#20 What Putin wants - with Shmuel Bar

Underestimating AI's long-term impact - the 21st century's industrial revolutionIn this episode, we delve into the transformative world of AI, discussing how it's become the Industrial Revolution of the 21st century. Nowcasting: the high-resolution forecasting of rain up to two hours ahead, the generative model that ranked first for its accuracy and usefulness, Alphafold, which can accurately predict 3D models of protein structures and is accelerating research in nearly every field of biology and AlphaMissence which analyzes the effects of DNA mutations and will accelerate research into rare diseases.HANGAR: UN General Assembly & AI's Global Prominence:We kick things off at the United Nations General Assembly, where a new $5 billion commitment signifies AI's top-of-mind status this year, reminiscent of the previous year's focus on climate change. We explore how AI can support the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and its current role in "nowcasting."Risks and Governance in the AI Era:We dissect the risks of AI at both national and global levels and the need for a high-level advisory body on AI. The 2024 Summit of the Futures and the delicate balance between creating AI guardrails without stifling innovation come under scrutiny.EU Regulation and the Challenge of Risk Assessment:We examine EU regulations on high-risk AI systems and the complexities of scaling AI's risk in the face of rapid technological development. We ponder the necessity of taking risks for fundamental research in the era of "Grey-zone AI development."AlphaFold's Impact and the Global AI Race:AlphaFold's groundbreaking work in protein folding prediction is spotlighted. We discuss the ongoing global AI race, emphasizing the need for regulation, commercialization, brain drain, and education. We ask if the EU should replicate the US model with research centers or "lighthouses."US and UK Perspectives on AI Governance:We explore the chances of AI bills passing in the US and hear UK Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Downton's perspective on the unique nature of AI governance. We dive into AI's potential for advancing science, particularly in the medical field.Amara's Law and the Long-Term Impact of AI:We introduce Amara's Law and its relevance to our current AI hype. Are we underestimating what AI will achieve in the coming decade? We reflect on the most exciting aspects of working for DeepMind and the prevailing philosophy in AI today.AI Overhype and Focusing on Key Concerns:We address the overhype surrounding AI, drawing parallels with the start of the Industrial Revolution when people couldn't foresee the transformation ahead. We emphasize the challenge of maintaining focus amid the noise.Fairness, Equity, and the Global Digital Compact:Diversity and equity in AI development are discussed in-depth. How can AI be equitable when its developers largely come from a specific demographic? We introduce the concept of the Global Digital Compact.Favourite AI Tools and a Glimpse into the Future:We wrap up by asking our guest about their favourite AI tool and invite them to share their thoughts on the future of AI.If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Theresa Kushner's journey in the world of high technology serves as an inspiration to aspiring professionals. From her early days in the field of journalism to her influential roles in renowned companies she is a true data-vangelist. Theresa graduated from the Mayborn School of Journalism at the University of North Texas. Over the course of her career, Theresa has held prominent positions in several industry-leading companies. She has showcased her expertise and leadership abilities in organizations such as IBM, Cisco Systems, VMware, Dell/EMC, and NTT DATA,  helping these companies use the value they have in their data.  Today Theresa has co-founded the company Business Data Leadership with Maria Villar, focusing on leadership, advising, and consulting in the realm of data analytics. Theresa has made significant contributions to the literature on data and its application in business. She co-authored two notable books: "Managing Your Business Data: From Chaos to Confidence" in collaboration with Maria Villar, and "B2B Data-Driven Marketing: Sources, Uses, Results" co-authored with Ruth Stevens. These publications have been recognized for their valuable insights into leveraging data for improved business outcomes. https://www.linkedin.com/in/theresakushner?original_referer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2FIf you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Luís de Almeida Sampaio, the Ambassador from Portugal to the Czech Republic, has held numerous posts around the world and has a deep interest in global health care. In this episode he covers the M8 Alliance. With regards to Ukraine, what has been the war's impact on European healthcare? What changes in the discussions when there is a war like this? How do politics and policy impact the global discussion around health care? What are Portugal's involvements in the M8 alliance?What are the significant developments the M8 alliance has contributed to in the last decade?What is the relationship between the M8 alliance and the world health organization?What is going to be the most hot topic at the M8 conference this year?What are the similarities between the Czech Republic and Portugal's economies, and what are the opportunities for synchronization and collaboration? Sampaio began his career studying Law at the Coimbra University, his first diplomatic post was  NATO (1987), eventually becoming ambassador to NATO. Since then the Ambassador has held diplomatic positions in Brussels, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belgrade, Serbia, Germany, and holds the ambassadorial post of Permanent Representative of Portugal in the North Atlantic Council.   If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Bjorn Stevens is the Director of the Max Plank Institute for Meteorology in Berlin - Bjorn is a top climate scientist, with particular expertise in clouds. New climate model simulations of the world - EVE) Earth Virtualisation EnginesHuman vs science-centric climate scienceEarth in 100 yearsDarwin and the theory of e-0volutionIt's also clear that humans are responsible for global warming and not enough is being done if the goal is to stop the warming, whats the scientific consequence of that?What's the difference between 2 and 1,5 degrees of warming?How AI aids people with different backgrounds and knowledge bases to understand the same thingsWhat is Bjorn Stevens’s favourite thing about clouds?Born 1966 in Augsburg. Master of Science Degree in Electrical Engineering, Iowa State University, USA (1990), PhD in Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, USA (1996), Post-Doctoral Fellow with the Advanced Study Program of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, USA (1996 - 1998), Humboldt Fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (1998 - 1999), University of California (UCLA), USA, Department of Atmospheric Sciences: Assistant Professor (1999), Associate Professor (2003), Professor (tenured, 2007), Affiliate Scientist at NCAR (since 2000), Director and Scientific Member at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (since 2008).The Max Planck Society conducts basic research in the natural sciences, life sciences, and humanities. It was founded in 1948 as a successor organisation to the Kaiser Wilhelm Society and has 30 Nobel laureates in its ranks. With its 85 Max Planck Institutes and facilities, it is the international flagship for German science: in addition to institutions outside of Germany, it operates another 20 Max Planck Centers with research institutions such as Princeton University in the USA, the Paris University Science Po in France, the University College London in UK, and the University of Tokyo in Japan. Equally funded by federal and state governments, the University College London in UK, and the University of Tokyo in Japan. Equally funded by federal and state governments, the Max Planck Society had an annual budget of 1.98 billion Euros in 2022.https://www.mpg.de/343990/meteorology-stevenslatestthinking.orgIf you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Henry Ajder, a globally recognised advisor, speaker, and broadcaster working at the frontier of the generative AI and synthetic media revolution. AI-generated deep fakes - their current and future impact, synthetic media How to do news sourcing and verifications and break breaking news as soon as possible? especially when Twitter has become the place for breaking newsAI generated fakes are being used to cause stock market manipulation or to target companies to artificially inflate or attack their stock prices Ethical AI development and use - are there realistic cohesive and multistakeholder dialogues and strategies taking place? Actual well-informed legislation and regulation?Which labour sectors will be most impacted and which won't?We will see increasing social unrest - If people are unhappy with any innovation - people will protestA lot of the jobs that are at risk are where people actually refuse to innovate and adapt. So people using AI are going to replace people who don’t. Human-guided AI will be the key, for both businesses and individuals (graphic design, artists, content journalists, education and educational content)If we take a bird’s eye view of history, where are we in time? In terms of invention and our perception of our abilities and opportunities?Synthetic resurrection, AI companions, romantic attachments to chatbots,We’ve never been able to replicate reality beforeHenry Ajder is a globally recognised advisor, speaker, and broadcaster working at the frontier of the generative AI and synthetic media revolution.Henry’s work has transformed society’s understanding of deepfakes and generative AI. He has led pioneering research at organisations including MIT, WITNESS, and Sensity AI, influencing international legislation and corporate AI strategy.He advises organisations on the opportunities and challenges these game-changing technologies present, including Meta, The European Commission, BBC, The Partnership on AI, and The House of Lords.Previously, Henry led Synthetic Futures, the first initiative dedicated to ethical generative AI and metaverse technologies, bringing together over 50 industry-leading organisations.Henry presented the BBC documentary series, The Future will be Synthesised, and regularly features in global media including The New York Times, MIT Tech Review, CNN, Reuters, and The Financial Times. He has been published by outlets including WIRED, The Next Web, NYU, and The World AI Summit. An established keynote speaker and guest expert, Henry has spoken at venues including SXSW, CogX, The University of Oxford, and Adweek. He has been named in the top 20 European power players in Generative AI by the publication Sifted, and a top 15 Generative AI Expert by Champions Speaking Agency.https://www.henryajder.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/henryajder/If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Sibylle Barden is an author and SDG and ESG strategist. She is an early champion of Stakeholder Capitalism. Her latest political novel „The Honeyguide“ was selected by the Frankfurt Book Fair as “one of 8 revolutionary books recommended for film adaptation”. Your host for this episode is Michal Koran, the Founder of the Global Arena Research Institute. Enjoy subscribe and share!Stakeholder capitalism - what is it?Regions are developing or even stagnating unevenly - despite all the funds and strategies - creating a divisive environment in EuropeKlaus Schwab's “great reset”200 big global players committed to the ESGs and SDGs  Biodiversity and climate changeAlmost a million plant and animal species to become extinct in the coming decadesIssue of taxation - corporations to pay their fair shareCall for a global tax system?ESG is not just there for the planet, it's a new business model Clean supply chainsMore regulation and measuring "The world of tomorrow was yesterday" - Michal Koranhttps://sibyllebarden.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/sibylle-barden/If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

All there is to know about the metaverse with Claudia May del Pozo, Executive Director of the Eon Resilience Lab, under C Minds, a women-led action tank that works at the intersection of digitalization, new technologies, and society with a strong focus on Latin America. We’re going to be chatting about the metaverse.monopoly on metaverse? or utopian version built on blockchain?when will we have a metaverse? next stage of social mediaproblems:accessibilityinclusionprivacy and security uses of virtual realityQuestions posed:What is the metaverse, and how is it different from virtual reality or augmented reality? How do you envision the metaverse evolving in the coming years, and what impact do you think it will have on our daily lives?What ethical considerations should be taken into account when designing and implementing the metaverse, particularly with regards to data privacy and security? What is being done so that the metaverse is accessible to all, regardless of their socioeconomic background or geographic location?How can the metaverse be used to promote social and environmental causes, and what are some examples of this in action? What role do you see governments playing in regulating the metaverse, and what challenges do you think they will face in doing so? https://mx.linkedin.com/in/claudiamdelpozo/enIf you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

Today’s guest is Stanford Institute of Human Centered AI’s Nestor Maslej here to chat about this year’s AI Index Report - this is the second time we’re here together and I’d highly recommend listening to last year’s episode with Nestor on the 2022 Report. What are the trends, opportunities and challenges in AI from this last year?AI is being used to tangibly increase scientific advancement in energyTricking chat gpt into building a dirty bomb or listing pirated movie websitesHumanity faces the challenge of finding a way to manage the risks associated with artificial intelligence while ensuring that the benefits are shared by everyone.Top AI trends this year, compared to last yearCareer advice 2013 vs 2023 - 2013: “study computer science that is the future instead of being, say, a welder”, to 2023: “go back to being a welder, AI is going to replace all the computer science jobs”Generative AI seems to be going after creativesHow much money is AI generating?AI ethics on the risePublic Opinion on AIWhen will we get to Artificial General intelligence?Listen to last year’s episode with Nestor on the 2022 AI Index Report: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1477957/10744662Nestor Maslej: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nestor-maslej-b565b779/AI Index Report: https://aiindex.stanford.edu/report/Nestor Maslej, Loredana Fattorini, Erik Brynjolfsson, John Etchemendy, Katrina Ligett, Terah Lyons, James Manyika, Helen Ngo, Juan Carlos Niebles, Vanessa Parli, Yoav Shoham, Russell Wald, Jack Clark, and Raymond Perrault, “The AI Index 2023 Annual Report,” AI Index Steering Committee, Institute for Human-Centered AI, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, April 2023.Your host of Last Week on Earth with GARI: Odessa Primus: https://www.linkedin.com/in/odessa-primus/If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

We chat today about chat GPT, Destination Earth as well as the changing approach to discovery and the advancement of science and technology. Enjoy, subscribe and share!Destination Earth (DestinE), is an ambitious initiative to create a digital twin – an interactive computer simulation – of our planet to empower climate change adaptation and to prevent environmental degradation.As extreme weather becomes increasingly frequent and changes in climate more pronounced, there is an urgent need to forecast these events with even greater accuracy, to predict their impact on the environment, life and property.Using an unprecedented amount of data, innovative Earth system models and cutting-edge computing, Destination Earth will allow users to explore interactively the different components of the Earth system and natural and human-induced change. They will be able and to look at the past and present and to test and develop future scenarios.ECMWF, the European Space Agency (ESA) and the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) are the three organisations entrusted by the EU to achieve this unprecedented endeavour for climate, weather and computing sciences.By pushing the limits of computing and climate sciences, DestinE is a cornerstone of the European Commission’s efforts to boost Europe’s digital capabilities and the Green Deal actions on climate change and to prevent environmental degradation.The first phase of the programme – its initial implementation phase – will be completed by June 2024. It will focus on configuring, deploying and demonstrating the initial infrastructure building blocks that will support Destination Earth in its future phases.Peter’s current role at ECMWF (the European center for medium ranged weather forecasting) is as Director of Destination Earth. Destination Earth is an ambitious initiative of the European Commission to develop a highly accurate digital twin, or replica, of Earth to to monitor and predict the interaction between natural phenomena and human activities. Key to predicting the effects and building resilience to climate changePeter had previously founded and led the ECMWF Scalability Programme which addresses the challenges of operating complex Earth system models on future supercomputing facilities.As Head of the Satellite Section, he has been coordinating all scientific and technical activities related to the efficient use of space-borne observations of the atmosphere, oceans, land and the cryosphere.https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-bauer-712677109/https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/what-we-do/environmental-services-and-future-vision/destination-earthhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/odessa-primus/https://www.globari.org/If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter

We’re excited to launch a new series of shorter podcast episodes where we give you a deeper look into what is happening right now globally and regionally and GARI’s insights into it. GARI’s digital twin of the globalised world enables us to do complex analyses and have valuable insight into topics we deal with. Today we delve into the changing landscape of global interconnectedness, regionalization of trade, investment, technological exchange and a close look at China, Russia and Europe.With your hosts: GARI’s Executive Director Odessa Primus and Founder Michal Koran and this is Last Week on Earth with GARIGlobal decoupling until now has been pretty foggy, however, this is changing and we’re now seeing a world that is deeply fragmented - in which sectors is this most prominent and what should we be looking out for?Europe will have difficulty finding its place in the sun in this new world - what are the circumstances for Europe and how does it differ from other regions?Is Europe responding to new trends, challenges and opportunities? Why is Europe still lagging and in which areas is it most urgent?How would you describe the new trajectories of Russia and China since the invasion?What are China and Russia doing to diversify their trade and how does it compare to Europe’s efforts?What are the regional differences in Europe and how does that impact the politics, economics and society within the regions and Europe as a whole?What should Europe be paying attention to right now and what should be done?If you want better insights into challenges and decisions you or your business are facing, GARI’s analytical services are of unmatched complexity and high accuracy - whether your questions are on the green energy transition, trade and supply chains, or political and security related - contact us for a free consultation and see how you can optimise your decision-making.www.globari.org@LinkedIn @GARInstitute) / Twitter