Saigon vs Kabul: Political and Geopolitical Consequences with Andrew Busch

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss preparations for next Thursday’s CNN presidential debate and new polls from Fox News that show Joe Biden’s numbers improving over former president Trump. Then, they talk about a New York Times survey that shows Biden’s advantage among women declining and a new ranking of American cities based on how well they are run. Next, Tom Bevan talks to Spencer Kimball of the Emerson College Polling Center on new poll results from the swing states. And finally, Carl Cannon talks with Lindsay Chervinsky, new head of the George Washington Presidential Library at Mount Vernon.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss Tuesday’s primary results in Virginia and Boeing CEO David Calhoun’s congressional testimony. They also talk about the significance of Juneteenth as a federal holiday and the passing of baseball legend Willie Mays, who left us yesterday at the age of 93. Next, Tom Bevan talks to RCP contributor Charles Lipson about the political strategy behind Donald Trump’s promise to stop taxing workers’ tips. And then, Carl Cannon talks with Jean Becker, former chief of staff to George H. W. Bush, about his legacy.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss President Biden’s new executive order on immigration and White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre’s contention yesterday that recent unflattering viral video clips of the President are “cheapfakes.” They also talk about new polling from Gallup that shows Democrats becoming more liberal on social issues and Donald Trump’s visit today to rally Republicans in Racine, Wisconsin. Next, Carl talks with RCP national correspondent Susan Crabtree about how a US Secret Service agent was robbed at gunpoint while on assignment with the president for Saturday’s Hollywood gala. And lastly, Andrew talks with tax historian Phillip W. Magness about Donald Trump’s plan to replace the income tax with tariffs and how the U.S. ended up with an income tax in the first place.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss Joe Biden’s Hollywood fundraiser this past weekend and the controversy over a video of the president leaving the stage. Plus, the meaning of a new article from the UK Daily Mail outlining a “Secret Democrat Plot to Replace Biden.” They also talk about changes in the RCP Average of 2024 Generic Congressional Vote polls, Trump moving up in the RCP Betting Averages, and a growing debate within the progressive movement on the role of families and children. Next, Tom Bevan talks with Rachel Hoff, policy director at the Ronald Reagan Institute, about a new poll on Americans’ attitudes concerning US global engagement. And rounding it out, Carl Cannon talks with RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about the Biden’ campaign’s new video focused on former President Trump’s recent conviction and his efforts to woo Black voters in Michigan.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss Donald Trump’s meeting on capitol hill yesterday with GOP senators and representatives and the possibility that Trump is taking a more pragmatic approach in 2024 than in previous elections. They also chat about how voters should evaluate viral videos showing what are portrayed as Biden’s age-related gaffes, the recent polls that say Biden is doing surprisingly well among older voters, and today’s New York Times profile by Peter Baker of Hollywood producer Jeffrey Katzenberg who the author calls “Biden’s secret weapon.” Plus, they discuss a USA TODAY interview with Robert F. Kennedy who claims he'll be on the ballot in all 50 states. And lastly, Carl Cannon talks with RCP contributor Peter Berkowitz about the changing US policy toward Israel.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss today’s meeting between President Biden and Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky and the announcement of a 10-year US/Ukraine security arrangement. Also, they have a discussion of last night’s Congressional Baseball Game, which was disrupted by climate protestors. Plus, they also talk about Hillary Clinton’s endorsement of Westchester County Executive George Latimer for the New York congressional seat held by Representative Jamaal Bowman and they chat about new polling that reveals Donald Trump is making significant inroads with younger voters, including a New York Times/Siena poll that shows Biden with only a 2-point lead over Trump with voters between the ages of 18-29. Next, Andrew Walworth talks with Republican strategist John Feehery about Donald Trump’s return to Capitol Hill, where he met with GOP House members and senators. Then lastly, Carl Cannon talks with Richard Benedetto, remembering President George H. W. Bush on what would have been his 100th birthday.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss President Biden’s trip to Europe for the annual G-7 Summit and the implications of this weekend’s European Union elections. Also, the arrest by the FBI of eight foreign nationals in the US who are allegedly tied to Isis-K, the Afghan branch of the international terrorist organization. They also talk about new polling on voters’ attitudes toward Vice President Kamala Harris from Politico/Morning Consult, the results of yesterday’s primaries, and the life of journalist Howard Fineman who passed away at the age of 75. Next, Tom Bevan talks with RCP national correspondent Susan Crabtree about Army veteran Sam Brown’s victory in the Republican senate primary in Nevada. He will face incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen in November in what is expected to be one of the nation’s most closely watched 2024 Senate races. And finally, Carl Cannon talks to RCP contributor Eric Spitz about the Olympics and Israeli athletes, the state of higher education, and Hunter Biden’s conviction on federal gun charges.

Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss the political impact of the Hunter Biden verdict on federal gun charges and whether President Biden will pardon or commute his son’s sentence. They also chat about newly released footage of Nancy Pelosi from January 6th and a recent article in Rolling Stone magazine on Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito which was based on secret audio recordings made by a reporter posing as a religious conservative. Then, Andrew and Carl talk with Karlyn Bowman, public opinion expert at the American Enterprise Institute about voters’ attitudes toward politicians’ ethics and how they view Donald Trump in the wake of his New York conviction. And finally, Tom Bevan speaks with RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende about the latest polls.

Andrew Walworth, Carl Cannon and White House Correspondent Phil Wegmann discuss a new Atlantic article by Mark Leibovich concerning Biden’s age and acuity and the politics of former President Trump’s continued gag order after the verdict in his New York hush money case. They also talk about the successful rescue of four hostages by the IDF over the weekend and the possibility that the US would negotiate directly with Hamas for the release of five Americans held hostage by them in Gaza. Then, Andrew and Carl talk with Miranda Devine, New York Post columnist and author of “Laptop From Hell: Hunter Biden, Big Tech, and the Dirty Secrets the President Tried to Hide” about the Biden family behavior at the Hunter Biden gun trial and the appearance of the laptop at the trial plus, new revelations from the proceedings.

Andrew, Tom, and Carl discuss new jobs numbers from the Department of Labor and new polling that shows Trump and Biden tied in Virginia. They also talk about President Biden’s second speech commemorating the 80th anniversary of D-Day and Donald Trump’s fundraising event in San Francisco hosted by venture capitalist David Sacks. Next, Tom talks with White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about Team Biden’s strategy for handling the Hunter Biden gun trial. And finally, Carl talks with Adeline Von Drehle about Donald Trump joining TikTok and how other politicians have embraced social media.