Agile Rocket podcast

Estimates: A Corporate Comfort Blanket?

12.9.2025
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Focus on Outcomes, Not Outputs Let’s be honest… How often have you sat in a planning meeting, tossing around numbers, trying to guess how long something might take… all while secretly knowing reality will probably say otherwise? If you’re a Scrum Master, Product Owner, or manager, chances are this is your weekly routine. In this episode, we’re peeling back the layers on why organizations cling so tightly to estimates. Are they actually helping us deliver better products — or are they just giving leaders a false sense of control and security? We’ll unpack the hidden reasons why teams over-rely on estimation, how this habit can distort priorities, and what we might lose when we treat estimates like promises instead of just data points. But more importantly, we’ll explore smarter alternatives: ways to build trust, improve forecasting, and make real progress—without obsessing over point precision. By the end of this episode, you’ll walk away with a fresh perspective on estimation. You'll learn how to spot when estimates become more about comfort than clarity—and how to guide your team and stakeholders toward more meaningful conversations about delivery, flow, and outcomes. Timeline 01:44 Estimates as a Comfort Blanket 02:19 Why Plans Fall Apart 03:08 Cause and Effect Doesn’t Work That Way 03:55 Wishful Thinking and Real-World Chaos 04:20 Why Teams Still Love Estimates 04:57 The Data Doesn’t Lie 06:00 The Cost of Waiting 06:23 Project Management Is Broken 06:52 Enter NoEstimates 07:23 Focus on Outcomes, Not Outputs 07:50 Think Like an Investor 08:10 Fund Teams, Not Work Items 08:37 Forecast with Flow, Not Fantasy 09:24 Try This With Your Own Data 10:05 The NoEstimates Mindset Invitation | Consultancy Now I provide free, 1-1 online consulting service. If you have any agile related problems or project management issues, please reserve a web call with me. I would answer your questions as possible as I could. 👉 Book now: https://calendly.com/uragilecoach/consulting Follow me on other platforms for further updates. 🌟 Substack: https://reurl.cc/04G7yx 🌟 Youtube: https://reurl.cc/8D1x94 🌟 Medium: https://reurl.cc/eXxrnK 🌟 LinkedIn: https://ssur.cc/pgjLNGN 🌟 Podcast: https://reurl.cc/6N284V 🌟 Instagram: https://reurl.cc/8qGkZd -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

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