Carl Wins the BIF Bet

Andrew, Carl, and Tom today discuss new polls showing Biden’s job performance rating among voters reaching a historic low and new Gallup survey results that show partisan differences on attitudes toward immigration. They also talk about the gag order placed on Trump in his New York criminal trial and Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) who is accused of accepting bribes from foreign entities. Cuellar denies the charge. Next, Carl Cannon talks with Juan Williams; author and political analyst for Fox News; about Nikki Haley and the future of “RINO” Republicans in the era of Trump. And wrapping it up, Andrew talks with RCP staff writer Adeline Von Drehle about the history of campus protests.

Andrew Walworth, Carl Cannon and RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss new polls that show an enthusiasm gap between Biden and Trump and whether today’s campus demonstrations will be “Biden’s Vietnam,” as some Democrats fear. They also talk about this past weekend’s GOP gathering at Mar-a-Lago and Tim Scott’s statements on whether he will accept the results of a Trump loss in 2024. Next, Carl discusses whether reports that the crime rate is declining can be trusted with John R. Lott Jr, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center. And finally, Andrew talks about the role of third parties in 2024 with RCP contributor Bill King.

Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, and White House Correspondent Phil Wegmann today discuss the latest jobs report for April and the Trump campaign's new TV commercial in Georgia which is aimed at black voters. Then, with today being International Press Freedom Day, they talk about Biden's elusive behavior toward the press and ponder when Trump will choose his VP. Next, Carl Cannon speaks with dispensary owner Eric Spitz about the easing of marijuana restrictions. And finally, Andrew chats with Kirsten Eddy of the Pew Research Center about how polls are created and how the press interprets the findings.

Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, and RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende discuss today’s statement by President Biden on campus protests and RFK Jr.’s “No Spoiler Pledge.” They also talk about new actions at the White House and in the Senate to advance legalization of marijuana and how Senate Republicans are trying to manage expectations for 2024. Next, White House Correspondent Phil Wegmann has a conversation with Senator Ted Cruz (R.-TX) on campus unrest, the battle for the Senate, and efforts to oust Speaker Mike Johnson. And finally, Andrew Walworth talks with writer and broadcaster Ray Suarez about his new book on immigration, “We Are Home: Becoming American in the 21st Century,” and about accusations of bias at National Public Radio.

Today - Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss college administrations’ responses to pro-Palestinian protests on campus and the newest trend allowing non-citizens to vote in U.S. elections. They also talk about House Speaker Mike Johnson’s prospects and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson’s attempt to attend a fallen police officer’s funeral. Next, Carl Cannon has an in-depth conversation with Senator Marco Rubio (R.-FL) on TikTok and the GOP veepstakes. And lastly, Andrew Walworth talks with RCP contributor Salena Zito about how the abortion issue will play in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio this November.

Andy Walworth, Tom Bevan, and Carl Cannon discuss Time Magazine’s new cover story on Donald Trump, who Trump is considering for vice president, new swing state polls from Emerson and the Democratic divide over a House resolution on antisemitism. Then RCP White House Reporter Phil Wegmann interviews Senator Ron Johnson (R-Wisc.) about the future of Senate leadership, Ukraine and the significance of RFK Jr.’s independent candidacy. Plus, Tom Bevan talks with RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende about “Trump Nostalgia” among voters.

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss the most recent polls, including this weekend’s CNN poll that shows Trump with a growing lead over President Biden. Plus, a look at the gender gap among voters, which appear to be widening. They also chat about Senator John Fetterman’s appearance at the White House Correspondents Dinner and how his position on Israel has put him at odds with the progressive wing of the Democratic Party and a look at anti-Americanism as part of the pro Palestine protests on college campuses. Next, Carl Cannon talks with Democratic strategist Maria Cardona about the President’s performance at this weekend’s White House Correspondents Dinner. And winding it up, Tom Bevan talks with RCP National Correspondent Susan Crabtree about her profile of Liz Truss, the former prime minister of Britain and author of “Ten Years to Save the West: Leading the Revolution Against Globalism, Socialism, and the Liberal Establishment.”

Andrew, Tom, and Carl today discuss the fallout from yesterday’s oral arguments at the Supreme Court over Donald Trump’s immunity claim and examine what the Los Angeles Times calls “Six California House Races that Could Help Determine Control of Congress.” They also chat about Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s contention that China is attempting to influence and interfere in US elections and an Axios report that White House staffers, concerned about perceptions of Biden’s age, have started surrounding the President with aides when walking to Marine One in order to draw less attention to the way he walks. Then, Andrew Walworth talks to James Pinkerton, author of the new book “The Secret of Directional Investing: Making Money Amidst the Red-Blue Rumble.” And finally, Carl Cannon previews this weekend’s White House Correspondents Dinner with George Condon who is the White House correspondent for The National Journal.

Andrew, Tom and Carl discuss the political impact of today’s GDP numbers, whether “stagflation” is back, and the meaning of the new census bureau statistics on America’s falling birthrate, which is now the lowest since the 1930s. They also talk about the “strange new respect” that House Speaker Mike Johnson is receiving in Washington and a new poll that reveals America’s changing views on the mass deportation of illegal immigrants. Next, Andrew Walworth and RCP National Correspondent Susan Crabtree discuss her exclusive reporting on Monday’s bizarre incident involving Vice President Harris’s secret service detail and about unrest at USC and other college campuses. Then rounding it out - Tom Bevan talks to RCP reporter Adeline Von Drehle about the future of No Labels.

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss new polling from Bloomberg/Morning Consult and the results of yesterday’s Pennsylvania primary where Nikki Haley received more than 150,000 votes. They also talk about Trump’s trials and President’s Biden’s signing of new legislation designed to force the sale of TikTok. Then, Carl Cannon talks to pollster John Della Volpe of Harvard University about the youth vote in 2024. And finally, Andrew Walworth talks to Kara Frederick, Director of the Tech Policy Center at the Heritage Foundation about TikTok and the effect of social media on young people.