Why Q-Day Moved to 2029 | Arm Co-Founder Hermann Hauser
Q-Day was supposed to be 2035. Arm co-founder Hermann Hauser says it is now 2029 because the qubits needed to break RSA-2048 have fallen from a million to as few as 10,000, according to recent research from Google and Oratomic. If he is right, RSA-2048, which still protects much of the internet, has about three years left. Hauser co-founded Acorn Computers, where two engineers designed Arm's processor on almost no budget, and he now invests across several quantum modalities.Anders Indset sits down with Hermann Hauser, co-founder of Acorn Computers and Amadeus Capital Partners, at the Austrian Embassy in London to ask what the Arm story teaches about quantum, why Europe produces startups but loses them at scale, and how far computing, biology and physics can go before they run into the question of what a human being is.In this conversation, they explore:Why Q-Day moved from 2035 to 2029, and how the qubit estimate dropped from a million to 10,000-26,000How two engineers with no money built the Arm processor, and why "less is more" put 350 billion chips in the worldWhich of the five qubit modalities could win, and why the measure of progress may shift to operations per second per dollarWhere quantum advantage already exists, and how better error correction and AI-discovered algorithms could widen itWhether quantum computers will leave the data center for phones, drones and robotsWhy Europe has plenty of startups but loses its scale-ups, and what the Scale Up Europe Fund is meant to fixWhy Hermann says Arm added $200 billion in three years, about what the German car industry took a century to buildWhy a pendulum can compute with no energy, and what the Landauer limit says about the cost of a bitWhether a brain can be simulated, and what Penrose's quantum-consciousness idea addsHow Constructive Bio built virus-proof bacteria, and whether reality itself could be a simulationAbout Hermann HauserLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/hermannhauserWebsite - https://www.amadeuscapital.com/team/hermann-hauser/About The Quantum Economy PodcastA series exploring quantum theory, quantum tech, AI, and the evolution of intelligence, and how these forces redefine the economy, value creation, and the future of human systems.Learn more: https://thequantumeconomy.comContact: [email protected] playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnjrEO3TF1lUTutnqlfA3x88Rp0gVkOmDSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6pepc2PaCd06FHlf1pzDOgApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-quantum-economy-podcast/id1828917980About Anders IndsetAnders Indset is a business philosopher and author of seven international bestsellers, including The Singularity Paradox: Bridging the Gap Between Humanity and AI and Ex Machina – The God Experiment. As founder of tomorrowmensch, he invests in early-stage science and technology and convenes scientists, investors, and entrepreneurs working on what comes after the current paradigm.NEW BOOK: The Quantum Economyhttps://andersindset.com/shop/The-Quantum-Economy-p803754261Website: https://andersindset.comtomorrowmensch: https://tomorrowmensch.comLinkedIn (personal): https://www.linkedin.com/in/andersindset/LinkedIn (tomorrowmensch): https://www.linkedin.com/company/tomorrowmensch/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/andersindsetSubstack: https://andersindset.substack.com/X: http://x.com/andersindsetSupport & ShareIf this conversation shifted how you think about biology, consciousness, or the future of quantum tech, like it, comment, and send it to someone who'd get into it. Subscribe for more conversations with the people shaping the quantum economy.#quantumcomputing #technology #podcast