all things Carvana ($CVNA) from a Twitter Spaces I organized on July 7, 2022. The goal was to figure out the +20 billion dollar question… Will Carvana ($CVNA) survive? We discussed how much liquidity Carvana has, what could cause a liquidity crunch, and whether the valuation is attractive enough. Plus, we had amazing guests such as Henry Rearden (@integrity4mkts), @GuyDealership, and Marc Cohodes (@AlderLaneEggs). [2:00]@WolfofMStreet bullish view [12:30] Bull Case: Carvana is not a fraud but falling used car prices are a big danger [21:00] @sixdegreestech take [24:00] How much liquidity does Carvana has? [29:00] What could make Carvana to have a liquidity crunch? [32:00] Valuation is not attractive yet: CVNA is not increasing and Inventory is increasing [43:00] Leverage + Garcia’s Management: Formula for disaster. [57:00] Henry’s Research [1:03:00] @GuyDealership insights Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

I'm excited to share my conversation with Raging Bull Cap on BQE Water $BQE.V. DISCLAIMER: I DO NOT OWN SHARES IN $BQE AS OF THE DATE OF THIS PODCAST OR AT ANY POINT BEFORE THE PODCAST. THAT COULD CHANGE IN THE FUTURE AND I WILL PROBABLY BUY SOME SHARES ON A PULLBACK IF I EVER GET ONE. DYODD PEOPLE NONE OF THIS IS INVESTMENT ADVICE. With that out of the way, I think you'll love this conversation. BQE is right up my alley and a perfect way to play the metals and mining cycle. It's a picks and shovels water play with low float, decent insider ownership, and an inflecting business model with multiple near-term catalysts. Raging Bull does a great job breaking down the thesis. If you like this podcast and want to learn more about him, check him out on Twitter/X @RagingBullCap or on substack ragingbullinvestments.substack.com. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

I'm excited to share my conversation with @Erik_YWR. Erik runs the fantastic Substack YWR.world. This conversation covers all things inflation. We discuss the main drivers of inflation/deflation, what has happened over the past 20 years in the US, why this time might be different, and how to profit from a higher-for-longer inflationary world. I really hope you enjoy this as much as I did. If you want to learn more about Erik, check him out on Twitter @Erik_YWR. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

I'm stoked to share my conversation with Calvin Froedge. Calvin has one of the most unique investing backgrounds I've encountered in four years of the podcast. He didn't graduate high school. Instead, he spent his late teen years working for his dad's machinery business. He explored other business ventures in his early twenties before moving to Panama. Today, Calvin spends his time researching new investments and running his Shipping Data company, Marhelm. I thoroughly enjoyed this conversation. Calvin is a breath of fresh air. He brings a common sense approach to real asset investing. There's no fancy math or excel work. Calvin can explain all his investments on the back of a napkin. You will enjoy his insights. We spend the hour discussing Petrobras $PBR, Ecopetrol $EC, and other ideas on Calvin's radar. If you enjoyed this podcast, check out Calvin on Twitter @CalvinFroedge. Also, Value Hive listeners get 20% off Calvin's Shipping Data service Marhelm. Just enter the code "Value" at checkout. Finally, thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with Q4 2023 letters from the following investors/funds: Greenhaven Road GreenWood Investors Silver Beech Capital Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

David Bastian of Kingdom Capital is BACK for another podcast. This time we're diving deep into GEN Restaurant Group (GENK). DISCLOSURE: I/WE AND DAVID OWN SHARES AS OF THIS PODCAST. We are free to change our minds and trade in/out of this position after the podcast is released. I'll say it again, none of this is investment advice. Do your own work. Don't trust two randoms with a microphone. I think it's a unique situation that reminds me of Kura Sushi (KRUS), which went from $14 to $120 in a few years. I hope you enjoy the podcast. Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

Alberto is one of the most underfollowed accounts on Twitter/X. He provides tremendous value for generalist investors willing to hunt in commodity markets. This week, Alberto dove deep into uranium assets, Ero Copper, and the bull case for Platinum Group Metals (PGMs). I'm a huge fan of Alberto's Substack, which you can read here: https://albertoag.substack.com/ Also, make sure to follow Alberto on Twitter @AAGResearch Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support

This week we're continuing our Investor Audibles series with Q4 2023 letters from the following investors/funds: SaltLight Capital Cedar Creek Partners Legacy Ridge Capital Please let me know what other letters you'd want to hear on future Investor Audible series episodes! Finally, a big thanks to the following sponsors for making the podcast a reality. Mitimco This episode is brought to you by MIT Investment Management Company, also known as MITIMCo, the investment office of MIT. Each year, MITIMCo invests in a handful of new emerging managers who it believes can earn exceptional long-term returns in support of MIT's mission. To help the emerging manager community more broadly, they created ⁠⁠⁠⁠emergingmanagers.org⁠⁠⁠⁠, a website for emerging manager stockpickers. For those looking to start a stock-picking fund or just looking to learn about how others have done it, I highly recommend the site. You'll find essays and interviews by successful emerging managers, service providers used by MIT's own managers, essays MITIMCo has written for emerging managers and more! Tegus Tegus has the world’s largest collection of instantly available interviews on all the public and private companies you care about. Tegus actually makes primary research fun and effortless, too. Instead of weeks and months, you can learn a new industry or company in hours, and all from those that know it best. I spend nearly all my time reading Tegus calls on existing holdings and new ideas. And I know you will too. So if you’re interested, head on over to ⁠⁠⁠⁠tegus.co/valuehive⁠⁠⁠⁠ for a free trial to see for yourself. TIKR TIKR is THE BEST resource for all stock market data, I use TIKR every day in my process, and I know you will too. Make sure to check them out at ⁠⁠⁠⁠TIKR.com/hive⁠⁠⁠⁠. Marhelm Marhelm is an information service for investors to find real value in an overvalued market. With a focus on shipping and commodities, Marhelm helps you stay on the pulse of global trade, track global sentiment, and identify compelling investment opportunities. Get 20% of your subscription by using the code VALUE at checkout. Check it out ⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/valuehive/support