TIP396: China and the Macro Impact w/ Kyle Bass

Join us as Parker Lewis & Will Cole delve into Bitcoin's role as property or currency, discuss Bill Ackman's views and Saylor's latest buy. We explore Bitcoin payments, the impact of high rates, and the future of digital authentication. This episode is packed with insights on the evolving cryptocurrency landscape and its broader economic implications. Tune in for a deep dive into the forefront of digital assets. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 11:03 - Bill Ackman's prediction on Bitcoin's cycle and its implications on the economy. 26:26 - Michael Saylor's strategic acquisition of an additional 12,000 BTC for MicroStrategy. 27:12 - The debate on whether Bitcoin should be considered digital property or a currency. 38:50 - The potential of Bitcoin payments and the innovative approach of Zaprite. 38:50 - Integration of fiat payments in the Bitcoin ecosystem, including the use of stablecoins and traditional currencies. 51:28 - The feasibility and implications of receiving lightning payments through a Tor-enabled node. 51:28 - The challenge of authentication in the digital age, especially in the context of AI and the potential for misinformation. 01:02:32 - A discussion on global policy trends and competition in the digital asset space, highlighting the strategic importance of cryptocurrency. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Checkout Parker and Will’s company ZapRite. Parker’s recent book: Gradually, Then Suddenly. Related Episode: Listen to BTC156: Bitcoin is Not A Hedge w/ Parker Lewis, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to BTC092: Bitcoin Energy & Custody w/ Parker Lewis & Will Cole, or watch the video. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, William Green chats with renowned hedge fund manager Guy Spier, who has run the Aquamarine Fund since 1997. This conversation has been split into two episodes. Here, in Part 2, Guy shares insights on how to succeed over the long run by avoiding dumb investment behavior, building the right relationships, and recognizing our weaknesses. This is an unusually candid conversation between William & Guy—old friends who collaborated on Guy’s classic book, “The Education of a Value Investor.” IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:36 - What dumb investment behavior Guy Spier strives to avoid 05:12 - What type of companies he shuns 07:05 - Why good relationships are a key to financial & personal success 07:25 - Why we should be especially wary of leverage 15:46 - Why it’s vital to find “friends along the path” who support us emotionally 29:34 - Why it’s helpful to shine a light on our own weaknesses 41:18 - How he handles painful, contentious conversations 51:24 - How to engage with people whose beliefs & experiences differ from ours 1:07:05 - What role money does—or doesn’t—play in a rich & meaningful life 1:11:11 - What Guy learned from Warren Buffett’s exercise of writing your own obituary 1:31:39 - How reading great literature can make you wiser & happier Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Related Episode: William Green’s 2023 interview with Guy Spier | YouTube Video. Related Episode: William Green’s 2022 interview with Guy Spier | YouTube Video. Related Episode: William Green’s interview with Daniel Goleman & Tsoknyi Rinpoche | YouTube Video. Related Episode: William Green’s interview with Chris Davis | YouTube Video. The Dishcast podcast with David Brooks on “Transcending Hate & Loneliness”. Daniel Siegel’s book “The Developing Mind”. Harville Hendrix’s book “Doing Imago Relationship Therapy in the Space-Between”. Marcel Proust’s book “In Search of Lost Time”. Guy Spier’s book, “The Education of a Value Investor" – read reviews of the book. Subscribe to Guy Spier’s free newsletter. Guy Spier’s podcast and website. Guy Spier interviews William Green about his book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier”.  William Green’s book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier” – read the reviews of this book. Follow William Green on X (AKA Twitter). Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.  SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity TurboTax NDTCO Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, William Green chats with renowned hedge fund manager Guy Spier, who has run the Aquamarine Fund since 1997. This conversation has been split into two episodes. Here, in Part 1, Guy discusses the art of compounding wealth over decades, drawing on lessons he’s learned from Warren Buffett, downhill ski racers, & his own mistakes. This is an unusually candid conversation between William & Guy—old friends who collaborated on Guy’s classic book, “The Education of a Value Investor.” IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 04:07 - Why it’s so intense for Guy Spier & William Green to collaborate 10:19 - How telling the truth changed Guy’s life 17:53 - Why the Global Financial Crisis terrified him 24:52 - Why it’s hard to invest rationally in the real world of chaos & confusion 29:25 - How Guy deals with his emotions when making investment decisions 35:03 - Why his default position is to hold his stocks indefinitely & resist meddling 38:48 - Why he didn’t sell his stake in Alibaba 42:01 - Why he’s pleased with & disappointed by his investment returns 46:32 - Why his mission is long-term compounding without catastrophe 55:06 - What Guy learned from investing in a company that went bankrupt 57:57 - What the fastest skiers can teach us about success & survival 1:00:02 - How excessive risk destroyed a fund manager he once knew 1:04:13 - What we can learn from Warren Buffett about financial resilience Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Related Episode: William Green’s 2023 interview with Guy Spier | YouTube Video. Related Episode: William Green’s 2022 interview with Guy Spier | YouTube Video. Guy Spier’s book, “The Education of a Value Investor" – read reviews of the book. Subscribe to Guy Spier’s free newsletter. Guy Spier’s podcast and website. Guy Spier interviews William Green about his book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier”. Read Gandhi: An Autobiography – The Story of My Experiments with Truth. Luca Dellanna's book, "Ergodicity". David Hawkins' book, “Power vs Force”. William Green’s book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier” – read the reviews of this book. Follow William Green on X (AKA Twitter). Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.  SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity TurboTax NDTCO Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On today’s episode, Clay is joined by Richard Duncan to discuss current market conditions, whether we’ll see a recession in 2024, the potential for interest rate cuts, and more. Richard Duncan is the author of The Money Revolution: How To Finance The Next American Century. Since beginning his career as an equities analyst in Hong Kong in 1986, Richard has served as global head of investment strategy at ABN AMRO Asset Management in London, worked as a financial sector specialist for the World Bank in Washington D.C., and headed equity research departments for James Capel Securities and Salomon Brothers in Bangkok. He also worked as a consultant for the IMF in Thailand during the Asia Crisis.   Since 2013, Richard has published Macro Watch, a video newsletter that analyzes the forces driving the economy and the financial markets in the 21st Century. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:47 - How our modern-day economy is structured with the US dropping the gold standard in 1971. 10:29 - Why our economy requires perpetual credit expansion. 17:46 - How the credit environment has developed since 2020. 26:11 - What a recession is and what the implications of a recession are. 29:47 - Why Richard foresees a recession in 2024. 31:55 - The primary drivers of credit growth. 43:26 - Why we’ll likely see interest rate cuts in 2024. 53:03 - The drawbacks of our modern-day economy. 60:00 - Indicators that investors need to monitor in today’s economy. 64:03 - Where the US is at in the AI race. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Richard Duncan Website. Macro Watch Website. The Money Revolution Book. Related Episode: TIP488: Current Market Conditions w/ Richard Duncan | YouTube Video. Related Episode: TIP424: How to Finance the Next American Century w/ Richard Duncan | YouTube Video. Follow Richard on Twitter. Follow Clay on Twitter. Learn more about the Berkshire Summit by clicking here or emailing Clay at [email protected]. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Bitcoin OG Pierre Rochard unpacks the Energy Information Survey's halt, its implications, and the mining community's legal victory. We delve into Pierre's thoughts on Senator Warren's initiative, the collective response, and future steps. The discussion also covers Texas' support, the impact of the upcoming halving event, and Pierre's insights on the Bitcoin 'speculative attack'. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:15 - The background and implications of the DOE's halted energy survey on Bitcoin mining. 04:04 - Pierre Rochard's perspective on Senator Elizabeth Warren's initiative to track power consumption by miners. 15:14 - The collective response of the Bitcoin mining community to regulatory challenges. 15:14 - Details of the legal victory that temporarily stopped the DOE's data collection efforts. 15:14 - How this legal battle might set a precedent for future regulatory attempts on Bitcoin mining. 33:09 - The role of Texas in supporting the cryptocurrency industry against regulatory pressures. 39:43 - Pierre's concept of the "speculative attack" and its relevance to Bitcoin's future. 56:50 - Insights into the upcoming Bitcoin halving event and its potential impact on the mining community. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Pierre Rochard's Twitter. Riot Platforms' Twitter. Related Episode: Listen to BTC124: Bitcoin is a Strategic National Necessity w/ Pierre Rochard, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to BTC116: Bitcoin Ordinals and NFTs on Layer 1 Bitcoin w/ Pierre Rochard, or watch the video. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Kyle Grieve and co-host Clay Finck dive deep into how human psychology impacts your investment decisions, why even the best investors fall victim to their own biases, strategies to mitigate common mistakes, how to deal with market timing, leverage, and speculation, why you should focus your time on improving patience, simplifying things, and understanding value, how you can recognize the biases of the market by understanding market cycles, why you should prioritize temperament over intellect, the importance of long-term results over quick gains, and a whole lot more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 02:39 - Why greed makes us feel smart. 03:03 - How fear causes us to make poor decisions. 05:25 - The case study of Stanley Druckenmiller and how greed can affect even the smartest among us. 10:14 - How we can succeed in investing without having to predict macroeconomic trends. 11:38 - How we can track our emotions to make better decisions. 14:48 - The follies of trying to time the market. 14:48 - The downside of timing the market. 15:27 - Why we shouldn’t rely on luck to consistently generate returns. 17:21 - Why Warren Buffett would make any changes to his investing even if he knew what the FED was going to do in the next twelve months. 23:09 - Why leverage should be avoided in the stock market. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Related Episode: TIP604: Best Quality Idea Q1 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve | YouTube Video. Related Episode: TIP587: Dino Polska: A Polish Compounder w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve | YouTube Video. Learn more about the Berkshire Summit by clicking here or emailing Clay at [email protected]. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On today’s episode, Clay Finck and Kyle Grieve share why they are so passionate about investing in stocks and why they utilize the stock market to help them achieve financial independence. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 02:41 - How real-life examples of compounding have influenced Clay & Kyle 11:33 - How the stock market has compounded in the US since the 1950s. 20:50 - Why Clay and Kyle set the financial goal of becoming financially independent. 28:42 - Why Kyle chose to utilize the stock market as his tool to achieving financial independence. 36:44 - How an investor knows when they are ready to start investing in individual companies. 41:24 - How to quickly disqualify an investment. 43:44 - The best metric to filter on business quality. 72:27 - The edge that individual investors can have in picking stocks. 81:03 - Our favorite investing books. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Books mentioned: The Millionaire Next Door, 100 Baggers, The Psychology of Money, The Simple Path to Wealth, The Joys of Compounding, What I Learned About Investing From Darwin, Richer, Wiser, Happier, Invested, The Most Important Thing, The Warren Buffett Portfolio Check out Finchat. Episode Mentioned: TIP602: Same as Ever w/ Morgan Housel | YouTube Video. Related Episode: TIP604: Best Quality Idea Q1 2024 w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve | YouTube Video. Learn more about the Berkshire Summit by clicking here or emailing Clay at [email protected]. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Follow Clay on Twitter and LinkedIn. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Luke Gromen navigates through Berkshire's $167.6B cash, his 2023 market optimism, US liquidity measures, and escalating real estate loan concerns. He discusses inflation's return, unemployment trends, interest rates, and Bitcoin's impact on energy. The dialogue also touches on the Fed's control illusion, CEO stock sales, Bitcoin's fiscal role, auction failures, QE's return, and treasury yield trends, providing a rich macroeconomic overview amidst evolving market dynamics. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:05 - How Berkshire Hathaway's substantial cash reserve positions it in the current economic landscape. 08:13 - The pivotal factors that flipped Luke Gromen from a bearish to a bullish market stance in early 2023. 12:20 - The implications of re-accelerating supercore inflation on the economy and monetary policy. 12:20 - How interest rates are expected to evolve through the rest of the year and their effect on investments. 46:08 - The specific liquidity levers the US is currently pulling to navigate through economic challenges. 46:08 - Predictions on unemployment trends and their impact on the broader economic recovery. 57:25 - Insights into the escalating crisis in commercial real estate loans surpassing loss reserves at major banks. 01:09:57 - The transformative potential of Bitcoin in changing the energy landscape and its broader economic implications. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Luke’s FFTT research. Luke’s Twitter account. Luke’s two books. Related Episode: Listen to BTC136: The FED Pause & Q2 Current Events w/ Luke Gromen, or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to BTC101: 4th Quarter Macro Overview w/ Luke Gromen, or watch the video. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Kyle talks to Lauren Templeton about the many investing and life lessons she learned from investing legend Sir John Templeton, how she sets up her daily life to stay disciplined and avoid biases, how to utilize the scientific method for investing purposes, how we can use lessons from history to improve our decision making today, the importance of utilizing multiple evaluation tools to find great investments, sectors that are facing maximal pessimism today that might be the winners of tomorrow, and much, much more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 05:56 - Why we should combat “home bias”. 05:56 - Why high savings rates are so important for new opportunities. 05:56 - How savings rates have changed with the times. 05:56 - The hurdles you need to overcome for investing in Japan. 12:06 - The importance of looking at unpopular sectors. 12:24 - What Sir John Templeton thought about quality. 12:24 - Why maximum optimism is a risky place to deploy capital. 12:24 - How Sir John Templeton offset value traps using his strategy. 12:24 - Why you should use multiple evaluation tools in your analysis. 17:38 - How Lauren created her life to stay disciplined. 17:38 - The strengths of lowering how reactive you are. 17:38 - The importance of living a disciplined lifestyle to improve yourself. 21:18 - How to utilize the scientific method in investing. 27:01 - How Lauren has decreased the effects of FOMO. 27:01 - The importance of removing yourself from the crowd. 29:54 - How Lauren has used inversion to help her investing strategy. 34:22 - Why you should look at sectors with bad outlooks. 34:22 - How Lauren fights confirmation bias. 43:10 - How Lauren’s investing strategy has altered given the current macro backdrop. 47:07 - The importance of alignment between your daily life and investing philosophy. 47:07 - How Sir John Templeton tinkered with his portfolio while staying true to his core philosophy. 49:11 - Why you should understand maximum pessimism and how it creates opportunities. 49:11 - The historical returns in small caps after having the valuation gap we are seeing today. 49:11 - Why Lauren thinks China is showing maximum pessimism based on her observations at ValueX. 49:11 - Why Lauren sees an opportunity in small caps right now. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Buy Lauren’s book, The Templeton Way here. Listen to Lauren’s podcast, Investing The Templeton Way here. Subscribe to her newsletter, the Maximum Pessimism Report here. Learn more about the Berkshire Summit by clicking here or emailing Clay at [email protected]. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Fidelity NetSuite Toyota TurboTax Wise NerdWallet Linkedin Marketing Solutions Babbel Shopify Fundrise Vacasa HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On today’s episode, Clay chats with Kyle Bass, the founder and principal of Hayman Capital Management. Hayman’s first major success came from effectively shorting the housing market in 2008, and Kyle was profiled in Michael Lewis’ book The Big Short.  After seeing Chinese stocks drop 20% over the past year, I invited Kyle back onto the show because he has been sounding the alarm bells for years on a market correction in Chinese markets.  IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 02:01 - Why China is potentially preparing to invade Taiwan. 06:59 - How China has been restricting data and information flow to foreigners. 09:16 - Major military, mainland, and legal actions the CCP has taken in the past few years. 19:55 - Why foreign direct investment to China has collapsed in recent years. 25:53 - Potential sanctions the US may implement if China invades Taiwan. 33:38 - What Kyle is seeing in the Chinese real estate market. 39:33 - Whether he sees the crisis in Chinese affecting other markets globally. 47:10 - Why he believes the Fed is out of touch with reality. 54:48 - How Kyle is positioned as an investor today. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Hayman Capital Management’s website. Conservation Equity Management’s website. Related Episode: TIP396: China and the Macro Impact w/ Kyle Bass | YouTube Video. Follow Kyle on Twitter. Follow Clay on Twitter. Learn more about the Berkshire Summit by clicking here or emailing Clay at [email protected]. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Wise NetSuite Fidelity CI Financial TurboTax Linkedin Marketing Solutions Fundrise NDTCO Vacasa NerdWallet Babbel Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices