Devy Devotional #156 - Numbers Don't Lie

Running backs can emerge unexpectedly in the NFL. Evaluating running backs is often more straightforward than quarterbacks. Jaden Baugh's performance raises questions about his draft stock. PPR points per touch is a crucial metric for evaluating running backs. Top running backs in the class are those who meet key performance thresholds. Emerging talents like Weyshawn Parker are gaining attention. Justice Haynes' performance has been disappointing this season. Players like Hollywood Smothers could be undervalued in drafts. Understanding player metrics can guide better draft decisions. Identifying players to avoid can save resources in drafts. Aiden Flora is a fourth-year player at Iowa State. Player size can significantly impact evaluation metrics. Turbo Richard has potential but faces competition. Dylan Riley's performance is under scrutiny due to competition level. Nate Frazier's metrics raise concerns about his viability. Height can affect running back performance but isn't a disqualifier. PPR points per touch is crucial for evaluating running backs. Yards per route run is an important metric for running backs. The conversation will continue with a focus on wide receivers next week. Understanding metrics is essential for fantasy football success.ChaptersChapters00:00 Introduction to Running Backs and Wide Receivers05:12 Evaluating Running Backs: Trends and Insights09:50 The Case of Jaden Baugh: Overhyped or Underrated?14:50 Thresholds for Success: PPR Points and Big Time Runs20:39 Top Running Backs in the Class: Who to Watch25:13 Players on the Rise: Emerging Talents30:46 Players to Monitor: Potential Breakouts35:28 Evaluating Draft Prospects: The Next Level40:32 Player Evaluations and Metrics46:03 Emerging Running Backs and Their Potential52:34 Height and Performance in Running Backs57:03 Understanding PPR Points Per Touch64:28 Additional Metrics for Running Backs74:37 Looking Ahead: Wide Receiver Discussion Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Analytics are crucial for evaluating players in Debbie leagues. Trade discussions can reveal differing valuations of players. Metrics like big-time throw rate are key for QB evaluations. Nate Shepherd is undervalued in current trade discussions. Julian Saiyan is a standout QB based on metrics. Understanding player performance is essential for fantasy success. Trade strategies should consider both current and future value. Player injuries can impact trade decisions and valuations. The importance of metrics varies between college and NFL evaluations. Debbie leagues require a balance of campus and NFL assets. Mensa's performance metrics are concerning this season. Lincoln Keenholes is emerging as a notable quarterback. CJ Carr's stats show promise despite recent dips. Michael Hawkins is a dual-threat quarterback to watch. Gio Lopez has potential but needs to prove consistency. Freshman quarterbacks are showing varying levels of success. The wide receiver class has been disappointing this year. Running backs are starting to stand out in college football. Strength of schedule significantly impacts player evaluations. Future discussions will focus on running backs and wide receivers.Chapters00:00 Introduction to Debbie Devotional and Analytics03:08 Trade Talk: Analyzing Recent Trades05:57 Player Metrics and Performance Analysis09:04 Evaluating Quarterback Metrics11:58 Nate Shepherd Trade Discussion15:14 Debating Player Values and Trade Strategies18:08 Exploring College Player Metrics20:47 Final Thoughts on Trades and Player Evaluations36:07 Evaluating Quarterback Performance39:27 Emerging Quarterback Talents41:33 Analyzing Quarterback Metrics43:04 Strength of Schedule Considerations49:17 Gio Lopez: A Rising Quarterback?52:07 Freshman Quarterbacks and Their Potential56:09 Freshman Wide Receiver Insights60:22 Running Back Class Overview63:16 Looking Ahead: Future Discussions Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

TakeawaysMock drafting helps evaluate player values. Engagement in drafts leads to hot takes. Guess the Guy game adds fun to analysis. Market share is crucial for player evaluation. Under-the-radar players can rise in value. Player performance can shift perceptions. Draft strategy involves considering multiple classes. The SEC produces notable wide receiver talent. Understanding player transfers is important. Player analysis requires looking beyond consensus. Market share is a crucial metric for evaluating college players. Cam Coleman has a significant market share at Auburn. KJ Duff is recognized as a productive player despite skepticism. Keyshawn Singleton could match Zay Flowers' numbers. Jackson Harris is an intriguing prospect from LSU. Jordan Tyson is a player with high expectations for the future. Keelan Russell is viewed as a top quarterback prospect. Omar Cooper Junior is making a name for himself in the NFL. Jeremiah Love is a promising running back despite injury concerns. CJ Carr is emerging as a top quarterback in the 2027 class. KJ Duff is expected to dominate the combine and is a strong first-round pick. Fernando Mendoza is a smart choice for a Superflex league. Malachi Tony is more than just a gadget player; he has explosive abilities. Jeremy Bernard is earning playing time and targets in the NFL. Camario Taylor is a fun fantasy quarterback with high potential. Drew Mestermaker is gaining hype as a potential first-round pick. Denzel Boston is excelling despite poor quarterback play. Jadarian Price is a first-round talent who can bounce back from injury. D'Arrow Hill Jr. is a top running back prospect for 2028. The hosts enjoyed a fluid discussion, highlighting various players and their potential.Sound Bites00:00 "Let's dive into a cornerstone mock."02:38 "This is a fun exercise."04:43 "We're doing a guess the guy game."08:25 "This player's moving up."09:30 "He has a thirty percent market share."16:23 "The offense itself is terrible."17:11 "This is nothing amazing."18:54 "KJ Duff, like, he's a productive player."29:55 "I have high hopes for Jordan Tyson."36:50 "Omar Cooper Junior, dominating."50:34 "KJ Duff is gonna dominate the combine!"51:04 "I believe in KJ Duff!"51:50 "Fernando Mendoza is a smart pick!"54:39 "He is a focal point for Miami!"62:16 "Jeremy Bernard is earning targets!"68:37 "Drew Mestermaker could be QB1!"81:39 "Jadarian Price is a first-round talent!"Chapters00:00 Introduction to Cornerstone Mock Draft03:29 Engagement and Draft Strategy05:13 Guess the Guy Game Begins08:46 Exploring Under-the-Radar Players12:38 Market Share Insights and Player Analysis16:23 Discussion on Keyshawn Singleton17:57 Market Share Insights in College Football23:09 Cornerstone Mock Draft Begins24:02 Top Picks for the 2026 Class29:33 Evaluating Emerging Talent32:01 Quarterback Prospects in Focus38:30 Rookie Running Backs and Future Potential44:15 Wide Receiver Rankings and Draft Capital49:40 Final Picks and Player Evaluations50:34 KJ Duff: The Rising Star51:50 Quarterback Picks: Mendoza and Beyond52:55 Malachi Tony: The Gadget King55:53 Recapping the First Round58:56 Speed Round: Nate Shepherd and More61:45 Jeremy Bernard: A Promising Receiver64:24 Camario Taylor: The Future QB68:05 Drew Mestermaker: The Next Big Thing71:49 Denzel Boston: A Rookie to Watch73:47 Jadarian Price: The Unseen Talent81:51 D'Arrow Hill Jr.: The RB to Bet On84:51 Final Thoughts and Future Prospects Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsDraft strategy and player rankingsInjury impact on rookie prospectsQuarterbacks with potential upsideRising wide receiver starsSleeper running backs and tight endsChapters00:00 Introduction and episode overview00:36 Discussing rookie class strategies and rankings02:21 Push for running backs in drafts and its pitfalls04:46 Injury impacts on rookie running backs10:31 Quarterbacks with potential and injury updates14:48 Sleeper quarterbacks to watch, including Michael Hawkins22:22 Emerging running backs and freshmen to monitor35:38 Wide receiver prospects and breakout candidates52:27 Underrated tight ends and their prospects01:01:08 Additional sleeper names and closing thoughts  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsAnalysis of the 2027 draft class prospectsDiscussion of draft strategies and player rankingsEvaluation of college players and their NFL potentialInsights into early draft trends and player developmentMock draft simulation and player comparisonsChapters00:00 Introduction to the 2027 Draft Class04:05 Randomized Draft Order and Initial Picks06:25 Top Pick Jeremiah Smith and Wide Receiver Talent08:31 Quarterback Discussions: Darien Mensa and Others12:29 Mid-First Round Picks: KJ Duff and Cam Coleman16:04 Wide Receiver and Running Back Selections24:56 Second Round Picks and Value Plays33:20 Quarterback and Tight End Picks in the Second Round50:24 Wrap-up and Future Draft Projections  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsCollege football recruiting trendsPlayer development and performance analysisIdentifying risers and fallers in college footballFantasy football strategy and player rankingsImpact of coaching and team changes on player valueChapters00:00 Introduction to College Football Risers and Fallers02:05 Rules and Strategies for Drafting Risers and Fallers04:57 Top Risers in College Football This Season09:53 Notable Fallers and Disappointments15:04 Player Analysis: KJ Duff and CJ Carr19:47 Quarterback and Wide Receiver Breakouts24:51 Running Back Trends and Concerns29:59 Impact of Opponent Quality and Defense35:05 Strategic Picks and Steals in Drafts39:53 Evaluating Freshmen and Underclassmen44:58 Future Outlook and Mock Draft Planning  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsAnalysis of the 2027 quarterback class and its depthEvaluation of wide receiver prospects and depthDiscussion on running back talent and depthDebunking hype and misconceptions about the classInsights into college performance and NFL potentialImpact of player size and athleticism on draft prospectsEvaluation of top prospects like Jeremiah Smith and Jeremiah LoveDiscussion on the importance of landing spots and draft capitalAnalysis of player development and season progressAdvice for fantasy football managers regarding rookie picksChapters00:00 Introduction to the 2027 Rookie Class02:07 Initial thoughts on the hype and expectations03:48 Position by position analysis: Quarterbacks11:56 Quarterback class evaluation and concerns22:01 Wide receiver prospects and depth29:51 Running back class overview and concerns39:57 Impact of college performance and NFL prospects49:58 Fantasy football implications and draft strategies59:54 Player development and season progress01:09:45 Final thoughts and advice for managers  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsIntroduction to the trustometer system for player trustworthinessHow to interpret early season college football statsIdentifying true breakout players versus fake outsAnalysis of specific players like Jaden Baugh, Lincoln Kienholes, and Reed HarrisThe impact of competition level on player trustworthinessUsing trust scores to inform fantasy football decisionsDiscussion of college football schedule strength and its effect on statsRapid fire player analysis and trust evaluationChapters00:00 Introduction to the episode and main theme02:03 The concept of the trustometer and trust scores03:55 Analyzing Jaden Baugh's season and trustworthiness09:58 Discussion on college football schedule strength and player trust14:52 Rapid fire analysis of players and trust levels29:54 Summary of key players and trust system insights59:53 Final thoughts on college football breakouts and fake outs  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsPlayer panic meter and analysis of Jace Brown, Cam Coleman, Bryce UnderwoodImpact of team changes and injuries on player valueSchedule analysis and future outlook for college playersComparison of player efficiency and usage ratesDebbie league prospects and NFL draft implicationsChapters00:00 Introduction and episode overview02:06 Discussion on college football upsets and early season noise03:54 Jace Brown's current status and usage at LSU06:10 Analysis of wide receiver Cam Coleman and his early season performance07:46 Bryant Westcoe's targets and injury concerns09:59 Caleb Hawkins' early season outlook and big play potential12:05 Team impact on player performance and schedule considerations13:57 Wide receiver Kewan Brown and overall backfield analysis15:48 Texas Tech backfield and Cameron Dickey's prospects18:02 Quarterback Bryce Underwood's struggles and future outlook19:57 Jaden Maeva's performance and potential in college football21:51 Quarterback JKS's evaluation and NFL draft prospects23:54 Summary of key player evaluations and final thoughts   Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

 key  topicsWeek one performance analysisPlayer development and regressionImpact of schedule strength on player statsFreshman breakout potential and redshirt rulesQuarterback and running back evaluationsTeam strategies and coaching decisionsImplications for Debbie and fantasy leaguesEarly season data interpretation and patience  Subscribe to The Devy Devotional on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen. Leave a 5-star review and help more dynasty managers find the show.Follow us on X: @DevyDevotional Hosts: John Arrington (@DynastyCoachA), Aaron Wilcox (@AaronWilcox86), Andy Starr (@AstarrFF) Watch live episodes on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.