Carl Wins the BIF Bet

Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon, and RCP White House Correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss the Dems problem with the working class vote and the latest squabbling in Congress. They also talk about the sports star controversies involving Kansas City Chiefs Kicker Harrison Butker and professional golfer Scottie Scheffler. Then finally, Tom interviews Senator Tim Scott about Donald Trump's success with black voters, his thought on who will be Trump's VP, and civility in America.

Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon, and Sean Trende discuss the debate about the presidential debates and President Biden invoking his executive privilege over the recordings of his interview with Special Counsel Robert Hur. They also talk about the Bob Menendez corruption trial and the Louisiana redistricting case. Next, Carl Cannon talks with Dane Strother about the Louisiana redistricting case as well as the 2024 Senate races. And finally, Tom Bevan talks with Susan Crabtree about the news that 2 illegal aliens were detained after trying to drive onto the Marine Base in Quantico. He also preview Susan's upcoming article on the sources of funding of the anti-Israel protesters.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom talk about President Biden’s video this morning agreeing to debate former President Trump, the conditions surrounding the debate format, and the future of the US Commission on Presidential Debates. They also discuss the results of yesterday’s Maryland and West Virginia primaries and Michael Cohen’s cross examination at the Trump hush money trial. Next, Carl Cannon talks with RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about recent investigations of the FDIC which have led to calls for the resignation of Chair Martin Gruenberg. And lastly, Andrew Walworth talks with James S. Robbins; Dean of Academics at the Institute of World Politics in Washington DC and author of "This Time We Win: Revisiting the Tet Offensive"; about the parallels between today’s campus protests and student activism during the Vietnam War.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss the New York Times/Sienna polling numbers on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and whether he fits the conventional profile of an independent presidential candidate in terms of identifying new issues and constituencies ignored by the two major parties. They also chat about some new political ads from Trump and Biden PACs and the politics behind President Biden’s announcement today of new tariffs on China. Next, Andrew Walworth talks with Josh Kraushaar, editor in chief of Jewish Insider, about the Jewish vote in today’s Maryland primary. And wrapping it up, Tom Bevan talks with Chicago based attorney and RCP contributor Richard Porter about new polling on the perception of racism and DEI programs among Illinois voters.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss new swing state polls from New York Times/Sienna and this Saturday’s Trump’s rally in Wildwood, New Jersey. Then, they talk about the student walk-out on Jerry Seinfeld’s commencement address at Duke University and Jen Psaki’s decision to remove her account of Biden’s “Watch Check” from her new book. Next, Tom Bevan talks with Emerson College pollster Spencer Kimball about tomorrow’s Maryland primaries. And lastly, Andrew Walworth talks to Professor Michael Glennon of the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University about his new book "Free Speech and Turbulent Freedom: The Dangerous Allure of Censorship in the Digital Era".

Andrew, Tom, and Carl this time discuss the third week of Donald Trump's hush money trial and the Biden Administration’s announcement of new asylum rules that will make it easier to reject applicants with criminal records. They also talk about President Biden’s recent statements on US policy toward Israel and the Democratic Party’s fear that this summer’s Democratic Convention may be disrupted by protesters. Then, Tom Bevan talks with White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about the Trump campaign’s internal polling numbers and the effect of the New York trial on public opinion of the former president. And finally Andrew Walworth talks to Carl Cannon about three political figures who passed away this week: Greg Schneiders, director of communications for President Jimmy Carter, Jack Quinn, legal counsel to President Bill Clinton, and Pete McCloskey, former Republican congressman from California.

Andrew, Carl and Tom discuss last night’s CNN interview with President Biden on the economy and the new House investigation into the SBA voter registration in Michigan, part of Biden’s program to use federal agencies to increase voter registration. They also talk about the relationship between House Democrats and Speaker Mike Johnson and the news that Barron Trump will be an alternative delegate from Florida to the Republican Convention. Next, Tom Bevan talks about FreedomWorks’ decision to close its doors because its brand is “too closely identified with the GOP,” with FreedomWorks president Adam Brandon. And winding it up, Carl Cannon talks with founder and president of the US Israel Education Association Heather Johnston about President Biden’s statement that he will not supply offensive weapons to be used in a full invasion of Rafah.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss last night’s Indiana primary where Nikki Haley received 22 percent of the Republican vote and new polls in Pennsylvania raise the question of whether voters will split their tickets when it comes to Senate elections. They also question - other than the swing states - which ones might surprise analysts in November including Maine, Florida, and Minnesota. Also, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has a new campaign video narrated by actor Woody Harrelson. Kennedy claims the video was suppressed on Facebook and Instagram. Next, Tom chats with RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende about new polling of Black voters suggesting that the 2024 turnout may be less than the turnout in 2020. And lastly, Carl talks with RCP National Correspondent Susan Crabtree about Congressional efforts to require the State Department to work harder to curb China’s $1 billion forced organ harvesting trade.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom today discuss new polls showing Biden’s job performance rating among voters reaching a historic low and new Gallup survey results that show partisan differences on attitudes toward immigration. They also talk about the gag order placed on Trump in his New York criminal trial and Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) who is accused of accepting bribes from foreign entities. Cuellar denies the charge. Next, Carl Cannon talks with Juan Williams; author and political analyst for Fox News; about Nikki Haley and the future of “RINO” Republicans in the era of Trump. And wrapping it up, Andrew talks with RCP staff writer Adeline Von Drehle about the history of campus protests.

Andrew Walworth, Carl Cannon and RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss new polls that show an enthusiasm gap between Biden and Trump and whether today’s campus demonstrations will be “Biden’s Vietnam,” as some Democrats fear. They also talk about this past weekend’s GOP gathering at Mar-a-Lago and Tim Scott’s statements on whether he will accept the results of a Trump loss in 2024. Next, Carl discusses whether reports that the crime rate is declining can be trusted with John R. Lott Jr, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center. And finally, Andrew talks about the role of third parties in 2024 with RCP contributor Bill King.