What are banks predicting for 2025?

In this candid episode, the Talking Shop crew discuss the market volatility of April 2025 following President Trump's tariff announcements. They share their personal trading experiences during a "therapy session" for traders facing unprecedented market swings.Key Timestamps:00:27:07: Introduction to the "Talking Shop Therapy Session"02:10:03: Initial tariff announcement and market reaction08:19:20: Sunday night market crash12:59:04: Margin increases and risk management19:41:21: Pete's "Disneyland disaster" trading story24:30:07: "Walk Back Wednesday" and 12% market recovery28:21:16: How the bond market forced policy changes36:16:14: Sector impacts and long-term economic effects43:46:16: Key lessons learned from April turbulenceRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.

Hosts Luke Moore, Sean Power, and Pete Ward break down the five most common mistakes retail traders make and share practical solutions to avoid them. Drawing from their extensive experience, they discuss poor risk management, overtrading, emotional biases, lack of trading plans, and unrealistic expectations.Timestamps00:00 - Introduction and overview01:42 - Why traders make mistakes and how awareness helps03:52 - Mistake #1: Poor risk management and position sizing07:27 - Research on percentage-based stops09:12 - Psychology of chasing losses10:36 - Mistake #2: Overtrading and transaction costs14:53 - How transaction costs affect trading performance17:19 - Benefits of cooling-off periods after losses17:58 - Mistake #3: Emotional biases and the disposition effect20:17 - Banking gains and accepting losses23:21 - Research on trading psychology24:56 - Mistake #4: Lack of trading plan28:16 - Statistics on trading plans32:38 - Six essential components of a trading plan35:04 - Mistake #5: Unrealistic expectations37:35 - Reality vs. expectations in trading returns42:18 - Summary of the five major trading mistakesRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.

In this episode the boys discuss the challenging strategy of buying market dips. They share personal trading experiences, break down mathematical models from JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, and explore key indicators for identifying market bottoms.  Timestamps 00:00 Introduction 02:06 Definition of "buying the dip" and challenges of timing market bottoms 04:52 Personal trading experiences with buying dips (Novo Nordisk, Carnival, Rolls-Royce) 09:11 Discussion on patience and conviction needed during market recoveries 12:18 JP Morgan's phased accumulation model for scaling into positions during drops 16:00 Goldman Sachs' volatility-based approach and Morgan Stanley's fundamental-technical strategy 34:48 Technical indicators for market bottoms, especially volume spikes as signals 39:12 Institutional flows and put/call ratio as contrarian indicators 44:08 CNBC's "Markets in Turmoil" indicator as a bullish signal 46:08 Closing game of market clichésRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.

Luke Moore and Peter Ward are joined by special guest Axel Rudolph, IG's Senior Technical Analyst and former chair of the Society of Technical Analysts. They dive deep into what may be the most overlooked yet critical aspect of successful trading: position sizing. Discover why even experienced traders can blow up their accounts, how to adapt your strategy during volatile markets, and practical approaches to risk management that could increase your staying power. Timestamps 00:00 Intro 02:37 Core theme: "It all boils down to risk and position sizing" 05:54 Why position sizing is overlooked: "Human nature... it all comes down to math" 10:59 Definition of risk per trade and percentage-based approach 21:53 Using ATR (Average True Range) to adjust sizing based on volatility 28:54 Warning against removing stops during volatile periods 36:40 Case study of account growth and losses due to poor sizing 44:52 Final takeaway: "Reduce, reduce, reduce" Remember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.

In this episode Luke, Pete, and Ronni share essential insights into creating and maintaining an effective trading plan.They discuss why having a systematic approach is crucial for trading success and how to avoid common pitfalls. Key Timestamps:00:00 - Opening01:37 - Introduction on trading plans and acting with intent08:01 - Discussion on finding balance between research and taking action12:01 - Key insights about probability and risk management17:32 - Deep dive into trading journals25:00 - Important discussion on defining trading success30:20 - How long it takes to become profitable34:47 - Most common trading mistakes and pitfalls44:03 - Portfolio management adviceRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.

In this episode of Talking Shop with IG, hosts Luke, Sean, and guest Ronni dive deep into the psychological aspects of trading, focusing on three major cognitive biases that can make or break a trader's success.Key Timestamps:00:02:19 - Introduction to trading biases and their impact00:03:17 - How traders often enter markets with inherent biases00:04:00 - Introduction to three main types of bias: confirmation bias, gambler's fallacy, and loss aversion00:11:14 - Real-world example of confirmation bias using Tesla stock00:19:15 - Deep dive into the Monte Carlo fallacy and gambler's bias00:28:10 - Exploration of loss aversion and its psychological impact00:40:29 - Practical advice for managing trading biases00:42:04 – Key summary and tips on trading biases00:45:20 - "Margin Call" segment: Discussion of notable market fails of the weekLike and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit. Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment. Your capital may be at risk.

In this eye-opening episode of Talking Shop, Luke, Pete, and Sean dive deep into trade analysis and the mathematics and psychology of successful trading. With over 45 years of combined trading experience, the hosts break down essential concepts like risk management, win ratios, and position sizing. Learn why even legendary traders like Ray Dalio and Stanley Druckenmiller don't win as many trades as you think.Key Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction and welcome to the new season00:02:03 - Introducing "Trade Craft" series and hosts' combined trading experience00:04:26 - Deep dive into risk vs. reward concepts00:07:13 - Important insight: "The market doesn't owe you anything"00:12:33 - Discussion of win ratios: Ray Dalio and Stanley Druckenmiller's success rates00:19:13 - Example of calculating proper trade size00:24:48 - The dangers of overleveraging and account preservation00:32:29 - Setting trading goals and measuring success00:39:15 – Key points and IG available resources00:42:40 - "Margin Call" segment: Who is the biggest loser?Find out more: https://upl.inc/talkingshop Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.  Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit. Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment. Your capital may be at risk.

The boys return for a new special, joined by Joe Little, HSBC Asset Management chief investment strategist, as they look ahead to what investors can expect from 2025, the markets to watch and the moments that matter.

It has been a year of volatility with elections, interest rates, AI, geo-politics to name just a few headliners – but what will 2025 offer? IG’s star analysts Chris Beauchamp, Axel Rudolph, Angeline Ong and Rich McDonald sit down to look at the details

The Talking Shop team return to close the year with a preview special. Joined by Trade Live with IG’s Rich McDonald, the guys look at what banks predicted for 2024, how close they came to being correct and importantly what they expect to happen in 2025 through stocks, markets, indices, FX and commodities.