Economic Outlook and Recession Prediction - Jim Welsh #6143

Kerry Lutz and Martin Armstrong engaged in a comprehensive discussion analyzing the recent political landscape, particularly focusing on the implications of the recent election and the broader socio-economic context. Armstrong highlighted his prediction of Trump's victory based on economic models, criticizing the left's failure to accept the results due to their reliance on criminal charges against Trump. He drew historical parallels to significant events like the Great Depression and the fall of the Berlin Wall, warning of a potential collapse of socialism in the West and expressing concern over the psychological state of current political leaders. The conversation also delved into U.S. foreign policy, with Armstrong critiquing military engagements since World War II, particularly regarding Ukraine. He noted the discontent among Ukrainians towards President Zelensky, whom he described as a Western puppet, and suggested that neoconservative interests are prolonging the conflict to hinder Trump's anti-war agenda. Lutz added that there are emerging calls for peace from various groups, indicating a potential shift in geopolitical dynamics. Armstrong further analyzed the political elite's influence, suggesting that a vote for Camilla represents a continuation of entrenched power structures, and he controversially claimed that Hillary Clinton would have been a more effective leader. The discussion also covered economic strategies, with Armstrong proposing innovative solutions to tackle national debt, such as issuing coupons and swapping debt to lower interest rates. He argued for a reevaluation of the tax system, suggesting a shift from income tax to tariffs and consumption taxes, while expressing skepticism about the feasibility of repealing the 16th Amendment. Both speakers expressed concerns about the sustainability of the U.S. economy and the banking system, emphasizing the need for significant political change to address these pressing issues. They concluded by reflecting on the potential effectiveness of Trump's second term, suggesting that the circumstances surrounding the 2020 election may provide him with a clearer path to governance. Find Martin here: https://ArmstrongEconomics.com Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com and here: https://inflation.cafe

Financial expert David Stryzewski, guided by Kerry Lutz, provided insights into the market's positive response to recent election results, particularly highlighting the stock and crypto markets' uptick. Stryzewski contrasted the economic strategies of the two candidates, expressing optimism about a potential shift under Trump's leadership while simultaneously voicing concerns about the escalating national debt and geopolitical tensions. He suggested that Trump's team, composed of wealthy individuals, might offer innovative solutions to these pressing issues, especially regarding peace negotiations. The discussion emphasized the critical need for the new administration to tackle the nation's financial and political challenges effectively. Stryzewski also addressed the promising trend of reshoring manufacturing jobs to the U.S., which he believes is vital for economic recovery, and highlighted the importance of domestic resource production. However, he cautioned about potential threats, including a banking crisis and the emergence of an alternative currency system by BRICS nations that could destabilize the U.S. Dollar. He discussed the implications of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act for retirement funds and urged the implementation of tax strategies before year-end. Additionally, Stryzewski recommended focusing on undervalued assets like silver and advised caution regarding technology stocks. He raised concerns about the upcoming January 6, 2025 transition, particularly regarding security issues related to immigration, while also sharing information about his company, Sound Planning Group, and its resources on tax and Medicare changes. Find David here: https://myspg.com Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz hosted Thomas J. DiLorenzo to discuss the implications of China's economic strategies, as outlined in DiLorenzo's book, "Casino Economy." DiLorenzo expressed concerns that China's monetary injections are aimed at creating temporary economic booms, which often lead to significant downturns. Both speakers emphasized that such strategies prioritize short-term political gains over sustainable economic stability, arguing that true prosperity arises from saving, investing, and productive work rather than financialization. They also explored the potential for substantial cuts to the U.S. economy through the elimination of redundant government agencies, including proposals to abolish the income tax to foster a more prosperous society. The conversation addressed issues of federal land ownership, with Lutz noting that the government owns a significant portion of land in states like California and Nevada. DiLorenzo criticized the government's management of these lands and advocated for private ownership to ensure better care and sustainability. They also discussed government overreach, exemplified by an incident involving New York State officials seizing and killing a pet squirrel and raccoon. They expressed concerns about the bureaucratic mindset that prioritizes justifying budgets over individual well-being. Finally, they discussed the idea of secession as a response to government overreach, with DiLorenzo noting that some regions are moving towards "soft secession," while Lutz shared his experience of relocating from New York to Florida for its favorable tax and regulatory environment. Find Tom's Articles here: https://www.lewrockwell.com/author/thomas-dilorenzo/ Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com  and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz hosted Bill Walton for a discussion centered on the upcoming election and the current economic landscape, with Walton expressing optimism about Trump's potential return to office. He highlighted concerns among Democrats as indicative of possible shifts in political dynamics and advocated for significant policy changes, including the elimination of the income tax to enhance personal privacy and reduce government interference. Walton emphasized the role of tariffs in revitalizing American businesses and suggested a combination of tariffs and a national sales tax as a viable strategy. They also critiqued the proliferation of federal agencies, arguing that many are redundant and impede business growth, while referencing successful regulatory reductions from the Trump administration as a model for future reforms. The conversation further delved into pressing issues such as government spending, corporate welfare, and rising crime rates in urban areas. Walton and Lutz discussed the need for substantial cuts to address the national debt and inflation, proposing the sale of federal lands to improve resource management. They expressed concern over the decriminalization of theft in certain states, noting its negative impact on businesses and communities. The discussion also touched on migration trends from blue states to red states, with Florida and Texas highlighted as popular destinations. Additionally, they shared insights on effective podcasting and job application strategies, emphasizing the importance of clarity and purpose in both endeavors. Overall, the meeting underscored the urgency of addressing economic and social challenges while exploring potential solutions. Find Bill here: Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com  and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz engaged in discussions with Moshe Popack and Dave Aizer about the current state and future prospects of Florida's real estate market, highlighting the challenges and opportunities arising from the post-COVID landscape. Popack reflected on his experiences during the foreclosure crisis and noted the struggles within commercial real estate, while expressing optimism due to the influx of new residents and the demand for office space from Fortune 500 companies. Aizer addressed the issues facing malls, advocating for innovative repurposing strategies under Florida's Live Local Act, which could transform abandoned properties into residential and community spaces. Both speakers acknowledged the rising costs of living and the condo crisis, suggesting potential adjustments to laws regarding condo reserves to ease financial burdens on owners. Additionally, Lutz and Popack discussed the U.S.'s health challenges, emphasizing the need for community education on nutrition and advocating for a shift towards healthier food choices to reduce healthcare costs. Overall, the conversation reflected a complex yet hopeful outlook on South Florida's economic and health landscape. Find Moshe here: Moshe Popack Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz welcomes Peter Dembicki, CEO of Tier One Silver ((🇺🇸TSLVF -- 🇨🇦TSLV) for an update on the company’s latest exploration progress and the potential for significant silver discoveries. Peter shares important results from recent channel sampling, including the discovery of nearly 9,000 grams per tonne of silver, over four grams of gold and the presence of arsenic—indicating promising precious metal deposits below the surface. Peter provides insight into Tier One Silver’s aggressive exploration in Peru, where they’re targeting a massive, untapped silver deposit. He explains the geological significance of recent findings and the 500 meters of elevation where their best intercepts may lie. Peter and Kerry discuss the current state of the silver market, with silver prices on the rise and poised for a potential surge. Peter anticipates silver catching up to gold's recent performance, driving investor interest in silver exploration and mining companies. Tier One Silver’s Future: With silver gaining momentum, Peter outlines the company’s plans to resume drilling and why their property’s unique elevation and geological factors offer tremendous upside potential. He emphasizes the company’s readiness to capitalize on market shifts once they secure the necessary capital. We own shares. Company Website: https://TierOneSilver.com

During the meeting led by Kerry Lutz, Ed Sidell provided an analysis of the current economic landscape, highlighting the disparity between strong GDP figures and negative public sentiment driven by inflation from government spending, which has reached $6.75 trillion in fiscal year 2024. Concerns were raised about the national debt potentially reaching $36 trillion by election day, alongside a discussion of Trump's proposal to eliminate federal income tax, which Sidell deemed feasible if accompanied by a VAT, and the potential benefits of reducing the business tax from 21% to 15% to stimulate growth. The conversation also touched on market trends in anticipation of the upcoming election, with indications that the market may be pricing in a Trump victory, and concerns about inflation's impact on bond yields. Additionally, Lutz presented a theory regarding the influence of intelligence agencies on major media outlets, suggesting that the Washington Post and New York Times serve as conduits for the CIA and DOJ/FBI, respectively, and referenced historical connections to these agencies. Find Ed here: egsifinancial.com Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and Chris Markowski engaged in a comprehensive discussion about the current political and economic climate, highlighting concerns over rising bond yields and skepticism regarding China's economic stability, particularly its real estate challenges and ineffective stimulus measures. Markowski criticized the recent 50 basis point rate cut as unjustified, pointing out the alarming national debt situation where interest payments dominate the federal budget. He expressed worries about the commercial real estate market, suggesting it is in a worse state than during the Great Recession, and criticized the government's "extend and pretend" approach to debt management. The conversation also touched on taxation, with Markowski advocating for a national sales tax over income tax, emphasizing the need for a repeal of the income tax to avoid complications. Find Chris here: watchdogonwallstreet.com Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe  

Kerry Lutz and Andrew Ragusa engaged in a comprehensive discussion about the New York real estate market, focusing on the effects of rising mortgage payments and inflation on home prices, noting that homes are selling for unexpectedly high prices despite needing repairs, as buyers are becoming less selective. Lutz expressed skepticism regarding the government's ability to effectively address these challenges, while Ragusa underscored the importance of property ownership amidst these difficulties. They also observed a trend of individuals returning to urban areas due to employer demands, which is influencing market dynamics. Additionally, they shifted their focus to investment trends, highlighting a growing preference for hard assets like gold and silver as a hedge against economic uncertainty, with Ragusa noting the increasing appeal of physical assets amid stock market fluctuations. Lutz, an experienced investor in precious metals, remarked on the rising prices and future growth potential of gold and silver, while also discussing silver's practical applications in technology.  Find Andrew here: andrew_ragusa_ Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and David Erfle engaged in a detailed discussion about the recent positive trends in the gold and silver markets, highlighting significant price movements and market dynamics. Silver has notably surpassed the $32.50 resistance level, reaching $35, while gold prices have also seen substantial gains. Erfle pointed out that miners are consolidating in a bullish flag pattern, breaking through key resistance levels, which has rekindled interest from retail investors after a decade of decline. Despite these gains, both the GDX and GDXJ indices still have considerable growth potential compared to historical highs. The conversation also touched on the upcoming Q3 earnings announcement from Newmont, with expectations of strong results due to rising gold prices, which could further attract fund managers as the stock market shows signs of weakness. The discussion further explored the evolving landscape of the mining industry, with major companies acquiring junior mining assets to enhance their portfolios, particularly focusing on high-margin deposits. Erfle noted the relative ease of obtaining mining permits in certain countries, which could be expedited by changes in political leadership. Both speakers emphasized the importance of modern, environmentally friendly mining practices and the growing industrial demand for silver, which has been experiencing a four-year deficit. They also cautioned potential investors about the risks associated with buying silver, including scams and the need for due diligence. The conversation concluded with a reflection on the importance of capable management in the junior mining sector, underscoring the need for vigilance and education in navigating this volatile market. Find David here:  JuniorMinerJunky Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe