Episode 338: Ebrahim Raisi Is Dead

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the arrival of a Russian flotilla, including a nuclear-powered submarine to the port of Havana, Cuba. This Russian show of force comes weeks after President Biden authorized Ukraine’s use of U.S.-provided weapons for strikes within Russian territory.  Amidst the arrival of Russian ships, a U.S. nuclear-powered submarine made a “routine port visit” to Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.What do we make of the timing of Russia’s visit to Cuba? Was the U.S. sub arriving at Guantanamo Bay an intentional show of force? What is in store for future U.S.-Cuban relations?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/12/americas/russian-navy-cuba-intl/index.htmlhttps://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/americas/cuba-russian-ships-submarine-visit-intl-latam/index.html https://apnews.com/article/russia-cuba-us-submarine-ukraine-bac0519f4fdbe30a5ef210447d50a671 Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@BishopGarrison@NotTVJessJonesLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/3jBT4DTpqx4 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the outcome of the European Union’s parliamentary elections where 720 seats were up for grabs. After four days of voting, the centrist European People’s Party (EPP) was the biggest single winner with 186 seats. However, far-right parties are also set to win 150 seats many of which came from France, Italy, and Germany.What are the implications of this election for the U.S.’ trans-Atlantic policy? How does this election impact Europe's support of Ukraine? Do the gains by the far-right in the European parliament foreshadow national election wins?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/european-parliament-election-results-takeaways/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/eu-parliament-election-results-france-germany/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/11/world/europe/giorgia-meloni-italy-g7.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/european-union-vote-delivers-shift-to-right-in-blow-to-french-and-german-governments-8f1c0f23 https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/10/europe/european-elections-explainer-intl/index.html Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@BishopGarrison@NotTVJessJonesLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/APanvWqyDdI Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the ongoing civil war in Sudan between the Rapid Support Force (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) which has displaced over 8 million people. Most recently, the RSF assaulted Wad al-Nour village in the central Al-Jazira state on Wednesday, killing over 150 civilians, including women and children. This attack reinforces the assessment by the U.S. State Department in December 2023 that war crimes, crimes against humanity, and ethnic cleansing are ongoing in Sudan. What are the wider regional implications of Sudan’s civil war? Why is Sudan’s stability important for U.S. national security? What are the implications of the many foreign players in the conflict?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw99plg01neo https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/africa/sudanese-government-accuses-militia-massacre-intl/index.html https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudans-rsf-kills-least-100-attack-village-activists-say-2024-06-06/ https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/06/05/sudan-civil-war-us-envoy-crisis-east-africa/ https://www.state.gov/war-crimes-crimes-against-humanity-and-ethnic-cleansing-determination-in-sudan/ Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@morganlroach@NotTVJessJonesLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/C9l38TKun_o Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the 80th anniversary of D-Day, which marked the beginning of the end of Nazi-occupied Europe.  President Biden joined many heads of state, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, in France yesterday to honor and remember those who paid the ultimate sacrifice for freedom and democracy.  In remarks, President Biden drew parallels between the allied fight in WWII and the need to once again defend democracy in the face of tyranny. At the 90th anniversary of D-Day, there will likely be no living survivors of the invasion left, how does this loss of human connection to the past impact the lessons we learn? Will D-Day invigorate Western democracies to support Ukraine in the face of Russia?  Should we worry that the lessons of WWII and D-Day are lost to most?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/06/world/europe/biden-dday-ukraine-russia.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/politics/biden-d-day-american-leadership/index.html https://www.politico.eu/article/france-u-turn-invite-russia-d-day-memorial-ceremony/ https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-oil-refinery-drones-zelenskyy-9581f4f0da1b638070e6f1ca98bb03ef https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-point-du-hoc-bc97ae35237e222caee55033ddb3588f Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@morganlroach@NotTVJessJonesLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/yS9d8GrIoEg Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the recent developments in the War in Gaza including President Biden’s recent comments stating that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is prolonging the war to stay in power. These comments come amidst a flurry of diplomatic activity by the United States to Egypt and Qatar to hammer out a ceasefire and hostage release deal. Why has President Biden made these public statements? How do these comments impact Israel’s policy on the war in Gaza? Were these comments tailored to appeal to President Biden’s base in a key election year? Is Prime Minister Netanyahu prolonging the war for political gain?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/06/04/world/israel-gaza-war-hamas https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/04/israel-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/03/israel-gaza-hamas-cease-fire/ https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/bidens-cease-fire-plan-seeks-to-push-hamas-and-israel-into-an-agreement-neither-wants-38833ade https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/03/politics/netanyahu-scheduled-speech-congress/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/israel-campaign-gaza-social-media.html?unlocked_article_code=1.xU0.X-PM.i3iswn8vXE2m&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&u2g=i Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@BishopGarrison@NotTVJessJonesLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/d2WOhgp0PPY Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent developments on the Korean Peninsula including North Korea sending over hundreds of trash-filled balloons containing roughly 15 tonnes of waste to its southern neighbor.  This was in response to South Korean activist groups sending balloons to the north containing propaganda pamphlets. The South Korean government is considering its response including resuming playing K-pop on loudspeakers across the DMZ toward the north. How does this tit-for-tat impact North-South relations? Does this impact the U.S. strategy for the peninsula?  Should China be held accountable for the actions of North Korea?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/29/north-korea-balloons-waste-trash/ https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/kim-jong-uns-balloon-barrage-bags-of-excrement-fly-into-the-south-9f19d3d6 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/02/world/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/02/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons-intl-hnk/index.htmlhttps://www.voanews.com/a/us-allies-clash-with-china-and-russia-over-north-korea-s-launches-threats/7638635.html Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@jamil_n_jaffer@morganlroachLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/6MLUx_JZvvM Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. President Joe Biden’s (limited) decision to permit Ukraine to use (some) American-supplied weapons to strike targets inside of Russia.  Under pressure from European allies, the Biden administration appears—once again—to have evolved (part of) its policy for the supply and use of US weapons, but the restrictions that remain in place will likely continue to hamstring Ukraine’s effort to retake the advantage and ultimately bring the war to a successful close. Why has the Biden administration changed its policy on the use of U.S. weapons in Russia now? Should the Biden administration provide Ukraine with the means to fight—and win—this war and, so, should it have done so earlier?  What end state does the Biden administration want?  A Ukrainian win or a draw that allows Russia to fade with dignity?  Is either outcome even an option?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/30/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy770l9llnzoFollow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@jamil_n_jaffer@morganlroachLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/AbS9Dpd24Bg Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss recent developments amidst the Israel-Hamas war.  The International Criminal Court’s prosecutor has sought arrest warrants for both the leadership of Hamas as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. Additionally, Ireland, Spain, and Norway have officially recognized a Palestinian state leading Israel to recall their ambassadors in protest for “rewarding terror.” What are the impacts of Western recognition of a Palestinian state? Will the ICC grant the arrest warrants, if so, will it matter? How does the ICC case and the Congressional backlash impact the Biden administration’s policy on Israel?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/05/20/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-the-warrant-applications-by-the-international-criminal-court/ https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nn78r3w3ko https://link.foreignpolicy.com/view/64427b64aced183da613ed70l47kv.ul4/e2af2a70 https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/05/20/the-iccs-threat-to-arrest-binyamin-netanyahu-has-shocked-israel?utm_medium=email.internal-newsletter.np&utm_source=salesforce-marketing-cloud&utm_campaign=espresso.US&utm_content=the-world-in-brief-may-21st-2024&utm_term=05/21/24 https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2024/05/20/the_us_should_oppose_icc_attempts_to_target_israeli_officials_1032770.html Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@jamil_n_jaffer@morganlroachLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/S0_S8oR17r8 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss President Biden hosting Kenyan President William Ruto for a state visit - the first state visit a U.S. president has held for a president of an African nation since 2008.  Last night’s state dinner also marked the designation of Kenya as a U.S. Major Non-NATO Ally (MNNA).  This dinner took place during President Ruto’s three-day state visit that coincides with Kenya’s imminent deployment of forces to Haiti, as part of a U.N.-led, largely U.S.-financed effort to try to calm the ongoing humanitarian crisis. Why has the United States designated Kenya a MNNA now? Is this elevation an attempt by the Biden Administration to make up for recent failures to engage with the continent? Can the United States do more to increase engagement?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://apnews.com/article/state-dinner-kenya-biden-african-visit-74de529133275da0a146cf61cc211d82 https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/power/2024/05/23/kenya-state-dinner-biden-obama/ https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp4421nx727o https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/21/kenya-america-ruto-africa/ https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/22/kenya-non-nato-ally-status-visit-00159578 https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/23/politics/biden-kenya-president-state-visit-china/index.html https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2024/05/23/a-new-military-era-for-the-us-and-kenya-kind-of-00159744 Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@jamil_n_jaffer@morganlroachLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/czOdT2BL52E Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss this week's deadly riots in the French South Pacific territory of New Caledonia where there is upheaval over a constitutional amendment passed by lawmakers in Paris expanding suffrage in the territory and diluting indigenous voting power.  French President Emmanuel Macron is visiting the territory today and has deployed an additional 1,500 troops to quell the violence in the strategically important territory which is the 3rd largest nickel producer in the world. Is France’s constitutional amendment a genuine democratic push or an attempt to wield control of resources? Is France’s strong-arm approach to the protests a good strategy? How are China, Russia, and Azerbaijan impacting the unrest in New Caledonia?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/australia-new-zealand-send-evacuation-flights-new-caledonia-2024-05-21/ https://www.wsj.com/world/behind-new-caledonias-riots-a-fight-over-vast-reserves-of-nickel-a73f6301 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/17/world/asia/new-caledonia-france-protest.html https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/15/why-riots-new-caledonia-france-voting https://www.politico.eu/article/new-caledonia-france-brink-civil-war-nickel-gun-macron/ https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240517-why-did-france-block-tiktok-to-quell-unrest-in-new-caledonia Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@jamil_n_jaffer@morganlroachLike what we're doing here?  Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.  And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/ZsB9RBS6JZQ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.