
Three years after his first Invisible Machines visit, Don Scheibenreif returns with a sharper read on the trough: everybody knows generative AI, almost nobody has answered what it does to the business model. He led Gartner’s Autonomous Business research, the successor to digital business, and co-authored When Machines Become Customers. The through-line is that AI is a tool, the harder question is how to create value with it.
Josh and Robb press him on token maxing as a vanity flex. Don calls it a lazy metric, pointing to more interesting questions: where are you more productive, which processes were reinvented, what happened to talent, and what are you doing with the investment? 80% of CEOs see it as the #1 transformative tech and want disruption, but most are settling for efficiency theater and middle-manager cuts while boards ask for more tech-savvy leadership. In Don’s framing this comes with rolling up your sleeves, not mandating from above.
Also in this episode:
- The hyper hype cycle (peak → trough → peak loops as the tech moves faster than before);
- Organizational bullwhip vs organic individual use;
- Fear as brakes on the system;
- Crisis engineering and the plans that are lying around;
- The risk that AI in the hands of people eliminates companies before AI in companies eliminates jobs;
- Machine customers and retailers already blocking agent access while Amazon’s Buy for Me goes outside the walls;
- Agents that work for you vs agents that work for the vendor;
- Human brand vs machine brand;
- Service design and customer effort score;
- Frontline managers as the linchpin; and
- The next research wave Don names at the close: implementation platforms, ethics, and safeguards.
When Machines Become Customers (book): https://www.gartner.com/en/publications/when-machines-become-customers
Customers Don’t Reject AI...They Reject Being Dehumanized: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6ZqXVXRWIw
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