The Numbers

The political stakes are high in the six federal byelections scheduled for December 7. Mark Carney’s majority will survive intact regardless of the outcome, but his Liberal Party is looking to make gains at the expense of the Conservatives, New Democrats and Bloc Québécois, putting the other three leaders on the defensive — especially Pierre Poilievre, as his party’s polling and fundraising numbers continue to slump.This week on The Numbers, we dissect the contests in all six byelections. We also take a look at new fundraising figures that show the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives for the first time in years, as well as the latest polls. Plus, The Quiz is back!Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus and/or extended episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription or a YouTube membership.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

David Eby’s B.C. New Democrats went down to defeat on Saturday, as Lorne Doerkson and the B.C. Conservatives took advantage of Eby’s early call to win in a (by B.C. standards) landslide. The polls were predicting this would be the result. But were there any surprises — or lessons to be learned?This week on The Numbers, we break down the results of British Columbia’s provincial election. We also discuss what went down in the Toronto municipal vote and dissect the latest federal polls that continue to show Mark Carney’s Liberals dominating. Plus, we have a new poll out of Saskatchewan that looks a little different from the one published last week. We then close with an (very extended!) mailbag segment for our members.Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription or a YouTube membership. You can watch this episode on YouTube here. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

As the polls had predicted, the Remain side won the Alberta referendum in a landslide, as Albertans opted for the status quo in their province. But in next-door British Columbia, voters might be about to back a change of a different kind.This week on The Numbers, we break down the results of Alberta’s referendum and how the polls performed. We also take a look at where some of the last polls of the B.C. election campaign stand as the NDP’s David Eby looks to be in trouble as his party falls behind Lorne Doerkson’s Conservatives. Plus, we have federal numbers to dissect (what is going on with the Liberals in Alberta?) and new polls from elsewhere in the country, including a neck-and-neck race in Toronto — and Saskatchewan?Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription or a YouTube membership.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Little more than a week remains in the B.C. election campaign that the NDP’s David Eby set in motion, two years ahead of schedule. The leaders debate took place last night and things could still change. But the polls are not looking good for the New Democrats. Are they about to lose this election and give Lorne Doerkson and his B.C. Conservatives an unexpected victory?This week on The Numbers, we break down the latest polling numbers out of British Columbia. We also set up Monday’s referendum on Alberta independence, take a peek at new federal polls and chat about the mayor’s race in Toronto, where the race seems to be tightening. Then, we close with a short Quiz (it’s back!) and an extended mailbag segment that is available for our members.Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription or a YouTube membership.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s not very often we see a party go from a landslide victory in one election to a complete wipeout in the next. But that’s what happened on Monday when the Coalition Avenir Québec was reduced to zero seats after winning 90 in the last Quebec provincial election. But the CAQ’s wipeout did not deliver the Parti Québécois a majority government. What happened?This week on The Numbers, we break down the results of the Quebec election and what it means for politics in the province going forward. We also lay out the state of the race in British Columbia, where Lorne Doerkson’s Conservatives are making David Eby’s New Democrats sweat. Plus, we chat about the latest federal polls, where things stand in Toronto’s mayoral race and highlight some new numbers out of Atlantic Canada. Could the Greens elect their first government next year in Prince Edward Island?Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Prime Minister Mark Carney appears to be walking on water in the polls, as new numbers put the Liberals and their leader at highs not seen before in recent history. Meanwhile, support for Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives drops to new lows as an upcoming resignation means the party will face another tough byelection in the coming months.This week on The Numbers, we discuss the federal polling landscape and the upcoming byelection in Parry Sound—Muskoka. We then take a look at where the polls are heading in the ongoing Quebec and British Columbia provincial elections, before chatting about new developments in Alberta and Manitoba. We then answer questions from our members, with an extended edition of the mailbag available on Patreon or via an Apple subscription.Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The extended and bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

B.C. Premier David Eby has staked his government on an early election, pitching to voters that U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to Canada’s economy and sovereignty forces him to request a new mandate from voters. But could the snap election call backfire if those voters instead decide that it was a cynical attempt to take advantage of the disarray within the B.C. Conservative Party?This week on The Numbers, we break down Eby’s decision to call an early election and how that could play out in the coming weeks. We also discuss some of the latest federal polls that have nothing but good news for Prime Minister Mark Carney and a stunning poll out of Manitoba that has the NDP’s Wab Kinew at record-breaking levels of support. Finally, we take a look at the Quebec election campaign that is entering the final stages.Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

An investor’s summit, a trip to the European Union that could begin potentially closer ties in the future and, of course, there’s Donald Trump. There’s plenty going on in federal politics right now. But there’s also a lot of upheaval happening in Western Canada. Just what is going on?This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new developments in Alberta and British Columbia. The Alberta NDP won an upset byelection victory in Calgary this week in a vote that could represent a serious rebuke and warning signal to Premier Danielle Smith. In B.C., the Conservative Party is now trailing by a wide margin in a new poll as the party continues to disintegrate. Could Premier David Eby call a snap election to take advantage of it?We also chat about where things stand on the national stage as Mark Carney’s Liberals open up a wider lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, as well as how Canadians might feel about closer ties to Europe. We then delve into some provincial polling and take another look at the ongoing Quebec election campaign before we answer a few questions from our Patreon members.The extended mailbag is available for Patreon members here: https://thenumberspod.ca/posts/upset-win-in-and-169736998Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus content several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

A few weeks ago we asked a question — will Mark Carney get another Trump bump?Well, we have the answer. And the answer is yes.Recent polls show that support for Mark Carney personally and for the Liberals more broadly has increased over the last few weeks as Canadians get behind the prime minister’s decision to cease trade negotiations with the United States. Polls also show that Canadians support counter-tariffs and no compromise with the Americans, a feeling that is unlikely to dissipate as the Trump administration continues to insult and belittle the country.This week on The Numbers, we delve into the latest federal polls. We also take a look at the ongoing struggles of Pierre Poilievre as his party falls further back. Plus, we break down the latest in the Quebec election campaign and give our thoughts on what to make of the three Ontario provincial byelections that occurred last week.Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://thenumberspod.ca/The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Mark Carney’s Liberals scored three big wins in Monday’s byelections, taking a seat from the Conservatives and dealing the party another blow. What do the results say about support for the Liberals, the NDP and the Bloc, and what do they mean for Pierre Poilievre’s leadership?This week on The Numbers, we break down what happened on Monday night. We also take a look at the latest federal polling numbers, as well as lay out the state of the race as the Quebec election enters the second week of the campaign. Plus, we preview tonight’s provincial byelections in Ontario and take a look at some new polling numbers out of Alberta.We also answer questions from our members, including on what is happening with the B.C. Conservative Party. To listen to the extended mailbag segment, join our Patreon right here!Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! The extended mailbag is also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.