Are Option Probabilities B.S.?

In this episode, we reveal a SPX weekly options strategy selling put credit spreads that expire the following day. This strategy uses bullish TTR readings from Alpha Crunching to determine whether or not to take the trade that day. Today's episode is from a video training recently sent to Alpha Crunching subscribers and posted in the free community. Here's the link to watch the 10m video presentation of this strategy:https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/posts/55173187The TTR is a metric from https://www.alphacrunching.com that shows the tendency for the next day to close higher from the current day. TTR stands for Tomorrow's Triumph rate. Use code SPX50 at https://www.alphacrunching.com for 50% off your first month. Want to connect with myself? Find me on LinkedIn:Eric O'Rourke: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jericorourke/After that, join other listeners at https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Also, Alpha Traders Club is where I host my SPX Live Chat each day for trading SPX weekly options. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, I'll briefly explain what options net flow is. In short, many of the options flow providers now offer some version of options net flow which is a graphical way to gauge the options sentiment of a stock or index. I find this mush more useful and applicable compare to the traditional overwhelm of a grid based data feed. Want to connect with myself? Find me on LinkedIn:Eric O'Rourke: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jericorourke/After that, join other listeners at https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Alpha Crunching forecasts for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Also, Alpha Traders Club is where I host my SPX Live Chat each day for trading SPX weekly options. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, I got to speak to Mat Cashman, Principal of Investor Education at OCC. Mat takes us through the life cycle of an options trade by explaining the inner workings of the market and some of the players and institutions that make it all possible. One of those institutions is the OCC (The Options Clearing Corporation) which is the world’s largest equity derivatives clearing organization. For nearly 50 years, OCC has provided financial stability and risk management to the U.S. listed-options marketplace.Want to connect with myself or Mat? Follow us on LinkedIn:Mat Cashman: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mat-cashman/Eric O'Rourke: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jericorourke/After that, join other listeners at https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Alpha Crunching forecasts for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this new segment, we'll discuss current micro trends and patterns in the stock market using insights from Alpha Crunching. Alpha Crunching provides time series analysis and forecasts for the S&P500 which can reveal short term trading patterns in the context of larger trend. In this episode, we'll discuss a neutral bearish strategy of selling call credit spreads in the context of the current uptrend so far in 2024. It's important to remember that the trend is our friend until it ends and we're expecting the trend discussed in this episode to end at some point as well. The options strategy discussed in this episode is for educational and illustrative purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Alpha Crunching forecasts for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, we'll try to answer the question of whether or not holding to expiration is better than taking profits early when being a net options seller. We'll explore this question by comparing a recently posted SPX Weekly Options Strategy from the SPX Income Masterclass. We'll compare holding the trades to expiration from 2021-2023 vs. taking profits a 50% of the max gain. As we'll discuss, strike selection and win rate can be determining factors in deciding when to take profits as part of the strategy you are trading. Want the full video training of today's strategy?Here's the link to the SPX Income Masterclass:https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/4688450Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, I detail a recent Iron Condor trade I ended up rolling up and out due to bullish stock market conditions.I'll explain how I was able to recenter the Iron Condor around the current price without having to add any more risk to the trade. This allowed me to stay in the trade longer so I could profit from time decay. Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, I got to speak with John from GexBot.com to talk about how the stock market startup came to be as well as the information it provides short term traders using GEX (gamma exposure) and the options profile. To learn more about GexBot, check out their YouTube channel here:https://www.youtube.com/@gexbotand be sure to follow them on Twitter here:https://twitter.com/thegexbotWant to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating weekly and monthly income trading options on high quality stocks and ETFs. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, I discuss how I'm building a position with Tesla stock and two things that spooked me after entering. Depending on when you are listening to this episode, my position may have changed or been closed depending on market conditions. This episode is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice of any kind. As mentioned in the episode, TSLA stock is in a downtrend and the downtrend is not over. Contrarian trading like this can have greater downside risk. Here's the link to the TSLA chart post mentioned in the episode:https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/posts/49101242Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating income. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

In this episode, we'll cover some tips an tricks when putting Buy Sell Indicators on your charts so that you don't get chopped up and frustrated. Finding the usefulness of the indicator should be the primary goal when adding it your chart. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Alpha Traders Club also posts Conservative Covered Call trades each week for generating income. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

I made my first trading mistake of 2024 on the very first trading day of the year. So in this episode, I walk you through that day and the mistake I made with my trade. Alpha Traders Club is where I host my 0DTE Live Chat each day for trading SPX 0DTE and 1DTE trades. We focus on the premarket data and levels, technical analysis, and options flow for trading high probability trades for weekly income. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Want to try the Intraday Seasonality indicator for the S&P500?Use code SPX50 for 50% your first month of https://www.alphacrunching.com. Alpha Crunching is a unique analytics app for short term traders of the S&P500. Want to connect with myself and other listeners of this podcast?Go to https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.