Newsquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

European bourses are entirely in the red, with sentiment hit after China’s NPC press conference disappointed markets; US futures remain flat.DXY is slightly firmer, with the JPY strong whilst the Antipodeans lag given the lack of fresh stimulus measures from China.Bonds are on a firmer footing, with modest outperformance in Gilts and as USTs await Fed speak from Bowman & Musalem.Crude oil, XAU and base metals are all on the backfoot, following the underwhelming Chinese NPC press conference.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs, US UoM Inflation Prelim/Sentiment, Speakers including BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Bowman & Musalem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately mixed despite the early momentum following the fresh record levels on Wall St and a bout of rate cuts by major central banks, with gains capped as participants awaited a potential Chinese fiscal stimulus announcement.FOMC cut rates by 25bps to 4.50-4.75%, as expected, in a unanimous decision and removed language about having gained greater confidence in inflation moving sustainably towards the 2% target. Fed Chair Powell said during the Q&A that the election will have no effect on policy decisions in the near term.US President-elect Trump is likely to allow Fed chair Powell to serve the remainder of his term, according to CNN. Fed Chair said he will not resign if Trump asks him to. (Powell’s term is set to end in May 2026).European equity futures are indicative of a positive cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed higher by 1.1% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include French Trade Balance, Italian Industrial Output, Canadian Jobs, US UoM Prelim, Chinese Money Supply, Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Bowman & Musalem, Earnings from Richemont, Rightmove, International Consolidated Airlines Group, Paramount Global & Sony.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are modestly firmer across the board, with US futures also slightly higher, but ultimately taking a breather following the significant strength in the prior session.Dollar is giving back recent gains, Antipodeans outperform attempting to claw back post-election losses amid resilience in China.USTs are a touch firmer awaiting today’s FOMC meeting, Bunds are the clear underperformer after the German coalition collapses.Crude is modestly weaker, paring back some of gains seen in the prior session; XAU benefits from the softer Dollar and base metals gain amid positive price action in China overnight.Looking ahead, US Initial Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventory,  BoE & Fed Policy Announcement, ECB’s Lane, Schnabel, Elderson, BoE Governor Bailey & Fed Chair Powell.Earnings from PG&E Corp, Duke Energy Corp, Becton Dickinson and Co, Air Products and Chemicals Inc, Arista Networks Inc, TransDigm Group Inc, EOG Resources Inc, Motorola Solutions Inc, Airbnb Inc, Fortinet Inc, Trade Desk Inc, Ralph Lauren Corp, Moderna Inc & Warner Bros Discovery Inc.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks held a mostly positive bias as the dust settled from the US election, participants also digested Chinese trade data.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after the cash market closed lower by 1.4% on Wednesday.DXY has pulled back onto a 104 handle with antipodeans leading the fight back vs. the USD, USD/JPY sits on a 154 handle.German Chancellor Scholz dismissed Finance Minister Lindner and will call for a confidence vote on January 15th which could allow elections by the end of March.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, EZ Retail Sales, US Initial Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventory, Riksbank, Norges Bank, BoE & Fed Policy Announcements, ECB’s Lane, Schnabel, Elderson, BoE Governor Bailey & Fed Chair Powell, Supply from Spain & France.Earnings from Hochtief, Munich Re, Heidelberg Materials, Rheinmetall, Delivery Hero, Daimler Truck, Lanxess, Euronext, Engie, SES, Veolia Environment, Legrand, Zealand Pharma, GN Store Nord, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Azimut Holding, Leonardo, Nexi, Cellnex, Grifols, Telefonica, BT Group, Hiscox, Taylor Wimpey, National Grid, J Sainsbury, ITV, Hikma Pharmaceuticals, ArcelorMittal, PG&E Corp, Duke Energy Corp, Becton Dickinson and Co, Air Products and Chemicals Inc, Airbnb Inc, Ralph Lauren Corp, Moderna Inc & Warner Bros Discovery Inc.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Presidential Election results are indicative of a Trump victory and Republicans taking the Senate; House is too close to call.Equities soar with clear outperformance in the RTY with Trump poised to win the US election; Novo Nordisk +7.1% benefits after posting strong Q3 Wegovy sales.Dollar flies higher, DXY topped 105.00, before paring back to a current 104.90; EUR & JPY the clear underperformers amongst the G10s.USTs pressured and Bunds bolstered by the Trump Trade; US curve markedly steeper, attention on the House result to see if this continuesA soft session for the crude complex, pressured by the firmer Dollar and Trump’s known stance on US drilling/supply; XAU softer, base metals dented but awaiting China stimulus detailsLooking ahead, NBP Policy Announcement, US Election Results, Comments from ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & BoC’s Rogers, Supply from the US, Earnings from Williams Companies Inc, CVS Health Corp, Gilead Sciences Inc, Sempra, Qualcomm Inc, Johnson Controls International & Arm Holdings.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Presidential Election results are indicative of a Trump victory and Republicans taking the Senate; House is too close to call.US futures have ripped higher, while European futures have been hit given the potential EZ growth implications.DXY is currently up 1.5% and has seen its largest jump since March 2020; EUR, JPY and antipodeans are suffering.In the fixed income space, US yields are higher across the curve with the curve bear-steepening.Bitcoin is up over 8% after surging to a record high, crude has been hit by the stronger USD.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ PMIs (Final), NBP Policy Announcement, US Election Results, ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & BoC’s Rogers, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from Pandora, Novo Nordisk, Banco BPM, Bper Banca, Enel, Poste Italiane, Snam, Vonovia, Commerzbank, Fresenius, Henkel, Puma, Siemens Healthineers, BMW, GEA Group, Evonik Industries, Eurazeo, Arkema, Teleperformance, Credit Agricole, Wise, Persimmon, Marks and Spencer, Beazley, Williams Companies Inc, CVS Health Corp, Gilead Sciences Inc, Sempra, Qualcomm Inc, Johnson Controls International & Arm Holdings.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are mixed and trading tentatively on either side of the unchanged mark; US futures are incrementally firmer/flat.Dollar is slightly softer on US election day, Antipodeans benefit from constructive Chinese PMIs and Aussie was fairly unreactive to an unsurprising hold at the RBA.USTs are essentially unchanged, Bunds are pressured alongside Gilts; the latter was weighed on by its 2034 auction.Upward bias across industrials amid geopolitics and encouraging Chinese PMI data.Looking ahead, US International Trade, Canadian Exports/Imports, US ISM Services, NZ HLFS Jobs, BoC Minutes, BoJ Minutes, US Election, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde & Schnabel, Supply from the US, Earnings from Emerson Electric Co, Super Micro Computer & Global Foundries.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with most major indices in the green after further encouraging Chinese PMI data.The RBA decision provided little surprise and the SoMP included a reduction in GDP and household consumption forecasts.US equity futures were rangebound, DXY was flat, and UST futures traded sideways as all eyes now turn to the US Presidential Election.European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed lower by 0.5% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Composite/Services Final PMI, US International Trade, Canadian Exports/Imports, US ISM Services, NZ HLFS Jobs, BoC Minutes, BoJ Minutes, US Election, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde & Schnabel, Supply from UK & US, Earnings from UniCredit, Ferrari, Oersted, Fresenius Medical Care, Hugo Boss, Zalando, Deutsche Post, Emerson Electric Co, Super Micro Computer & Global Foundries.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses generally trade very modestly in positive territory, alongside slight gains in US futures.PredictIt odds shifted over the weekend in favour of a Harris election victory; NYT/Siena final polls showed the race was deadlocked in 6/7 battleground states.USD is on the backfoot as a shift in polling in the US election towards Harris has seen a scaling back of "Trump trades" across the board.USTs benefit from a scaling back of the Trump trade, whilst Bunds lag; reports suggesting that China’s NPC is reviewing local government debt swaps weighed on the complex.Crude benefits amid reports that OPEC+ agreed to delay the December oil output increase by one month; base metals move higher in anticipation of the ongoing China NPC meeting.Looking ahead, US Employment Trends, Durable Goods, Australian PMIs (Final), Comments from ECB’s Elderson, Holzmann, Supply from the US. Earnings from Fidelity National Information Services, NXP Semiconductors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Diamondback Energy, Palantir Technologies, Marriott International & Fox.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks began the week mostly positive but with the gains capped ahead of this week's major risk events including the US Presidential Election.PredictIt odds shifted over the weekend in favour of a Harris election victory; NYT/Siena final polls showed the race was deadlocked in 6/7 battleground states.European equity futures are indicative of a steady cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed higher by 1.0% on Friday.DXY is softer vs. peers in a scaling back of the USD supportive "Trump trade"; JPY and antipodeans have been the main beneficiaries.OPEC+ agreed to delay the December oil output increase by one month, according to a Reuters source.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Sentix Index, Manufacturing PMIs, US Employment Trends, US Durable Goods, Australian PMIs (Final), Comments from ECB’s Elderson, Supply from EU & US.Earnings from Volvo Car AB, Ryanair, Kingspan, Fidelity National Information Services, NXP Semiconductors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Diamondback Energy, Palantir Technologies, Marriott International & Fox.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk