The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show podcast

It's a Numbers Game: New 2026 Polls Reveal GOP Bright Spots Despite Democrats’ National Lead

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The 2026 midterm elections are approaching, and Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest polling to examine where Republicans are showing potential bright spots despite Democrats holding a sizable advantage in national generic-ballot polling.

Ryan digs into Senate, gubernatorial and congressional polling in Minnesota, Maine, New Hampshire, Oregon, New York, Alaska, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Texas, examining why individual races can diverge sharply from the national political environment. He also looks at what current polling says is motivating Democratic and Republican voters heading into November.

Plus, Ryan examines the latest economic warning signs after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% target range, its first increase since 2023, as inflation remains elevated. He discusses how dramatically the cost of food, vehicles, rent, insurance and other everyday expenses has changed—and why affordability could remain a major concern for voters.

Ryan also discusses demographic tensions in Los Angeles and closes the show with Ask Me Anything, answering listener questions about rural voters, Texas campaign spending and Utah politics.

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