The Canadian 2023 REIT Outlook | Something’s Gotta Give

This week we have a special episode of IN Tune sharing a podcast from BMO’s Sustainability Leaders that aired on February 20, 2024. Colin Hamilton, Commodities Analyst, BMO Capital Markets, sat down with the International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM)’s President and CEO Rohitesh Dhawan to discuss what the industry needs to do to embrace nature-positive mining (24 min). Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/SldQc294alVqTDhXVVh6VWR0UW4xY3RRYUx5aGFsMzByQzVGekhpZCtXVXNxcU1hN1huVUkxR2xpUEQ4SmRuTGdrMXZJOC9HT2NvTFIxUzFqdytPTEE9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

In this episode we preview BMO’s 33rd Global Metals, Mining and Critical Minerals conference, and discuss the annual zinc treatment charge negotiations.  11 min Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/QkRSMEVVTDBUcG9GS3RNZDJxUTd0ZjFvUmdvSnNkMEJhSHJvd0ZOOElXVDdIdnlXbEc4ei9xMzdRUmtHUFNYcERMZTZyUGlzdmlTakx5UFBFUlgyR1E9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

In this episode we discuss our expectations for metal and bulk commodity markets into 2024, a new era for gold, and why we see a tighter copper market than expected. BMO clients can view our report, “CORRECTION: Q1 2024 Metals & Bulk Commodity Price Update: The Old Guard Step Up”, by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/e9d00408-6249-4535-80d7-25496e8af494/ Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/WDJENEJodnNFL1RyYWIrVDRTVHlPQi9OMS9tekpBVFYvZFoyc05IeXpQTElCSlo0NGFXemFHNlprVFBYejI3bjI5Smxndk1Nb29BdURLL3hUczdRZmc9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

In this special podcast we discuss the outlook for uranium ahead of the World Nuclear Symposium in London, covering market dynamics, current sentiment towards uranium, and the demand growth potential from small modular reactors. (18 min). BMO clients can view our report, "U Kids on the Block", by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/d1f5bec3-dfbe-418b-9674-948f8ba6a84e/ Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/MmtwT0dqQzJRYklaQmQrbVBjZmJHZ1RWVVMzN2hyd2VFNzdNMmc4amVzdGNPRUNhZmFlaFpST0xsYkQvazZPTVdhQWhJNW14OHFUZERNSlVLbUhpZ3c9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

Fadi Chamoun and John Stephenson join this edition of our IN Tune podcast to discuss their recent report on FedEx and its well-received cost reduction plan. Although the plan is sizeable and recent results are favorable, they argue that the program needs to be deeper and bolder and see the risk/reward in the stock as more balanced despite the encouraging steps FDX has taken to improve efficiency. BMO clients can view our report, “FDX/UPS Comparative Analysis: Deeper & Bolder DRIVE Needed”, by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/8e109870-0fcb-4e7a-841a-c26227a2c822/ Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/SFROWlVDM1RJRWUvNXFEaWxGekoyMjFITVpFdUtsTGFJYVZLU2JTbjQxaGplbXVHd1hJT3Z3VEZuQkJpUEQ4RkhlaDlXcmxSc2RZSkYxYll1SmJQMEE9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

BMO Capital Markets’ CEO & Group Head, Dan Barclay, moderates a discussion on the takeaways from BMO’s 18th Annual Farm to Market Conference across the food and agriculture value chain. Equity Research Analysts, Kelly Bania, Joel Jackson, Doug Morrow and Andrew Strelzik, join Dan for an engaging discussion that includes commodity price volatility, inflation, ag tech, regenerative agriculture, food waste and how all of this impacts equities in the sector. Essentially this is a deep dive into the core themes and takeaways from our May 2023 Farm to Market Conference. Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/Q0dERWYrK0RZNFVSUnBTZEZEQU5IbnlVSTNsNlU5c1BJTEFweEc2aEFmenJkNkxGL2NiUlBST2xkSkk1WmFpV0FRSzJxOWhMWE9XZFVzanQwMkxvL1E9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

Mike Markidis, MD & BMO REITs Analysts walks us through his 2023 outlook. He suggests that higher interest rates have him more cautious, particularly as the adjustment process continues and the spectre of a recession looms. Accordingly, from his perspective, investors' expectations should be more tempered in 2023. Valuation screens attractive on a P/NAV basis, but our weighted average AFFO yield spread is below the LTA. In addition, capital constraints and the potential impact of a recession on tenant demand are formidable challenges; not to mention regulatory uncertainty. Given this backdrop there are still opportunities. From a fundamental perspective industrial real estate is at the top of our pecking order followed by multi-residential. BMO clients can view our report, “2023 Outlook: Something's Gotta Give”, by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/api/v1/publication/getPublicationPdfLive/?id=27730d9f-243c-45fd-95a8-7233995c96c3&read=true&stamp=1672947432901000&sitename=Equity Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/E174D118-40BE-4460-9143-EB52AC209805.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

In this episode of IN Tune, we are joined by Doug Morrow, ESG Analyst; Rachel Walsh, Carbon Innovation Analyst; Saj Shapiro, Head, BMO Radicle; and Chelsea Bryant, Managing Director, Trading, BMO Radicle, discuss the interplay between BMO Radicle, energy transition, and the world of carbon credits. In December 2022, BMO Financial Group completed its acquisition of Radicle, expanding the bank's carbon credit development capabilities and its footprint in the environmental commodity market, and deepening its commitment to help clients understand and assess energy transition risks and opportunities. In 40 minutes we run through the basics of carbon trading and pricing, Radicle’s expertise in developing offsets, trading, and advisory, as well as our panelists' outlook for 2023 carbon markets. Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/DF504F7B-36E2-4E16-9A5B-75E6BDF8C863.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

The Best of BMO is our quarterly compilation of our broad macro views, as well as our best stock ideas for the next 12 months. Essentially, it is an equity idea book. In this episode, we are joined by eight of our mining analysts to delve into the details of their Best of BMO stock picks. Joining the podcast are Dave Gagliano, Alex Pearce, Jackie Przybylowski, Brian Quast, Andrew Mikitchook, Rene Cartier, Raj Ray, and Ryan Thompson. BMO clients can view our report, “The Best of BMO Q4/22”, by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/e8264d3e-3c7a-40c3-a722-45448d47bd32/ Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/387605AD-21CC-46F9-9D77-877FB4B16CDA.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

In this edition of our IN Tune podcast, we sit down with Doug Morrow and Juan Sanabria from BMO’s equity research team to discuss the key findings from their recent note on climate change impacts on US real estate companies. Doug and Juan have analyzed the exposure of 70 US REITs to physical climate risk for their US assets in the "new normal" with ever-increasing billion-dollar climate and weather disasters. They believe that REITs will increasingly have to execute strategies in an environment that is likely to be warmer, and punctuated by more extreme weather events with insurance costs likely to further increase, and in some cases, insurance coverage availability questionable. For investors, given the increased frequency of climate events, associated costs may no longer be treated as one-time, but instead be viewed as part of doing business with significant variance by REITs, but not necessarily across sub-sectors. BMO clients can view our report, “It's Getting Hot in Here... So Let's Analyze Climate Change Risk for US REITs”, by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/5f4337fe-5f43-444f-b1ed-b9ab66ba423b/ Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/A37BB256-6348-4CD9-B0A3-665564235E1B.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/