Everyone Trades Too Much... And It's Costing Them Everything

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes George Noble to the show. George is the managing partner of Noble Capital Advisors. He's also the author of The Noble Update on Substack, which has more than 13,000 subscribers.   George kicks things off by expressing his skepticism about Tesla. He says that despite the company branching out into different areas, the majority of its revenue comes from car sales and should therefore be treated as a car company. He also believes that investors are improperly valuating the stock, ignoring the fundamentals in favor of "charts" and "the narrative." And his sentiment extends further out into SpaceX. Due to the Nasdaq Composite Index altering the rules for listing stocks, George thinks that the company's upcoming IPO is not going as well as people might think if it couldn't meet the previous requirements for entry. (0:00)   Next, George discusses semiconductor capital expenditures. He says that folks are too caught up in the current boom and aren't looking at whether a company has a price to earnings that warrants buying a company's stock. Then he shifts the conversation briefly to bonds, saying that the market is so focused on energy due to tension surrounding the Strait of Hormuz that it hasn't noticed that bond rates have gone up, which normally go down during war. And his concern with that is what happens when we face a deflation bust. Additionally, investors aren't even aware of how hyperscalers have been hurting their portfolios, thinking that they hold a diversified collection of stocks. (13:26)   Finally, George shares how U.S. bonds are losing their worth due to the weakening dollar and warns that folks should "run, not walk" from their bonds. While bond coupons are enticing, the value of the money you receive is not worth it in the long term. George believes that the value of the dollar is currently pegged to U.S. expenses and payments, and just like when it was removed from the gold standard, he says that we need to cut it loose to end the continuing downward spiral. And he leaves listeners with a word of encouragement – and caution for newer investors. (27:41)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Jonathan Rose to the show. Jonathan is the editor of Masters in Trading at our corporate affiliate InvestorPlace. He has a presentation where he's showing how he's tracking 20 stocks that have strong, unusual market bets right now. You can view this presentation here.   Jonathan kicks things off by sharing how his livestream show operates and how his Discord community has become a resource for newcomers. He then gives his trading background by explaining how he made 1,000 trades a day for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and how that launched his career. He also mentions what's new on the market floor due to technology changing the way we invest. Jonathan next states what he looks for in his trades. He says the best traders should be able to explain why they're making a particular trade. For him, valuation is one of the things he looks for. And he likes to search for groups of five stocks that can rise together even if one is lagging. (0:00)   Next, Jonathan discusses owning multiple ideas and having "relative trading" between stocks. He also believes that stocks aren't "expensive" or "inexpensive" in isolation – rather, they can be high or low, correlating to similar stocks. One of the things that Jonathan does when looking for new trades is following "unusual options activity" set by the biggest traders. It suggests that they know something about companies that most folks don't, and paying attention tends to pay off. And Jonathan cautions against making too many trades. (13:26)   Finally, Jonathan advises treating trading like any other business and earn the right to buy more shares or place bigger trades. If you track your portfolio's performance and see that it's strong, it's fine to add risk. But if your portfolio is pulling back, you should be controlling your risk instead. Jonathan then shares four tickers and will explain why he's looking at them in his upcoming presentation. And he wants investors to understand that everything in the financial world is a derivative of something else and that you should find a way to express your opinion in whichever area you choose to invest in. (29:00)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Pete Carmasino back to the show. Pete is the chief market strategist at our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. He's also editor of the Chaikin PowerTactics and Chaikin Power Portfolio newsletters.   Pete kicks things off by discussing the current trends he's seeing. He says that you can't focus on just one area because there are many moving parts that shape the market, including other investors. The goal, he states, is to react to the movements, not predict where things are headed. Predictions can be wrong, and folks who don't react wind up missing out on new opportunities. Pete then shares his investing process. He understands that sectors rotate, and when he sees a shift from one sector to another, he follows the signal on where to start moving money. He also looks at fundamentals and technicals to determine whether the stocks he's looking at are good buys at the moment. And he shares his thoughts on the Strait of Hormuz tension and how things might play out. (0:00)   Next, Pete shares his thoughts on the energy crisis. He says the root cause is less of a supply issue and more of a distribution problem. He believes that properly equipping refineries will encourage miners to produce more oil. According to him, if the supply can increase while conflict tensions decrease, we can have an equilibrium where consumers are comfortable with gas prices and miners are content to continue drilling. Then, he talks about the producers that he finds most promising in several different sectors. (17:05)   Finally, Pete explains how his portfolio works. Using a "top-down analysis," he looks at themes throughout the year to find the best names in the strongest market sectors. He then shifts to the market corrections we've seen since the sell-off from last year's "Liberation Day." But he notes that the big names in the Magnificent Seven didn't recover with the rest of the broader market last November. And that implies that the baton could be getting passed from tech to energy. So he adjusted his portfolio to prepare for a sector rotation. He then wraps things up by stressing the importance of handling risk management in your portfolio. (35:48)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Tracy Shuchart to the show. Tracy is the founder, CEO, and chief market strategist of Hilltower Research Advisors. She's also the author of the Renegade Resources newsletter on Substack, which has more than 8,000 subscribers.   Tracy kicks things off by discussing the issues surrounding diesel. She says that the world was previously in a "diesel crunch" in 2025, which only started to ease up in early 2026. With 14% of global refined products passing through the Strait of Hormuz, tension with Iran has started to set things back again. Tracy also states that there's a diesel refinery issue. The U.S. has been slow to build new refineries and is importing diesel from Europe, which is experiencing its own refinery problems. Tracy then gives her 10-year outlook on diesel for the U.S., with part of the solution being that the country looks to South America. (0:00)   Next, Tracy shares her reasoning for discussing municipal bonds in her recent writings. She sees a lot of risk in buying energy bonds right now and cautions investors to know what they're buying if they decide to buy any of them. She then mentions how commodities have more applications than most folks realize and are connected with other resources. For example, a sulfuric acid shortage in Africa is impacting copper mines. Tracy then shifts the discussion to China's willingness to produce energy by utilizing any resources necessary, including coal, and she believes that Southeast Asian countries could also start leaning more toward coal as well. She thinks that while nuclear energy is starting to be seen as a viable energy solution, it will take time to establish power plants and overcome remaining pushback. (16:20)   Finally, Tracy explains the problems with relying on solar power as a primary source, especially since our grids aren't built to accommodate it. And while there are discussions about adding batteries, she says it's not efficient enough or economically viable for widespread use. Tracy then shares several companies that she's looking at that she believes will be well positioned once the Iran conflict settles. And she concludes things by sharing her bullish outlook on gold. (36:02)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Alex Morris back to the show. Alex is the founder of TSOH (The Science of Hitting) Investment Research and an author. TSOH, which boasts more than 24,000 subscribers, aims to generate attractive long-term returns while providing complete transparency on the research process, portfolio decision-making, and returns.   Alex kicks things off by reflecting on the potential changes in Berkshire Hathaway due to the passing of Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett's retirement. He believes the company is in a good position to continue the momentum that was built up when Buffett was at the helm and acknowledges that the issues the company currently faces were present during Buffett's final days. Alex then begins sharing the names of companies that have fallen but he believes will be able to improve their positions. Though he's wary about picking beaten stocks that might be going nowhere. (0:00)   Next, Alex gives his outlook on the next set of stocks he's considering. The first was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. But Alex believes that it's taking the right steps to combat inflation without causing its customers to turn away. The second stock is in a niche field. It's currently facing headwinds from a stagnant housing market, but Alex is confident that once conditions improve, the company is set to boom. The third is building up its business by providing higher-quality, premium beverages compared with the competition, which can produce loyal customers who won't want to settle for anything else. And the fourth also provides premium products, only directed at the egg industry. (24:54)   Finally, Alex discusses his final stock pick. This is a company that has faced controversy surrounding user safety, but Alex says the company has improved and continues to improve its safety protocols and is righting the ship. In the long run, he sees the company being comparable with YouTube due to the way its creators make experiences that can't be rivaled by any similar platform. And he concludes by stressing the importance of creating goals in your life. (44:13)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes value investor Tobias Carlisle back to the show. Tobias is the founder and portfolio manager of Acquirers Funds, a deep-value investment firm. He's also the host of a podcast and the author of numerous books, including The Acquirer's Multiple.   Tobias kicks things off by discussing the performance of his energy fund and the energy sector. He likes to compare gold with oil to see how their pricing has moved in relation to each other over the past year. He thinks oil companies are still cheap and believes that we haven't seen "peak oil" prices yet. He also gives the tickers of two energy companies that he's confident are good places to put your money to take advantage of the energy crisis. (0:00)   Next, Tobias shares two other energy stocks that he's fond of. While these companies aren't as stable as the previous two due to their locations, they possess quality shale sites that make them compelling considerations. Tobias then shifts his attention to two other companies focused on the fertilizer and copper industries. With the first company, he emphasizes that folks need to eat and that the company will aid in food production and remain strong, especially since "nitrogen-based fertilizer feeds half the world." And with the second company, he believes that we're currently in the middle of a cycle for copper demand. (14:52)   Finally, Tobias gives his thoughts on the housing sector. While many investors might avoid it because housing sales are lower than they were at the bottom of the great financial crisis (due to high home prices), he believes that buying now and holding on will pay off when it springs back to life. He also makes the case that in most markets you want to be a contrarian because you can buy good companies at low price-to-earnings multiples. And he cautions investors not to think about companies as blank tickers but as functioning, moving entities that have work put into them that can break them out of stagnancy. (28:34)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Michelle Leder back to the show. Michelle is the creator of footnoted.com, an information service dedicated to finding opportunities and early warning signals buried in U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") filings.   Michelle kicks things off by explaining what company proxy statements are and why they matter for investors. She says the summary compensation table and footnotes found in these documents let you know not only how much management is being paid but also what motivates their actions. Michelle emphasizes that as an investor, you need to know whether the company has your best interests in mind. She also says to look at director pay, as some officers sit on the boards of multiple companies and may not be likely to "rock the boat" and push for change. Another key component to examine is the related-party transactions that show you any disclosures in company spending. (0:00)   Next, Michelle says that observing who the owners and top investors are is critical. You should also know how many shares investors have. She says knowing this will let you know if they "have any skin in the game" and will work to ensure that shareholders are being considered. Another aspect to look at is shareholder proposals. Michelle states that there's an argument to be made that proposals should come from shareholders with substantial positions rather than those with smaller stakes. And she gives her thoughts on AI utilization in SEC filings. (19:17)   Finally, Michelle shares one stock that she warned her subscribers about before it fell dramatically over the past year. While some had believed that the stock would perform well, Michelle says the SEC filings were the key indicator to stay away from the company. She also addresses other small details that she looks for to evaluate a company's health and her strategy for short-term signals. (40:25)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes David Cervantes back to the show. David is the founder of Pinebrook Capital Management – a boutique asset manager focused on asset allocation and managing various systematic trading strategies.   David kicks things off by reflecting on the progress that glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) drugs have made since his last discussion at a Stansberry Research Conference several years ago. The drug has branched out of medical use into professional use and for standard weight loss, resulting in the companies he previously discussed to have performed well since then. He then discusses the current market shift from the Magnificent Seven to industrials and the S&P 493. The equal-weighted S&P 500, in particular, is beginning to outperform the Mag Seven. And David shares his thoughts on Blue Owl Capital selling its assets and what that means for the private-equity industry. (0:00)   Next, David explains where the money flowing from the Blue Owl sale is coming from and how it's connected to the banking system. If the sell-off negatively impacts banks (and by extension, the labor market comprised of voters), politicians will step in to "fix" things using whatever means necessary. David then gives his thoughts on the U.S. dollar and why he thinks that, despite skepticism and bearish outlooks, it still has what it needs to maintain its current position. And he lists how small-cap stocks have changed in how they operate and their relationship with private equity. (20:44)   Finally, David expresses why the labor market is important for the economy and for policy. Discussions he has had with experts indicate that tightening or hardening the labor market will likely result in layoffs and inflation. Following this, David details the areas that he thinks will do well, given the current market rotation and uncertainty in Iran. (41:52)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Cullen Roche back to the show. Cullen is the founder of portfolio-management firm Discipline Funds. He is also the author of several books, his most recent one titled Your Perfect Portfolio.   Cullen kicks things off with his thoughts on market uncertainty due to the Middle East conflict. He believes that volatile oil prices (and other commodities) will have an impact on the market. Additionally, he says that the U.S.'s attacks could prompt an escalating confrontation with China – where the latter decides to invade Taiwan and seize control of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the world's largest semiconductor producer. And he expresses his desire to see a freer market unhindered by tariffs. (0:00)   Next, Cullen delves deep into AI and how it relates to his investing strategies. He states the risk that the technology poses with many companies and sectors pouring money into it. However, he doesn't see that outcome playing out. He then shares how AI has been beneficial for him and says that utilizing it in creative ways can help differentiate your business from the competition. And he gives his outlook on robotics and how that will impact jobs in the future. (20:33)   Finally, Cullen details his exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") and what their purposes are. He also shares the time horizons for the ETFs so investors can know how to plan their strategies over those periods. But Cullen does allow flexibility with his funds to ensure that they can evolve and shift to match the changes in the markets and decrease risk. And he compares the pros and cons of using equal-weighted indexes versus market-cap-weighted indexes. (40:00)

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Greg Diamond back to the show. Greg is the editor of Ten Stock Trader, an advisory focused on trading using market analysis to find the best opportunities based on previous market patterns.   Greg kicks things off by sharing his theme for 2026: time. He looked at the inflection points in January and is looking at the upcoming ones in April and May. January saw both technology and financial stocks peak before declining. And while Greg believes these sectors are oversold and will correct themselves slightly, the decline will continue. He says that AI taking over is part of this trend, and unlike other "creative destruction" (like the transition from horse-drawn carriages to automobiles) trends in the past, this one is developing much faster. Greg says looking at time cycles and understanding them is essential to prepare for where the market could be heading next. (0:00)   Next, Greg discusses his thoughts on various commodities. He recently traded several positions in silver for wins before the metal's crash and is currently watching to see where it goes from here. He's not as optimistic on oil and natural gas due to the lack of information that investors have outside of OPEC, but he is looking for breakthroughs that could have an impact on the wider market. Copper is another resource that he's interested in, and there are several plays that he believes folks can make. But he says understanding what fuels these movements is more important than why they're occurring. (14:47)   Finally, Greg lists his current trades and where he thinks market volatility is heading. He can't delve too deeply to be fair to his subscribers, but he's preparing to be extremely aggressive in his trades over the next few months. Greg then states that he does his best trading when he ignores what everyone else is saying. He'd rather focus on his monitors and charts than allow himself to be persuaded by outside voices. (31:20)