Bitcoin Advisory Podcast

In 1993, James Carville said he wanted to come back as the bond market, because it can intimidate everybody. A year later it proved him right. Rates jumped, and Orange County, California, went bankrupt after its treasurer bet they would stay low.This quarter, US borrowing costs rose about as fast as in any quarter since then. The 10-year Treasury yield went from 4.44% at the end of June to 5.29% at the end of September, and briefly touched 5.34% on 1 October, the highest since 2002.You feel that even if you never buy a bond, because the Treasury rate is the floor that mortgages, car loans and business loans are priced from. The government itself is like a family whose mortgage keeps resetting higher. It owes over $40 trillion, pays about 3.5% on average, and new 10-year money now costs more than 5%. It already spends more on interest than on defense.In this video I go through the four ways a government can find that money, who ends up paying in each case, and why the fourth one, letting the money quietly lose its value, doesn't exist for Bitcoin.Chapters0:00 The bond market can intimidate everybody1:01 The question1:17 What a bond is1:57 What just happened to yields2:43 Why it reaches you3:34 The government's mortgage4:37 Four ways out5:55 How inflation pays a debt8:13 Tied to the mast8:56 Bitcoin's fixed supply9:32 Back to 1994My website: https://www.bitcoinadvisory.co/Not financial advice.

Every market crash looks like chaos until you have a framework. This week handed us a perfect case study: gold, Bitcoin, and the AI stocks all fell together, and the one thing going up was the dollar, the very thing you hold gold and Bitcoin to escape.That looks like proof the hard-money trade failed. It's the opposite. In this episode I lay out six simple principles for reading any crash, using this week as the example, so the next time everything falls at once you'll know exactly what it's telling you.The big idea: a week like this is a verdict on the dollar, not on the assets. We cover what "the dollar went up" actually means (it comes down to interest rates), why the most liquid hedge falls hardest without being the most broken, what Strategy selling 32 of its 840,000 coins really says about leverage, and why a week where cash wins says nothing about who wins the decade.This is educational content only, not financial advice.

Your money is quietly losing value every year and last week made it official.Everyone called the latest Federal Reserve meeting a show of "discipline." Look closer and it was the opposite: a quiet admission that the people in charge of the dollar can no longer do the one thing that protects it. In this video I break down, in plain English, why prices keep climbing, why $39 trillion in debt has backed the system into a corner, and why printing more money is now the only realistic way out. Then I'll show you what that means for protecting your savings.This is the full story behind my article "The Confession Disguised as a Hold." We start with what actually happened, build it up step by step from first principles, look at how this exact pattern played out 2,000 years ago in Rome, and end with the one question that matters: in a world where the money supply only goes up, what do you own that can't be printed?Get my breakdowns in your inbox: https://bitcoinadvisory.co/newsletterRead the full article: https://bitcoinadvisory.co/blog/the-confession-disguised-as-a-holdConnect:X: https://x.com/stephan_zimmInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinadvisoryWebsite: https://bitcoinadvisory.coThis video is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, and it is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Do your own research.#Inflation #Money #Dollar #Bitcoin #Economy

Bitcoin ETFs just bled $5.4 billion in four weeks, the worst stretch since they launched. The same week, inflation hit 4.2% and the national debt passed $39 trillion on its way to $40 trillion by September. The financial press says Bitcoin failed as an inflation hedge. I think they're grading the wrong exam.In this episode I break down who is actually selling Bitcoin and why, what long term holders did while the funds ran for the exit, and the math that has the Fed cornered between inflation it can't fix and a debt load it can't afford to fight. Gold already showed us how this movie ends. The fear trade fades. The debasement trade is just getting started.Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinadvisoryX: https://x.com/stephan_zimmNothing in this video is financial advice. I share how I think about the macro environment and why Bitcoin makes sense within it.

Lots happening in the market right now but in this episode, I try to bring signal to the noise. Tune in to find out more.

In this episode, I break down why Bitcoin behaves like a risk asset on short time frames but a store of value on long ones and why that's not a contradiction, it's the whole thesis playing out in real time.

There's a deadline coming on April 6 that is important to talk about. The US gave Iran an ultimatum and what happens next could send oil prices through the roof, force the Fed's hand on rate cuts, and completely reshape the macro case for Bitcoin. In this episode I walk through the full transmission chain: Strait of Hormuz → oil shock → inflation spike → Fed policy → Bitcoin.Hope you enjoy and that it is informative!

Everyone calls Bitcoin a risk asset. It swings 10% in a day. It dropped 50% from its all time high. It goes in the same bucket as tech stocks and speculative bets.But what if the way we define risk is the actual problem?In this episode I break down what risk really means for people who are trying to save and build wealth over time, not trade on a Tuesday afternoon. I walk through the five core properties that make Bitcoin structurally different from every other asset, what happened when Iranian citizens used it to move money during airstrikes while their banking system was dark, and why the things most people consider "safe" might be the riskiest things in your portfolio.

Oil prices are surging. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. The US is at war with Iran. And the Federal Reserve is trapped between a weakening job market and an inflation problem that's about to get worse.In this episode, I break down what's actually happening, why this oil shock is fundamentally different from 2022, and what history tells us about what comes next for your money. We look at the 1970s stagflation playbook, why gold is already at all-time highs, why Bitcoin hasn't responded yet (and why that's normal), and the political forces that make monetary intervention almost inevitable.If you hold Bitcoin or you've been thinking about it, this might be the most important macro setup happening right now.

Bitcoin dropped from $68,000 to $60,000 in a single day. Everyone called it a crash. Almost nobody explained what actually caused it.In this episode I break down the leverage problem behind February's sell-off — what open interest is, how liquidation cascades work, why $46 billion in borrowed bets got wiped out, and why BlackRock's Robert Mitchnick is warning that Bitcoin trades like a "levered NASDAQ."I also talk about why this is actually good news, what it means if you just buy and hold, and why the people who kept it simple are the ones who came out fine.Sources and links in the show notes.