Football Tips From Israel

In this episode, Demoles picked two matches from the Israeli Premier league in football. both of the matches have low odds on the result that Demoles thinks the matches will ended. so to make an odds boost, Demoles added to each match bet. So, both matches has a bet builder prediction with 2 bets combination.The matches predictions in this episode:Hapoel Kfar Saba Vs Maccabi Netanya |Israel Premier League | Saturday 24.4.21 14:00 CETHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv |Israel Premier League | Sunday 25.4.21 19:15 CET

Beitar Jerusalem Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba |Israel Premier League | Monday 5.4.21 19:15 CETIn this episode, I picked one match from tomorrow’s matches and shows how I use the bet builder to place a good bet on this match.The method that I am using for this Bet builder bet combined from picking the correct match result winner and number of goals that will be in this match.I always use 2 or 3 combinations in my bet builder bets. NEVER more.In this match, I know that both teams have tons of problems. Both teams sacked their coaches 2 weeks ago. But, with one big difference. While the home team decided to give the position to Yossi Mizrachi – Big name in Beitar Jerusalem. Former head coach and former Capitan of Beitar as a player. In the away team’s side, the situation is different. The owner sacked his 10th coach in the last 3 years. No one wants to come and coaching Hapoel Kfar Saba. From two main reasons:1)    The are the worst team in Israel. Their squad is weak – 75% that they will be relegated this season2)    The owner of the club is not OK with coaches – he thinks that he knows it allSo, Hapoel Kfar Saba, the away team are training with their young coach assistant, Ravid Gazal. Following this reason, and the fact that the squad of the home team is better. The home team will win this match. Moreover, both teams played the same match 2 weeks ago. It was in the regular season. The home team Beitar Jerusalem beat Hapoel Kfar Saba 2-1. For a home win the odds are 2.00. So, I decided to combine it with the bet builder bet.I know that both have major problems with their defense.  They both conceded 1.25 goals per `match from the beginning of the season (only 2 clubs are worse than them in this parameter). Now, both teams don’t play with their best CBs following injuries. The home team, Beitar Jerusalem conceded at least a one goal in their last 6 matches and the away team Hapoel Kfar Saba concede at least on goal in 9 from their 11 last matches. With this fact, I will add this bet for the bet builder combination: both teams to score in full match – YES. Now the bet is looking like this:-       Match result: Home Win-       Both teams to score in the Full Match – YESThis bet builder combination provides odds of 4.754.75 – it means that the bookmakers give 21% chance for this probability to happen. I don’t think that it will happen for 100%. From my calculation. This can happen in a probability of 40% (it happened 2 weeks ago as I mentioned before). 19% difference is an amazing difference for odds of 4.75 To summarize the combination Method of Match result + goals:You pick the team that you think will win and the add to it the most likely situation that can happen from goals aspect. 

Liga Bet South (4th division) is back with a bet builder betthe matches that Demoles will give his information and predictions are:Irony Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda |Israel Liga Bet South | Friday (2.4) 14:00 CETHapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Tel Aviv |Israel Premier League | Saturday 3.4.21 14:00 CETThis episode is marked by the return of Liga Bet south in the Israeli football. it took Demoles some time get focus on this league again after the Covid-19 break. they didn't play more then a year. but after 8 matches, Demoles is ready to make a match prediction on a Liga Bet South match on Friday.Another match in this episode #26 is from the Premier league for Israel from Saturday evening. this match could be a good idea to check some bets there. Demoles found that the odd are to high and that the book makers are under estimate on the the teams..

In this episode. While the Israeli national team struggles in the World Cup qualifications, there is no Premier Leagues all over the world. So, Demoles picked two matches from the Liga Leumit, 2nd division in Israeli football. and gave his analysis for them.The two matches that been picked by Demoles will be played by the two last teams in the Liga Leumit table. In one of the matches, Demoles bet on the underdog, even that they play against the 5th team in the table. while the second match, both of the teams are in the bottom of the table. Demoles found that there are good odds in this match.  Beitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam – Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Leumit | Tuesday (30.3) 18:00 CETHapoel Umm Al Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit | Tuesday (30.3) 18:00 CET

In this episode, Demols Levin returns with two match predictions from the Israeli Premier League. the end of the regular season is 2 matches ahead. A lot of teams have position buttles. There are several matches that the table doesn’t reflect the real shape of the teams. In this episode, Demols picked one match that the rates are good for a surprise, while the favorite team has problems outside the pitch. And another match that he goes with the favorite team but boost the rates with a bet builder bet. 1) Hapoel Irony Kiryat Shmona – Maccabi Tel Aviv : Israeli Premier Leauge (13.3.21 18:50 CET)  2) Beitar Jerusalem – Hapoel Kfar Saba : Israeli Premier League (14.3.21 19:15 CET) 

I really did not plan to make an episode. There are only three football matches in Israel, which will play in the next days. The perfect scenario to take a small break. Still, I searched for these matches in the Bookmakers websites. Happily, I succeeded to combine a nice 2.00 Bet Builder bet on a match that will be play today. Therefore, I decided to make it a bit different. I want to make a Live Case Study. I will share the process that I use to pick a But Builder bet. I will present the information that I have about this match followed by probability's calculation. By the end I will show my bet.

Episode 22 is an episode of high stakes. In this episode, I will pick two matches from the weekend that has Low rates but the probability that it will happen is very solid. First, on Thursday, a match from the second league In Israel (Liga Leumit). Moreover, on Friday. The national team of Israel will play in Scotland.Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Nof Hagalil | Thursday (3.9.2020) 18:30 Europe timeThe bookmakers give the away team Hapoel Nof Hagalil only 47.6% chances to win this match. The away team won the Toto Cup 10 days ago. In addition, they won last week in the first fixture of the league. They goal statistics in the 5 official matches that they played this season is 13-1. They won the last match with a goal in minute 93. They have a great squad that knows how to win matches. On the other hand, the home team, Hapoel Afula are struggling. The finished last the Pre-season tournament. With four losses from four matches with goal statistic of 0-12. They succeeded to make a point after last week's draw. Nevertheless, everybody in Israel knows that they didn't start the year well.I believe that the Away team, Hapoel Nof Hagalil has 70% chances to win. And if my prediction is higher in more than 20% from the probability that the bookmakers give. I will go on a Solid Away Win.Scotland – Israel | Friday (4.9.2020) 20:45 Europe timeTraditionally, Israel cannot win in an Away game against a better team. Scotland is better team than Israel. Even that the match will play without a crowed, there is a big advantage to the home team matches in the Corona Period.I am checking the starting lineup that the manager want to play. I am afraid that a slow central back as Tibi is a big problem against Scotland's strikers. Moreover, the second Central back is a RB in is club. In the front, Eran Zahavi. Our main man! His head is in his career right now. He finished his contract in China, and he still have not sign in any club.In 2 months from now. The both team will play again. Then, it will be in the Semi Final of the Qualification playoffs for the Euro. Scotland will come in focus. The next match start today. A win can bring a lot of energy to the next match in 2 months.I believe that Scotland will find at home the weak Israeli CB and will win the match. The bookmakers this that Scotland has 55.5% chances to win. I believe that the chance of the Scottish team to win is around 70%. As I wrote at the beginning. This match is for High stakers. 1.8 for this Solid Home win is a good deal. 

The matches of the podcast:Hapoel Kfar Saba – Hapoel Tel Aviv | Premier league | Saturday (29.8) 19:30 CETThis is the first match of the season. Hapoel Kfar Saba the home team kept most of their squad from last year. While, Hapoel Tel Aviv the away team changed most of their squad. They have new goalkeeper and new central back. In the Pre-season tournament, The Toto Cup. The home team finished 8th and the Away ream finished 10th. Both team did not performed well. The away team scored one goal in four games. Both teams won only one time against bottom league teams. This year both teams will fight against relegation. They will not win a lot. It feels like they do not know how to win. From the odds that the bookmakers give to this match, it looks like Hapoel Tel-Aviv, the away team has an advantage. However, it is a fiction. I believe that both teams prefer not to lose this match. It will end with a Draw. If the odds for under goals were good. I would suggest going on under goals too. But, the Odds are low.Hapoel Haifa – Beitar Jerusalem | Premier league | Sunday (30.8) 19:15 CETUntil yesterday, the away team Beitar Jerusalem was total favorite to win this match. In my option. They had a good Pre Season tournament. They finished third with 2 wins and 2 draws in four matches. They did not concede any goal in this 4 matches. While the Home team, Hapoel Haifa finished in the last place in the Pre-Season tournament. With 1 draw and three loses. The bookies gave high odds (2.10) for an Away win. This is a very good odd. If you take in your mind that there is no effect to the Home venue when there is no crowd on the stands. But!! , two days ago, Beitar Jerusalem lost in the first round of the Europa League to a small club from Albania. The owner got crazy and fired the coach. Following this act, the general manager decided to finish his part in the club. With no coach and general manager. There is a big chaos in the club. I believe that even the chaos that the away team have. They still will win this match. The player will want to comfort their fanatic crowed and their Boss. The away team is a crazy club and this kind of incident can give them the power to win. Not with a great football, but they will win it.  Hapoel Nof Hagalil – Beitar Tel Aviv | National league | Monday (31.8) 18:00 CETThis is the match to put your high stakes in this episode. The home team Hapoel Nof Hagalil finished first in the second division Pre-Season tournament with four wins from four matches with 11-0 goals difference. They won 3-0 in the finals last week. The home have a crazy squad and the really believe they can win the league and play next year in the Israeli Premier league. The away team Beitar Tel Aviv has a brand new squad, young squad. They finished 4th in the Pre-Season tournament with 2-1-1 The bookmakers give 2.13 to a Home win. Very high odds. 2.13 it means that the bookmakers give 47% probability for a Home team. I believe that the probability is closer to 65%-70% for a Home win. 

Hapoel Beer Sheva – Maccabi Tel Aviv | Israeli Premier League | Tuesday (7.7) 19:00 CETMaccabi Tel Aviv won the championship 3 matches ago. They beat Maccabi Haifa in an away game with half the squad not dressed up. A day before this match, their coach announced that he would leave the team after this match. However, it is something that all knew for weeks.The achievement "Full Season with No Lose" is one match ahead. Only one club in Israel made it. Maccabi wants to get it too. To make this season historical.Everybody in Hapoel Beer Sheva are thinking only on the Cup Final that will be played in six days. They have not win the Israeli Cup since 1997. In this match, they will keep their legs and will not want to receive a red card. That a player will not miss the Cup Final.I have seen that the bookmakers give 2.00 for an Away win. 50% chance that Maccabi will win is very low. I think is closer to 75%.I would go on an average stake on an away win.Beitar Jerusalem – Maccabi Haifa | Israeli Premier League | Tuesday (7.7) 19:00 CETMaccabi Haifa come to this match after losing the fourth time this season to Maccabi Tel Aviv, that played with almost their 2nd team.In the last days, they are talking and thinking about only 2 two things:1) The distance that they have from Maccabi Tel Aviv in a perspective of the next season.2) When the management will declare on Barak Bachar as the new coach.I think that they just wait to play this match and finish the season. They will not come with a focus in this match. Adinionaly, they come with no without any motivation.This is a classic combination to lose this match.While in Beitar Jerusalem. They won 3-0 against their nemesis. Therefore, they will come with a good mood for this match. This match is important for many entities in the club. and to beat Maccabi Haifa will give a good push for next season.Because of the reason that I am no 100% sure, that Beitar will win. I will go on Double chance bet 1X - home win or a draw. The odds for that bit low. Therefore, I will make the odds higher with the Bet Builder (2.05)- Match result - Double chance 1X - home win or a draw    +- Over 0 goals in the match for both teams combined+ - Over 6 corners in the match for both teams combined.I believe this match will be open. There will be goals in this match. I truly believe that seven corners for this match is under the average.

Episode 19 is about 2 matches from the Championship group in the Israeli playoff.the matches are:Beitar Jerusalem – Hapoel Tel Aviv | Israeli Premier League | Saturday (4.7) 19:45 CETBoth teams do not care too much about this match. They both have problem at home and the league is already over for them. Both of the team made their targets already. The home team suffers from a very bad shape. They perform very badly in the playoff. Since the Corona break they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses (one of them against the away team). Yesterday, the coach of the home team Roni Levi, He had to leave the training because of the Home Fanatics that wants him to leave the club. The Home fanatic blocked the players exit and attacked the car of the coach while he tried to escape. In the away team, the situation is a bit different. Still, the same as the home team, their heads are not in the match. They found in the club, that few days ago their owner Mr. Nisanov found that he has the Corona virus in his body. Therefore, they were dealing with more than football in the last days. Moreover, they won last match 1-0 after four consecutive losses. In addition, it was only from penalty. Without the penalty, they could not score.I believe that this match will end with a draw. Following a lake of interest in this match from both sidesMaccabi Haifa – Maccabi Tel Aviv | Premier league | Saturday (4.7) 20:00 CETMaccabi Haifa has the best offensive line in the league they are the only team that scored twice and more against Maccabi Tel Aviv this season. In addition, Maccabi Tel Aviv will score their goals in this match. With the fact that this match is very important for both clubs. There will be Over 2.5 goals in this matchThis is the Clasico of the Israeli football. In addition, this is a match that 2nd place host the 1st place to a match that is only for the prestige. Nothing more. It is important to Maccabi Haifa to win this match. Because Maccabi Tel Aviv is close to finish a season with no losses. Only Maccabi Haifa holds this achievement, and it is important for them to keep it like that. From the other side, Maccabi Tel Aviv received the trophy 3 days ago. In a regular season, I would go with Haifa. However, Maccabi Tel Aviv want to make this season historic. Moreover, a win here will get them very close to this achievement.